Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-2   WIN (5/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-4   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-6   WIN (2/5/9/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/7/8)-(2/5/9/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/7/8)-(2/5/9/7/8)-(2/5/9/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-8   WIN (5/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-10   WIN (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/2)-(4/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/2)-(4/8/2)-(4/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-2   06/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIABOLICAL RULER May07 Mar28 Mar19 Jan24 Dec19 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
FINGLAS LAD Apr23 Apr08 Mar14 Feb21 Feb07 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
TYGER TENNESSEE Feb28 Jan18       (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 2.50    
PATRIOT Jun04 Mar14 Jan17 Dec19 Nov08 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
DEL MAR SUMMER Jan15 Oct25 Sep03 Jul04 Mar19 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
COYSTER Jan10 Nov30 Aug28 Aug14 Jul01 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 123 8.00    
REAL PENNY Apr02 Feb12 May07 Feb22 Feb01 (danl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00    
 
RUI-4   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NUMEROLOGIST May21 May01 Mar12 Feb28 Jan31 (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00    
FIGHT ME May06 Apr29 Apr02 Mar25 Mar18 (figueroa jua)SERRANO KEIVAN 123 12.00    
EAST RAND May21 Apr18 Apr08 Mar05 Feb11 (valerio raymond )MEDELLIN A 123 6.00    
CLAVICHORD May21 Apr08 Mar12 Jan29 Nov26 (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
OPEN ROAD May21 Apr23 Apr08 Mar22 Feb11 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
SHERIFF BROWN May21 Apr02 Mar05 Nov04 Sep24 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
GODDARD May21 Apr08 Mar26 Mar05 Oct31 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
RUI-6   06/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($12.1K) 35 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAME ON ZCUINTLE May21 Apr22 Jan31 Jan01 Dec12 (quiroz filiber)CEBALLOS F 121 15.00    
DON HOLLYWOOD May06 Apr23 Apr02 Mar14 Feb12 (armstrong sherry)JAIME R 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
RARE COIN May14 May06 Apr23 Apr15 Mar14 (barrios ber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.00    
SIMPLY ELEMENTARY May06 Apr23 Mar12 Sep25   (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.50    
THE BUSINESS MAN         (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 12.00 34% 1.90    
BOOM BOOM DADDY May29 Mar05 Feb19 Feb07 Jan17 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00    
DISTORTED GUY May06 Dec19 Nov13 Oct23 Sep28 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
NOGAL CANYON Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 (munoz guadalupe )VALDEZ S 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEA OF INDY Jun03 May06 Apr23 Apr02 Mar14 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
RUI-8   06/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TSUNAMI GOLD May20 Apr29 Apr16 Apr02 Mar14 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00    
D C ALLIED FORCES Mar21 Feb21 Feb07 Dec06 Nov13 (aldavaz hermengi)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00    
DINOS DA DADDY Apr23 Mar21 Feb21 Nov08 May27 (aldavaz jaime)MARQUEZ LARRY 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
JASMINE WHO May14 Apr22 Mar14 Feb05 Jan01 (sedill)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 118 15.00    
FRANCHISE TAGGED May06 Feb26 Feb08 Jan15   (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 3.00 70% 0.40    
POOF HE'S GONE Mar21 Mar19 Jan29 Jan18   (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 4.50 5% 17.60    
BYE BYE HEATH Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 Nov14 Aug14 (barrios bernadet)CHAVEZ R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GO FOR THE LAUGH May20 May06 Apr23 Apr02 Mar19 (alamos armando)PEREZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S NO YOKE May13 Apr16 Mar28 Mar07 Jan24 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00    
 
RUI-10   06/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.8K) 3 ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NACHO GRANDE Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 May20 (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 4.00    
  (by DOME out of SHE'S A VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
PLAYTHEMARKER Nov08 Oct17 Sep25 Aug24 Jul29 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50 21% 3.90    
  (by MARKING out of PLAYOFTHEDAY by MAKHRAJ)
BIG D W Mar12 Feb14       (riddle e)VALDEZ S 121 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of BONNIE MAE'S GIRL by MONTEREY JAZZ)
SPEED BUMP BOB         (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of FOLLOW THE SMOKE by DESERT GOD)
WEEKEND WARRIOR May14 May06       (leyba j)TORRES J 121 15.00    
  (by HESINFRONT out of TALENA by LAUGH TRACK)
SCR  ARBITRO May14 Aug24 Jul30 May20   (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPITOL GUY out of FAUZETA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SPLISH SPLASH May13 Mar19 Mar05 Sep25   (alamos armando)MEDELLIN A 116 6.00    
  (by HOLMES out of TRULY ABOVE by ABAJO)
MY SPECIAL MISTAKE Apr22 Mar12 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of DESERT LADY by BIG SKY CHESTER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.