Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (4/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/10)-(4/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/10)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/10)-(5/2/1)-(5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(5/2)-(1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/5/4)-(3/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/3/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(3/2/9)-(4/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-5   WIN (3/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/9)-(3/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/9)-(2/3/9)-(2/3/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/9)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/9)-(4/2/1)-(3/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/5/6)-(3/1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(3/1/5/7)-(4/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/7)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOGO CHANEL Jun23 Nov25 Oct28 Aug24 Jul31 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 126 5.00    
2  TIMELY SECRET Jun04 May20 Apr14 Mar09 Feb15 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 10.00    
SCR  BETTER CALL MAMA Jul13 Jun25 Jun04 May24 Nov20 (maldonado j)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 20.00    
4  O SHAUGHESEY Jul14 Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr30 (mckenzie da)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 5.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  LOLA FLO Jun22 May18 Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 3.00    
SCR  KILLY START Jul14 Jun25 Dec01 Oct28 Sep16 (merryman mi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 12.00    
SCR  BIG AMBITION Jun25 Jun01 May02 Mar21 Feb18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00    
SCR  BLAME CATALAYA Jul14 Jun17 May31 May08 Oct21 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 116 2.50    
SCR  LADY SERENITY Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 May07 Apr07 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50    
10  FANCY PRINCESS Jun25 Jun04 May18 Feb20 Feb03 (plummer)BRICENO GREGOR 126 15.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  AWAY TO RETURN Jun25 Jun04 Jun26 Jun03 May15 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60    
 
LRL-2   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ VINNO Jul01         (cox kenne)CARRASCO R 120 5.00 13% 6.40    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TIZZIRE by TIZNOW)
2  REMEMBER ME Jul01         (robb john)BETANCOURT R 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by IMAGINING out of OUTWITHBIGDADDY by OUTFLANKER)
3  VIENNESE WALTZ         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 3.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TANCA by POLISH NUMBERS)
4  SEVERN SPIRT         (lawrence l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of WHIMMYDIDDLE by BLAME)
5  FIRST TO ARRIVE         (russell b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 33% 2.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of IN MY TIME by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
6  FOXY CURL         (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of CURLABELLA by CURLIN)
 
LRL-3   07/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GENNIE HIGHWAY Jun23 Aug27 Jul29 Jul17 Jun05 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50    
2  CONGRESS HALL Jul07 Jun17 May26 May11 Apr20 (mcfarlane brando)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  TOUT ENSEMBLE Jul12 Jun05 May11 Apr08 Mar25 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 123 15.00    
4  HIPNOTIZADA Jul09 Jun28 Jun19 Jun03 Apr08 (smith lawr)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 20.00    
5  HASHTAG LUCKY Jun23 May18 May05 Apr15 Mar10 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  CUPIDS DREAM Jul07 Jun23 May11 Apr01 Mar18 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 2.50    
SCR  INSTINCTIVE Jun07 May11 Dec16 Nov06 Oct18 (moore micha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
8  EVANGELINE ALLONS Jul02 Jun11 Jun02 May18 May06 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00    
SCR  MOSALAH Jul12 May25 Oct22 Sep29 Aug24 (ashby lynn)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00    
 
LRL-4   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEED A MARKER Jul01 Apr16 Mar11 Feb17 Jan29 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
2  ILLUSION OF HOPE Jul01 Jun10 Dec29 Dec03 Nov14 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00    
3  PERFORMANCEANXIETY Jul01 Jun10 May28 May13 May07 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 126 1.80    
4  ELLIE VICTORINA Jul08 Jun18 May18 May07 Mar31 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  VICTORIAN RIVIERA Jul01 May31 May07 Apr27 Apr06 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  BOSS ANGEL Jul01 Jun14 May28 Nov19 Oct21 (gaudet lace)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 12.00    
 
