Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Tuesday - January 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (3/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/1/4)-(4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
SUN-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/3/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/3/6/5)-(4/1/3/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/8/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/8/7/1)-(2/4/6/1/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
SUN-3   WIN (5/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/1)-(5/8/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/1)-(5/8/7/1/6)-(5/8/7/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/1)-(2/4/6/1/3)-(2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-4   WIN (2/4/6/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/1/3)-(2/4/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/1/3)-(2/4/6/1/3)-(2/4/6/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(5/2/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SUN-5   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/4/6)-(2/1/3/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/4/6)-(5/2/3/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-7   WIN (5/3/4/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/7/6)-(5/3/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/7/6)-(5/3/4/7/6)-(5/3/4/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/7/6)-(2/3/7/6)-(4/2/8/3/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
SUN-8   WIN (2/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6/5)-(2/3/7/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (2/3/7/6)-(4/2/8/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-9   WIN (4/2/8/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/3/7)-(4/2/8/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/3/7)-(4/2/8/3/7)-(4/2/8/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C D POLDARC Dec05 Nov07 Oct17 Oct05 Sep21 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  IMATBTHTWHTSHESAID Dec13 Nov21 Nov07 Oct05   (lambert case)VILLANUEVA C 124 8.00 ★    
3  LUCK IN MY EYES Dec13 Dec05 Nov07 Sep30 Sep15 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
4  FARMER FRED R F Dec20 Sep15 Jun17 Apr23 Mar27 (barrios bernade)GOMEZ REYES 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHIPPSTER Nov30 Oct17 Oct09 Aug31 Aug14 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00    
6  MARK'S WARRIOR Dec05 Nov30 Nov01 Oct17 Aug31 (munoz gua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 124 8.00    
7  SMOKEN HOUDINI Dec05 Nov30 Nov01 Sep30 Sep15 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 124 4.00 8% 11.00    
8  ABSTRACT KAT Nov30 Nov08 Sep15 Jul22 Jun23 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 12.00    
 
SUN-2   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOS REALES Dec20 Nov30 Sep15 Sep02 Jul31 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.50 34% 2.00    
2  STYLE BENDER Dec12 Dec01 Nov08 Oct16 Sep15 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00    
3  MAJORWAYHOME Dec19 Nov30 Oct30 Sep03 Aug07 (munoz guadalupe )VALDEZ S 121 2.00 ★    
4  CANYON DEL ORO Nov06 Oct10 Sep18 Aug10 May22 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  BLACK EYED BANDIT Dec20 Dec05 Nov07 Oct17 Aug31 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50 ★    
6  STELLARSBLUERIBBON Dec06 Nov15 Oct09 Jul01   (riddle e)TOHILL S 123 6.00 ★    
 
SUN-3   01/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUNKER DOWN Dec13         (young don)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 124 8.00 7% 14.30    
  (by JEFFRIES BAY out of FARRARI STONE by BIRDSTONE)
2  BLAME THE TEQUILA Nov01 Jul23       (riddle jackie )CEBALLOS F 124 12.00    
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of BLAME THE WINE by DECARCHY)
3  CURBS ICE LADY Oct31 Sep24 Aug13     (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of LAURENTIDE ICE by INTIDAB)
4  LIL MISS CASSIE Dec20         (villalobos)RODRIGUEZ H 124 12.00    
  (by MARKING out of LIL MISS MACKY by GREY MEMO)
5  MARKED BY A STORM Dec14 Nov15 Oct31 Oct01 Sep15 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MARKING out of MUSIC IN THE STORM by TRIAL BY JURY)
6  PRECIOUS PRIDE Dec20 Jun04       (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00 ★    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of PRECIOUS BAY QUEEN by BAY HEAD KING)
7  EMOTION N DEVOTION Dec20 Feb18 Jan18     (marr h)TOHILL S 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
  (by PROCEED out of I LIKE TRICKS by TRICKY FUN)
8  JACK'S HAIL MARY Dec20         (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of ROUSANNE by DESERT PARTY)
 
SUN-4   01/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAME ON CHARLOTTE Dec12 Oct18 Sep25     (gonzalez a)TORRES J 121 3.50 8% 11.70    
2  PEPPERS RAMPAGE         (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
3  SINGING DELIGHT Nov14 Oct23 Aug24     (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.00 5% 18.80    
4  HOLOTTALUTE         (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
5  MY TEXAS GIRL Dec01 Nov14       (aldavaz)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 4.50    
6  WHITE LINE FEVER Dec01 Oct31       (cross gary)TOHILL S 121 3.50 14% 6.40    
 
