Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRC-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(4/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(4/2/5)-(2/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(2/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(2/1/3)-(4/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(4/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(4/6/5)-(1/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(1/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(1/2/3)-(1/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(1/3/5)-(8/7/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-6   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(8/7/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(8/7/5/4)-(8/5/3/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
LRC-7   WIN (8/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/5/4)-(8/5/3/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/4)-(8/5/3/2/4)-(2/4/5/8/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
LRC-8   WIN (8/5/3/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/2/4)-(8/5/3/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/2/4)-(8/5/3/2/4)-(8/5/3/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (8/5/3/2/4)-(2/4/5/8/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
LRC-9   WIN (2/4/5/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/8/6)-(2/4/5/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/8/6)-(2/4/5/8/6)-(2/4/5/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRC-1   07/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SITTIN ON GO May12 Mar04 Feb19 Jan15 Dec30 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00 14% 5.90    
NEXT REVOLT May21 May06 Apr08 Mar04 Jan29 (papaprodromou)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
GRANADA FLAVOR Apr23 Mar18 Jan21 Dec30 Dec10 (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 126 2.50    
DEEP RIVER May19 Mar26 Jan15 Jan08 Aug26 (harty eoin)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.50    
ZIMBA WARRIOR Jun18 Apr30 Mar31 Mar04 Feb03 (hess b)MALDONADO E 124 1.60 21% 3.70    
 
LRC-2   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATBERNAY Apr01 Jan21 Dec18 Oct28 Aug18 (pine)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 126 2.00    
PAUL VINCENTS POEM May06 Apr17 Mar07 Jan15 Dec20 (lucas rober)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
GATOR SHINING Apr09 Feb18 Jan20 Nov24 Oct21 (dealba cesar)ORTEGA CESAR 126 2.50    
FAST PER SE Jun02 May19 Mar19 Feb26 Dec04 (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 126 1.60 55% 0.80    
CITY OF CHAMPIONS Jun10 May13 Mar27     (truman eddie)FREY KYLE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-3   07/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAHINA Mar18 Dec30 Dec03     (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
MINEDANDREFINED Jun04 May14       (mccarthy sean)MALDONADO E 120 1.20 39% 1.60    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of BULLET BYRNES by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
KIMBERLY'S DEVIL May05 Feb04       (lucas j)HARVEY B 123 20.00 5% 18.10    
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of DEVIL INDEED by DEVIL HIS DUE)
CON SEAL AND KERRY May27 Apr21 Mar25 Mar05 Feb05 (agarie ricky)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAHOGANY LANE by A.P. INDY)
TIFF WITH JIMMY May21 Apr07       (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 120 2.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUITE A RUCKUS by RICHTER SCALE)
 
LRC-4   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTTESTYOURLUCK May19 Apr28 Apr01 Mar26 Feb10 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 4.00    
MT. ZEROR Apr28         (hanson ryan)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 3.50    
EAGLES LANDING Aug26 Jul31 Jun12 May22   (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 124 5.00    
STAFFORD TO KUPP Oct16 Sep01       (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
LAURA'S KIDOUGH         (d)ROJAS EDUARD 124 20.00 8% 11.50    
O'BANION (IRE) Jun09 Apr22       (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
LRC-5   07/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEGRASS RYDER Jun03 Apr23 Mar11 Feb17 Jan21 (oviedo phil)FREY KYLE 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
WHISKEY VISION May28 Apr22 Mar25 Mar09 Jan06 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 5.00 29% 2.50    
WILEY'S WONDER         (treece charles)GARCIA ERICK 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
DANZ TILL TEN Jun09 May19 Mar17     (howey quinn)MALDONADO E 120 5.00    
CARPE BELLUM Jun10 May14 Apr28 Mar17 Mar18 (koriner brian)CEDILLO ABEL 126 1.60    
SIPPIN WHISKEY Jun10 May14 Mar09 Feb10 Nov05 (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00    
 
LRC-6   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROPICANA GIRL May27 Mar17 Jan16 Dec11 Dec02 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
NIGHT PARTY Jun11 Mar26 Mar11 Feb24 Nov20 (t)ROJAS EDUARD 120 5.00    
COALINGA HILLS Dec18 Sep24 Jul09     (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
BENGAL TIGER Apr05 Mar01 Jan30 Jan11 Dec27 (farias adan)GARCIA ERICK 126 2.50    
ANA LISA Sep23 Jul08 Jun26 Apr03 Jan29 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
BLOSSOMING Jun23 Apr09 Feb25 Feb03 Sep05 (saldana reed)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00    
 
LRC-7   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT TURN Jun24 May28       (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 10.00    
AVIATOR NATION         (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
MISSING THEM Aug27 Jul31       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 10.00    
BARBACOA Sep04 Jul30       (m)ROJAS EDUARD 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SANGER         (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
LOGON TO WIN Jan29 Jan06 Dec16     (dealba)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 5.00    
DARK MARCUS Nov04 Oct09 Sep01 Jul28 Jun19 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.50 19% 4.30    
TOM HORN Jun02 May07 Apr09 Aug20   (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
LRC-8   07/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY FOR LOVE May20         (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of EMPRESS OF LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
THE FENCE         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00 11% 8.30    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of LIGHT STRIKER by AFLEET ALEX)
CONQUEST CELSIUS May20 Apr29       (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of MISS THIRTYFOUR D by BERTRANDO)
UNIFIED A. P. Jun09         (freeman edwar)VALDIVIA JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of DREAM OF MINE by MINESHAFT)
IT'S SAUL GOOD Jun09         (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 120 1.60 23% 3.30    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of HASTY NIC by OLD FASHIONED)
SMOOVE OVER May27         (hernandez jos)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 20.00    
  (by PAVEL out of SMOOVE IT by SQUARE EDDIE)
FIFTY STARS Jun09         (agarie rick)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 113 30.00    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of AMERICAN TRIBE by TRIBAL RULE)
FIAMINA May20 Apr29       (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY FIONA by GHOSTZAPPER)
LIGHTING AND REIGN Jun09         (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of REIGN by T. V. LARK)
 
LRC-9   07/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSIE FORECAST May26 Apr23 Mar19 Feb19   (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 10.00    
TIZZY TWISTER Jun10 May05 Mar25 Feb03 Jan06 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
SHE'S A BIT SASSY Jun10 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 Dec09 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 15.00    
ULTIMATE HY May29 Apr29 Mar04 Mar05 Feb12 (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 126 2.50 21% 3.70    
RACE JUDICATA Jun10 May05 Jul29 May29 May13 (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.50 12% 7.20    
I HAD THAT ONE TOO Jun04 May05 Apr13 Mar25 Feb15 (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00 6% 15.90    
EMERALD LAKE May29 Nov19 Oct28 Oct02 Aug27 (miller peter)MALDONADO E 126 15.00    
BIG CLARE May26 Jun05 May20 Apr01 Feb20 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 9% 9.90    
MADIHA May26 Apr28 May20 Apr15 Mar26 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 126 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.