Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-3   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/2)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-5   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
GP-6   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GP-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(8/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-8   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/9)-(8/2/9) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   05/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSTREET Apr06 Mar19 Feb10 Jan18 Dec04 (eppler e)JARAMILLO E 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
ROYAL JUBILEE Feb05 Dec15 Dec01 Nov05   (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
MAJOR PRYCE Apr28 Mar19 Feb22 Jan04 Dec17 (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 120 1.80 24% 3.20    
FUNTASTICA Nov19 Nov04 Sep18 Sep09   (negrete javier)RAMIREZ R 120 20.00    
SCR  BLACK ICE Apr20 Mar19 Mar01 Feb05 Jan19 (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 120 10.00 12% 7.50    
STUCK IN MALIBU Apr21 Mar30 Mar10 Feb23 Jan15 (biancone pat)MORELOS E 122 2.00    
DULCE AMBICION Apr21 Mar29 Jan04 Dec16 Dec01 (duco luis)BORACO DAVID 120 20.00    
 
GP-2   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUN AMERICAN Mar24         (dobber arnoud )RIOS M 118 3.50 21% 3.90    
MOUSEFAST May04 Apr06 Feb09 Dec30 Dec22 (d'angelo jos)MORRISON AILSA 111 2.50 24% 3.20    
IL MALANDRINO Apr06 Mar11       (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 118 10.00    
NATURAL VIBES Apr21 Mar05 Feb18 Jan19   (pinchin jose)MORELOS E 118 1.80    
DEN STREET Mar29 Feb19 Dec28 Nov20 Oct23 (crichton )ZAHABEDRA EDUARDO 125 15.00 15% 5.50    
ANTILLEAN Mar15 Feb19 Feb01 Dec30 Dec09 (minott leon)MORALES ANGEL 111 3.50    
 
GP-3   05/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARRY HOPE Apr20 Mar24 Jan21 Nov26 Oct15 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 12.00    
LIGHT AND PATH Apr06 Mar02 Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 (sano antonio)JARAMILLO E 118 10.00 8% 11.40    
MISCREANT Mar31 Mar01 Oct14 Aug21 Jul03 (serpe m)PEREZ EDGAR 126 10.00    
BOSTON PRINCESS Apr20 Mar08 Feb09 Jan20 Dec30 (spatz ronald)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  MUSICAL ROMANCE (GB) Apr21 Mar29 Feb16 Jan18 Nov13 (falcone robe)BRIDGMOHAN X 126 6.00    
SANDPIPER MEMORIES Apr09 Mar09 Feb24 Nov13 Sep30 (de cerda)MORALES ANGEL 117 3.00 11% 8.20    
CRYSTAL COAST Apr15 Mar26 Feb24 Jan14 Dec09 (david car)CAMACHO JR 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
ARTIFACT (GB) Apr28 Apr21 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 120 4.50    
 
GP-4   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAG WOMAN Apr20 Mar09 Feb10 Jan04 Dec17 (braddy david)JARAMILLO E 120 1.60 39% 1.60    
FORCES SWEETHEART Mar23 Dec17 Nov05     (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 120 4.00 13% 6.80    
JELLICLE KATZ Apr20 Mar23 Feb17 Jan29 Dec18 (santiago joel)MORALES ANGEL 115 12.00    
LUNA TUNA Apr08 Mar01 Jan11 Dec07 Nov11 (delgado gustavo)PEREZ EDGAR 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
OASIS JAK Mar22 Jan18 Dec30 Nov20   (crichton roh)MORRISON AILSA 113 8.00    
LA RUNA         (minguet ramo)MORELOS E 120 4.50    
 
GP-5   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAILBOX MONEY Oct09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul10 Jun17 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 120 12.00    
SCR  ADIOS ASHER Apr22 Mar16 Mar02 Jan22 Nov26 (hurtak daniel)JARAMILLO E 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
URANIUM Apr08 Mar11 Feb10 Jan08 Dec01 (moubarak nade)MORALES ANGEL 113 10.00 12% 7.10    
MAJOR WAGER Apr16 Mar09 Feb09 Jan12 Dec10 (meah m)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00    
WALL STREET TRADER Apr21 Mar26 Feb02 Dec28 Oct16 (dakin a)HENRY WESLEY 120 15.00    
BARONE CESCO Apr07 Feb10 Dec28 Dec11 Nov18 (hurtak daniel)RIOS M 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
LITTLE JUANITO Apr22 Mar25 Mar08 Feb15   (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
GP-6   05/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($35K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARKLAND Mar09 Feb09 Dec14 Oct09 Sep09 (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
XY TIME Apr07 Mar09 Sep24 Jul27 Jul02 (sano antonio)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00    
JOURNEYMAN Apr29 Apr09 Feb15 Jan28 Dec22 (wright m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00    
ONENIGHTSTANDARDS Mar30 Jan28 Dec14 Nov12 Oct09 (casse mark)PEREZ EDGAR 120 2.00    
SCR  VLADISLAV Apr22 Apr07 Mar25 Mar16 Feb15 (sano anton)PIMENTEL JR 120 5.00    
SPEEDY HANS Feb11 Dec16 Nov20 Nov11 Oct09 (maker michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  A ROSE FOR RAVEN Apr02 Mar04 Feb12 Jan20 Jan01 (young jennif)MORELOS E 118 20.00 5% 18.10    
 
GP-7   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IL MIRACOLO Apr01 Mar04 Feb04 Jan01 Dec03 (sano antonio)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
CENTRODELANTERO         (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 123 4.50    
CUVIER Feb12 Jan14       (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
BIG DATA Apr22 Jan14 Dec16 Nov19   (lerman michael)SUTHERLAND C 120 5.00    
SCR  HOWGREATISNATE Mar18 Mar04 Dec05 Nov05 Sep29 (dobles eliza)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 1.80    
RUN CORY RUN Mar02 Jan21 Dec16     (joseph saffi)MORELOS E 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
GP-8   05/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NIC'S BRO Apr29 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Nov26 (nicks ralph )GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
CRUZIN MAN Apr02 Mar10 Feb10 Jul10   (lorito mario)MORELOS E 118 12.00 6% 15.40    
NERVE Apr07 May27 Apr17     (plesa jr)KRIGGER K 123 4.50    
SCR  ADIOS GARY Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Dec23 Oct29 (orseno f)PANICI LUCA 123 12.00 8% 11.50    
PAPA KATZ Apr28 Apr09 Mar23 Mar12 Feb26 (sano anton)PIMENTEL JR 123 20.00    
ROLLING ON Apr16 Dec04 Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 5.00    
SCR  BELLA FUTURE Apr15 Mar17 Feb18 Jan21 Dec23 (cazares laura)PEREZ EDGAR 123 10.00    
LOYAL LOUIE Apr15 Mar18 Mar02 Feb02 Jan22 (sweezey kent)REYES LEONEL 125 5.00 31% 2.20    
ROCKIN ROLLER Mar29 Feb22 Feb02 Dec30 Nov04 (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.