Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - February 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/6)-(1/7/9/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LRL-3   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LRL-4   WIN (4/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/2)-(2/3/6)-(5/2/12/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(5/2/12/6/10)-(7/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/2/12/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/12/6/10)-(5/2/12/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/12/6/10)-(7/2)-(7) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
LRL-7   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/4/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(7)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LRL-8   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECTOR         (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
MINE RUN Jan15         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
TRUE ACCOUNT Jan15         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 15.00    
DISPUTED CLAIM         (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 10.00    
PRIDE OF PAYTON Jan15 Dec30 Nov27 Oct22 Jul15 (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 1.00 39% 1.60    
SUPER ACCELERATE Nov27 Nov04 Oct14     (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
OROCOVIX Jan21 Jan06       (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
 
LRL-2   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTHEOVER Jan16 Dec02 Nov07     (dilodovico da)ALVELO C 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
GOD IS LOVE Jan06 Dec29 Nov13 Oct14 Sep25 (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50    
THRUSTER Jan20 Dec29 Jun04 May13 Apr01 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
UNCOMMON VALOR Jan16 Dec29 Nov11 Oct27 Oct06 (corrales j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 6.00    
DESPITE ODDS Jan20 Dec30 Apr03     (tapscot)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 6.00    
DEJOHN Jan20 Dec29 Jul28 Jun30 Jun04 (aguirre an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
PLUNK Jan25 Jan04 Nov07 Oct26 Sep29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 5.00 21% 3.70    
NO ME DIGAS Jan26 Jan16 Dec31 Dec07 Jun29 (davis g)ACOSTA D 126 12.00    
LOVE MACHINE Jan16 Dec30 Nov27 Nov11 Oct26 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 4.50 6% 14.90    
 
LRL-3   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JACKSON'S DIXIE Dec29         (howard c)ARAUJO DENIS 121 3.00 71% 0.40    
HEARDITALL Jan28 Oct13 Sep30 Aug27 Aug04 (dove kevin )PAREDES JHOVANY 111 30.00    
ONE LAS OLAS Jan20 Nov19 Oct23 Oct13 Sep18 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 1.60    
MODELO RUBIA Jan29 Nov25 Nov07 Oct26 Oct06 (maldonado)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 12.00    
LOVELY LIZA Jan15 Jun01       (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00    
OJITOS BELLOS Jan28 Jan07 Dec30 Dec10 Nov18 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 117 15.00    
DROPKICK QUEEN Jan20 Jan06 Dec10 Nov19 Sep17 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 121 4.50    
 
LRL-4   02/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A GIRL NAMED JAC Jan16 Nov19 Oct09 Sep03 Aug03 (sillaman ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
LA FAMILIA Jan16 Dec30 Nov23 Nov12 Oct27 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
ITALIAN DRESSING Jan01 Dec02 Oct27 Oct09 Sep17 (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
STARTWITHABANG Jan21 Jan13 Dec09 Nov19 Oct22 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50 23% 3.40    
BEHIND THE COUCH Jan16 Dec29 Dec16 Nov21 Nov11 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 6.00    
NO MORE MASK Jan20 Nov21 Nov12 Oct21 Sep25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 4.50    
DECOUPAGE Oct27 Oct01 Sep08 Jun01 May06 (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 123 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
LRL-5   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SHUGS Dec11 Sep03       (pickett crys)LEWIS M 117 4.00    
1A  NELLY TOO Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Sep15 Aug28 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
MAJOR HOULIHAN Jan13 Dec04       (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SIX THE HARD WAY Jan13         (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
AND WHISTLE         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
FINALJUMP         (houghton)BUTTERFLY L 124 12.00    
ELLIE VICTORINA Jan22 Jan13 Dec31 Dec02 Nov12 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 124 20.00 9% 9.60    
PRINCESS LEXI Jan16         (mcfarlane brand)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 30.00    
HIDEWRIGHT AWAY         (cash l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00    
IMAGINETHEODDS Dec31 Oct16       (voss m)CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
10  SNOOZE BUTTON         (mcmahon hu)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 12.00    
11  SULTRY SALLY H Dec16 Nov26       (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 6.00    
 