SUN-5   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA'S IRON MAN Dec14 Nov01 Oct17     (marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
2  K P AIM HIGH Dec19 Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 Oct01 (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
3  MAGIC IS FLYING Dec19 Nov21 Oct31 Oct05 Sep16 (silva n)PEREZ A 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  BACK TO WORK Dec19 Oct31 Oct05 Aug31 Jul30 (vega)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 6.00 ★    
5  SMOKE STACK Nov21 Nov07 Oct17 Sep30 Aug31 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50    
6  RAPID EXPANSION Oct17 Oct06 May18 Apr26 Mar27 (crawfor)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00 ★    
 
SUN-6   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUZ I CAN DARLING Dec20 Nov08 Sep24 Sep08 Apr07 (villal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 6.00    
2  NATION OF LAWS Dec20 Nov30 Nov01 Oct18 Aug14 (gonzalez andres)TOHILL S 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
3  WENDY'S SONG Dec13         (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.50 8% 10.90    
4  MISS LUCKY LADY Dec20 Nov30 Nov01 Oct05 Sep08 (cross gary)FUENTES A 124 3.50 ★    
5  BELLE REBELLE Dec20 Nov30 Jun01 May05 Mar26 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  HALEY WHO Dec20 Dec13 Nov30 Oct18 Sep24 (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00 ★    
 
SUN-7   01/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($45.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODIE GOT GOLD Oct30 Oct04 Sep04 Aug26 May29 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00    
2  HALF COURT SAM Dec19 Oct30 Oct01 Sep18 Aug12 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
3  MASSIVE ROAR Oct30 Sep04 Aug10 May29 May01 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 3.00 8% 12.20    
4  STORM BAYOU Dec12 Nov22 Oct30 Oct01 Sep14 (buechler si)SCRIVER L 121 8.00 7% 13.00    
5  THUNDER DOME Oct30 Aug06 Jul17     (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
6  DELBERT TOO Dec05 Oct30 Oct01 Sep14 Aug21 (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 6.00 7% 14.00    
7  CERVEZA Nov22 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 Aug06 (gonzalez andres)TOHILL S 121 10.00 7% 13.20    
 
SUN-8   01/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($45.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKY REVENGE Nov30 Oct16 Jun26 Mar27 Feb13 (gonzales joel)JUAREZ J 121 12.00    
2  DIABOLICAL GATOR Oct30 Aug06 Jun26 Jan04   (marr h)TOHILL S 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
3  IZERIGHT Nov22 Oct30 Oct10 May07 Feb27 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.00 20% 4.10    
4  ALL CHROME Dec05 Nov22 Oct30 Oct10 Sep14 (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 121 8.00    
5  ATTILIANNO Dec05 Nov22 Oct10 Sep03 Apr22 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 8.00 ★    
6  ANCIENT LAND Oct01 Aug27       (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ONE MARK Dec12 Oct30 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 4.00 7% 12.70    
8  LONZO WHO Dec13 Nov14 Oct18 Sep04 Aug05 (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 12.00    
 
SUN-9   01/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL ME Dec13 Nov30 Nov14 Oct24 Apr24 (munoz guadalupe )VALDEZ S 124 10.00    
2  HEY FRIEND Dec20 Mar26       (summers nan)SCRIVER L 124 12.00 8% 11.50    
3  BELLA Y SOFIA Dec19 Sep04 Apr24 Mar26 Mar01 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00 6% 16.80    
4  RUNNING FOR GRACE Dec19 Dec06 Nov14 Oct24 Aug31 (lambert case)FUENTES A 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
5  LENA'S GOLD Dec13 Oct31       (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
6  MISS LORDOSIS Nov14 Oct24 Sep28 Aug31 Aug10 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 4.00    
7  MISS ABILITY Dec19 Dec06 Oct30 Oct04 Sep17 (buechl)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  E BAR SCOUT Dec14 Mar26 Jan28 Jan01   (marr h)TOHILL S 124 8.00 6% 16.50    
9  CRYSTAL WHO Dec05 Nov21 Oct31 Oct18 Feb18 (rojero )FUENTES T 124 10.00    
10  FOXY RED Nov14 Oct24 Sep28 Aug31 Aug10 (rust terri)JUAREZ J 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.