Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - December 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   12/31/2022 4290ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANE WAY Nov06 Oct01 Sep04 Jul30   (mandella richard )SMITH E 121 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CORDEROSA by ALDEBARAN)
IRIDEO (ARG) Nov26 Oct01 Sep03 Jul24 Jun12 (polanco marcelo)VAZQUEZ A 121 15.00    
  (by EASING ALONG out of INFILTRADA by ALL AMERICAN (AUS))
SCR  SUPER OCHO (CHI) Nov05 Oct01 Sep04 Jun22   (sanchez amador)LOPEZ D 121 6.00    
  (by DUBAI SKY out of BERRY BLOSSOM by GRAND REWARD)
GREGORIAN CHANT (GB) Oct29 Oct01 Jul24 Jun11 May06 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 6% 15.20    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN Dec03 Oct01 Sep04 Aug05 Jun23 (glatt mark)BRAVO J 125 3.50 8% 11.40    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of REGGAE ROSE by TOUCH GOLD)
AIR FORCE RED Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 Jun12 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MESANA by MIZZEN MAST)
FRONT RUN THE FED Nov05 Sep10 Aug13 Jul18   (caramori ca)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 12.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
HIT THE ROAD Jan29         (blacker d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HIGHWAY MARY by U S RANGER)
KISS TODAY GOODBYE Feb05         (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 121 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SAVVY HESTER by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
10  SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT Nov26 Nov05 Aug13 May30 Apr15 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SMOOTH AS USUAL by FLOWER ALLEY)
11  SIGILOSO Oct08 Sep01 Jul21 Jul04 Jun04 (sanche)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 12.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of GINABLU by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
SA-2   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALADI Dec11 Nov11 Sep10 Aug13 May21 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 120 5.00    
IMPOSSIBLE TASK Nov06 Oct08 Sep04 Jul02 May15 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
BOLD ENDEAVOR Oct16 Sep04 Jul24 Jun11 May08 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
ROYAL ACT Nov04 Jul01       (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 122 12.00 10% 9.40    
ALL EYES WEST Dec11 Nov06 Oct07 Aug21   (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 6.00    
SCR  DIRECT LINE Dec03 Jul24 May28 Apr03 Feb04 (eurton pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
ORDER AND LAW Nov25 Oct16 Sep03 Jul24 May06 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 3.50    
 
SA-3   12/31/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRENS CANDY GIRL Nov12 Oct09 Aug21 Aug14 Jul23 (lewis craig)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 15.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of WARREN'S JITTERBUG by AFFIRMATIVE)
BIPARTISANSHIP (GB) Dec04 Nov12 Oct20 Mar05 Jan29 (motion g)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00    
  (by BATED BREATH (GB) out of DREAM WILD by ESKIMO PRINCE)
SCR  BURGOO ALLEY (IRE) Nov12 Oct29 Sep10 Aug13 Jan29 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00    
  (by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND (GB) out of NURAMA by DAYLAMI (IRE))
NEW HEAT Dec03 May21 Apr17 Mar20 Feb19 (saa)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 20.00    
  (by UNUSUAL HEAT out of HELLUVA HOOLEY by TOUCH GOLD)
ENGLAND'S ROSE (IRE) Dec04 Oct29 May01 Jan01   (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCARABEA Nov24 Oct08 Aug19 Jul28 Jun19 (harty eoin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of STARSTRUCK (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
CLOSING REMARKS Mar26 Mar05 Jan17     (gaines carla)BRAVO J 123 8.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of ORANGE COVE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
ISLAND OF LOVE (IRE) Oct01 Aug20 Jul23 May29 May07 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 123 20.00    
  (by KODIAC (GB) out of MISHAM by SHAMARDAL)
AVENUE DE FRANCE (FR) Dec04 Oct29 Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 125 6.00 11% 8.40    
  (by CITYSCAPE out of SHARJA PRINCESS by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
10  QUEEN GODDESS May14 Mar26 Feb12     (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50 17% 5.10    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of ROYAL STORY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
11  QUATTROELLE (IRE) Nov24 Oct15 Aug20 Jul23 Jun17 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 6.00 6% 15.80    
  (by MEHMAS out of HEAVENLY RIVER by HEAVENLY CHORUS)
 
