Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-3   WIN (3/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-4   WIN (7/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-3   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL INCLUSION Oct28 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 (mcconaghie shaw)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00    
2  CMON SHARON Oct02 Sep18 Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 (willard marsha )NELSON RYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TURBO CHICK         (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
4  WICKED WOMAN Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00    
5  ROX STAR RED Jun11         (schmitt bill)SIMPSON W 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
6  ANN OF WAR Oct28 Oct14 Oct09 Aug28 Aug13 (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00 6% 17.20    
7  FRAN FROM PERU Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00    
 
LBG-4   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO ORBIT Nov13 Oct22 Sep17 Aug20   (gwilliam )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ORB out of READY TO RAMBLE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  STEALING HEARTS Jun18 May21 May20 May14 May06 (conway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
3  FLASHING JOKER Oct29 Oct08 Sep23     (robson travi)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
4  FULLOUT FIRE Oct29 Oct08       (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by FIRESPIKE out of OTHLADY by OTHELLO)
5  NORTHERN MISSILE Oct08         (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 3.00    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of NORTHERN SWALLOW by NORTHERN AFLEET)
6  LUCKY LEGS Oct22         (mcconaghie shaw)APANGO JUAN 124 12.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of CHANGE OF REASON by BRASS MINISTER)
7  YES NO MAYBE SO         (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.50 41% 1.40    
  (by ILIAD out of LOST MEMORY by THUNDER GULCH)
 
LBG-5   06/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Open Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPICHULO         (mcconaghie shaw)SIMPSON W 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by SCHRAMSBERG out of GONE IN A WHISPER by PENTELICUS)
2  GRAY GEM Jun03 May21 Oct10 Sep25 Sep05 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.50 30% 2.40    
  (by MATTY G out of WHATDIDSHESAY by KNIGHT IN SAVANNAH)
3  HUG THE MUNNY Jun10 May14 Dec03 Nov18 Sep17 (schmitt bill)NELSON RYAN 124 7.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  PO BOY May20 May14 May07 Apr29 Mar30 (conway laur)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00    
  (by MO TOM out of FLORA AND FAUNA by GRAND REWARD)
5  BOURBON BANDIT Jun10 May28 May20 Sep24 Sep10 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 5.00    
  (by PARKER'S STORM CAT out of BOURBON BABY by SPEEDING LIGHT (ARG))
6  FIRST PRINCE Jun03 Oct29 Oct14 Sep23 Sep02 (depew jim)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of KINKORA by MACHO UNO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.