LRL-6   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRASH TALKIN LARRY Jan14 Dec17 Dec04 Oct23 Oct06 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 15.00    
FRIGHTLAND Jan06 Dec11 Nov20 Jun17 May26 (russell t)ROSE J 123 4.00 11% 8.00    
BRETT'S WORLD Jan14 Dec14 Nov15 Oct19 Oct04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
UNDER THE RADAR Jan14 Dec18 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
THE ADDISON POUR Jun12 Apr30 Mar25 Feb10 Jan23 (russell britta)CEDENO CAROL 126 6.00 35% 1.90    
ROYAL NUMBER Jul08 Jun12 May13 Apr28 Apr10 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 126 10.00 8% 11.30    
BRILLIANT ICE Jan16 Dec30 Nov18 Oct23 Oct09 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 10.00    
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Jan08 Dec16 Dec02 Nov20 Oct26 (barr h)KARAMANOS A 123 30.00    
GALLANT GOLD Jan27 Jan06 Dec18 Nov14 Oct30 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00    
10  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Jan14 Dec17 Nov24 Nov14 Nov05 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 8% 11.70    
11  FIND FAITH Jan08 Dec09       (graham l)MONTERREY R 123 12.00    
12  BATON Jan14 Dec13 Nov24 Nov04 Sep24 (pino michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50 10% 8.70    
 
LRL-7   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOULDA HAD IT Jan27 Jan16 Jan08 Dec02 Nov11 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 15.00    
NO MORE TALK Jan06 Nov11 Oct22 Sep16 Aug03 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50 11% 7.70    
GREAT GO GO Jan13 Jan01 Nov26 Nov02 Oct05 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00    
FREE SQUARE Jan06 Dec17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep25 (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 123 4.50    
PEPE AND HEYWOOD Dec09 Nov14 Nov05 Oct26 Oct14 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.00    
BOONDOGGLE Jan16 Jan01 Dec18 Dec02 Nov11 (kee j)LEWIS M 116 12.00    
WILD BEHAVIOR Dec31 Nov27 Oct27 Sep21 Aug06 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50 62% 0.60    
 
LRL-8   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORCH OF TRUTH Jan14 Dec17 Oct22 Oct01 Mar19 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50    
INDIAN LAKE Jan07 Dec10 Nov06 Oct20 Sep30 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
SCR  GALERIO Jan21 Jan14 Apr21 Mar19 Feb19 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  IYWAAN Jan14 Dec17 Nov12 Oct14 Sep01 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
RUBY BLEU Jan04 Nov30 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 123 10.00    
SCR  EXCULPATORY Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 Oct08 Aug14 (merryman edwin)CEDENO CAROL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
PLOT THE DOTS Jan21 Jan07 Dec30 Nov24 Nov04 (cash l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.80 10% 8.80    
 
LRL-9   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 45 ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GREAT GAZOO Jan08 Jun20 May02 Mar07 Feb15 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 126 6.00    
DOMINGUEZ Jan08 Nov18 Oct15 Oct08 Sep24 (shuman mark)CRUZ ANGEL 126 12.00    
CROSSLAND Jan27 Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 17% 4.80    
LUIGI'S SPIRIT Jan28 Dec30 Dec09     (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 122 3.50    
SUCCEED Dec21 May28 May14 May04 Apr23 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 9% 10.60    
RARE BREED Nov24 Nov11 Oct23 Oct02   (graham l)MONTERREY R 126 15.00    
YOUR ANALYSIS Jan08 Nov18 Oct02     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.60 51% 1.00    
SCR  SCORESTOSETTLE         (meister wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.