LRL-5   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RASCALLY REBEL Jul15 Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 May27 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 116 5.00    
2  ICE COLD FROSTY Jun11 May19 Feb12 Dec31 Jul09 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 23% 3.40    
3  IMAGINE IT ALL Jun24 Dec30 Dec09 Nov21 Oct30 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.80 53% 0.90    
SCR  MUNGO MAGIC Jul09 Jun24 Jun16 Apr30 Apr16 (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 116 15.00    
5  HAGGERSDALE Jul01 May19 Feb15 Jan14 Oct28 (magee k)BRICENO GREGOR 116 15.00    
SCR  GOLQUIST Jun24 May29 May01 Mar04 Jan28 (comi ra)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00    
SCR  PHRA PHROM Jul09 May14 Apr20 Mar26 Mar18 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 3.50    
SCR  CAVALRY COMMAND Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 May18 May04 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50    
9  PRIDE OF PAYTON Jun24 May25 Mar25 Feb05 Jan15 (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAR AND ROSES Jul01 Oct20 Sep24 Aug07 Jul29 (meyers madi)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00    
11  QUINCANNON Jun24 Jun03 May11 Dec30 Dec10 (cooney susa)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 10.00    
 
LRL-6   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINGER GIRL Jul09 Jun18 Jun02 May12 Apr15 (shankl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 15.00 22% 3.60    
2  TOO MANY KISSES Jun16         (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  GILDA'S GIRL Jul06         (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 5.00    
4  NOBLE BELIEF         (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  QUIT QUAY Jun17 May25 Mar19 Feb26 Jan15 (ambrogi)BRICENO GREGOR 120 4.50    
SCR  DORIS' SLAYING IT Jun02         (cortez e)MONTERREY R 120 8.00    
7  FLITTER         (vera migu)CARRASCO R 126 5.00    
SCR  DANCINONTHEBEACH         (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
 
LRL-7   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN SHEBA Jun25 May19 Apr20 Nov20 Oct28 (demario charle)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00    
2  POLICE WOMAN Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 Jun10 May19 (woodit joseph)DELGADO A 123 15.00    
3  ALLA BREVE Jun25 Oct28       (matz michae)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  FAST LANI Jun25 May27 Oct28 Sep17 Aug25 (mcmahon hug)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.80    
5  PAPER MANSION Jul08 Jun17 Jul30 Jun28 Jun13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
6  ISLAND PHILO Jun10 Jun02 May12 Nov20 Oct22 (cooney s)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIPSY CHATTER         (hendriks mc)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00    
SCR  AWESOME JAZZ Jun25 Apr20 Oct28 Oct21 Sep17 (merryman w)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
 
LRL-8   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  A C EXPRESSWAY Jul03 May29 Apr24 Mar30 Oct16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 9% 10.50    
SCR  THE KING CHEEK Jun13 May22 May12 Apr02 Mar13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50    
2  HOT N SPICY LOVE Jun24 May27 Apr29 Apr06 Mar24 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 119 20.00    
3  ALPHA CHI RHO Jun30 Jun09 Apr20 Mar11 Feb10 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 57% 0.80    
4  SILENT MALICE Jul06 Jul29 Jul21 Jul02 Jun05 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00    
5  CLUBMAN Jun23 Jun09 May12 Apr29 Apr02 (magee kieron)PEREZ XAVIER 119 4.00 8% 11.20    
6  JACKIE A Jul01 Jun11 May18 Apr29 Mar18 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 5.00    
7  BOBBY G Jun09 May12 May06 Apr02 Mar25 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ONE TEN Jun18 May20 May06 Apr29 Feb24 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 10.00    
 
LRL-9   07/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL ME VIVIAN Jun23 Nov04 Oct16 Sep10 Aug20 (merryman ed)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.60    
2  STAGE CALL Jun25 Jun17 May19     (white alexandra)DELGADO A 116 4.50 15% 5.90    
3  IMAGINETHEODDS Jul02 Mar26 Mar03 Feb05 Dec31 (voss m)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
4  LOOKING FOR WATER Jun25 Jun10 May06 Apr21 Mar18 (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  RIA FORMOSA Jul02 Jun09 May13 May07 Apr20 (lucas antho)CARRASCO CARLOS 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  TWO SPOT Jun17 Mar30       (graham robi)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 20.00    
SCR  AMARETTO SOUR Jul08 Jun17 Oct28 Oct16 Sep17 (maldonado j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00    
8  ALICORN Jun23 Apr28 Aug15     (perri )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.