SA-4   12/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOMER JUSTICE         (mendez luis)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 8.00    
WEGONAHAVAGOODTIME Nov26 Oct23 Aug27     (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
NORWESTER Dec11 Oct30 Sep24 Jun19 May29 (aquino )CAMACHO JESUS 122 10.00    
AMERICAN GRIT         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
SAMBA FLAVOR Nov12 Jun25 May06 Feb06   (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00    
AGADOR SPARTACUS Dec16 Nov26 Nov04 Oct09 Aug18 (brinkerhoff val)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
CURLY ESA Dec11 Nov20 Sep30 Aug28 Jun03 (oviedo phil)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
STRAIGHTTODASOURCE Dec10 Nov05 Oct15     (alvarado rube)CURATOLO RYAN 122 5.00    
SCR  WESTERN CAPE Dec10 Nov18 Sep17 Sep02 Aug05 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-5   12/31/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT TAXES Oct21 Sep03 Jul30     (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 8.00    
DURAN         (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
VALIANCER Dec04 Oct29 Oct10 Sep11 Aug21 (mullins jeff)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
JOHANNES Nov26 Oct30 Jun09     (yakteen tim)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
DONTTESTYOURLUCK Dec10         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 20.00    
PHOSPHORESCENCE (FR) Oct20         (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00    
NIELSON Sep17         (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 10% 9.20    
STREET MOGUL         (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
LASMUIGH (GB)         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
10  SIR PISTOLERO         (sadler jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
11  TAPIT DOWN         (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
SCR  CALM SEA Nov26         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 15.00    
SCR  STORM THE NIGHT Nov19 Aug20       (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 12.00    
SCR  TEXTHELEGEND Nov26 Oct30       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-6   12/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCODE Nov11 Oct22 Sep22 Sep02 Aug05 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 5.00    
AMERICAN CAT Nov26 Oct16 Aug28 Aug07   (pederson dean)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
STREET ART Dec04 Oct22 Sep10 Aug11 Jul28 (spawr william)SMITH E 122 8.00    
ONCOMING Dec04 Nov11 Oct28 Sep17 Sep02 (saldana ree)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
BRIGHT LEAF Dec04 Sep09 Apr08 Mar18 Feb19 (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  HOUNDSTOOTH Oct22 Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 May20 (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
KANT BEAT THE ROCK Nov04 Oct21 Sep11 Aug14 Jun17 (puype mike)DESORMEAUX J 124 12.00    
AMERICAN REFUGEE Dec10 Sep02 Aug05     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
 
SA-7   12/31/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAGE Oct30 Apr17 Feb27 Jan19   (metz jeffrey)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
ABOVE SUSPICION Nov25 Aug26 Jul22     (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
AGREE TO SETTLE Dec02         (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 8.00    
BUY AMERICAN Nov25 Oct22 Feb19 Jan09   (koriner bri)HERRERA A 124 15.00    
ALBAYAADER (IRE) Oct30 Oct10 Aug20 Jul30 May27 (mullins jeff)SMITH E 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE)         (wong jonath)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
REAL FIRE Nov13 Oct08 Sep09 Jun18 May27 (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
SADDLE UP JESSIE Nov25 Oct30       (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
CAILIN DIANA Nov14 Oct01       (d'amato phil)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00    
10  KATERINI Nov06 Oct22 Sep25     (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SIDE BY SIDE Oct30 Oct08 Aug25 Apr30 Jan23 (hea)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00    
12  MISSING PENNY Dec09 May06 Mar11 Jan29   (treece charl)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 30.00    
 
SA-8   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSICAL ROMANCE May08 Apr08 Mar06 Feb13 Jan22 (nehf jay)CURATOLO RYAN 119 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WALLOON by ALPHABET SOUP)
SAMURAI CHARM Nov22 Oct31 Oct02 Sep05 Jul04 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 69% 0.40    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of BACK SEAT CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
LEXINGTON HUMOR Nov19 Oct29 Aug27 Aug06 Jun11 (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LEXINGTON PEARL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
MANORELLI Nov20 Mar27 Feb27 Jan23 Jan01 (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 119 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of CONQUEST LIL MISS by HORSE GREELEY)
ANACAPA Dec02 Oct30 Oct01 Sep04 Jul22 (gaines carla)BRAVO J 119 4.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of SOOT Z by EMPIRE MAKER)
VIOLENT RUNNER Nov27 Sep22 Jun17 May14 Mar13 (sadler j)ELLINGWOOD A 121 4.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TOP PERFORMANCE by STATE PERFORMER)
LADY T Nov27 Aug20 Jul23 Jun12 May15 (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 119 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RED CARPET MISS by MALIBU MOON)
DORIS MAE Nov18 Oct28       (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of TIZALOVELYLADY by WESTERN FAME)
 
SA-9   12/31/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVESICK BLUES Nov27 Oct29 Sep25 Aug28 Aug14 (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 9% 9.70    
LAW ABIDING Nov11 Oct22 Sep05 Jul30 Jul04 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 120 6.00    
CODE DUELLO Dec11 Nov27 Jul22 Jun03 May08 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 124 10.00    
CREATIVE PEAK Nov27 Nov05 Sep11 Aug12 Jun05 (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00    
ALTRUIST         (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00    
SQUARE CAT Dec04 Nov06 Oct10 Sep11 Aug07 (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 10.00 8% 10.90    
EXCEED SPEED LIMIT Nov05 Oct10 Sep03 Jul30 Jun11 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 13% 6.40    
COMMANDER KHAI Nov27 Oct15 Sep10 Aug19 Jul03 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00    
VIRAT Nov24 Oct22 Sep05 Jul24 May07 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
10  DOITFORANDREW (GB) Apr16 Mar18 Feb19     (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
11  I'LL STAND TALLER Nov27 Nov05 Sep30 Aug18 Jul22 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 12.00    
SCR  AUGUSTA MELODY Nov26 Mar27 Feb26 Jan30 Jan07 (yakteen tim)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  TULSA TORNADO Nov26 Nov05       (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 10.00    
SCR  RECALL AND RELOAD Jul22 May30       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.