Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - October 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   10/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY PURSUIT Oct19 Oct03 Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
DO WHAT IT TAKES Oct11 Sep28 Sep06 Aug23 Aug15 (dean iii)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00    
FAIR LASSIE Oct19 Aug29 Aug01 Jun21 Jun08 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00 11% 8.10    
TIME'S ON MY SIDE Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Jun30 May25 (hillega)NAVARRO J 124 6.00    
BIG RED GIRL Oct10 Aug22 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 8.00 7% 13.90    
OUCH THAT HURT Oct18 Oct04 Jul29     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
STABILIZE Oct04 Sep21 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 5.00 6% 14.80    
 
FL-2   10/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE'S ON YOU Oct18 Oct04 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 119 6.00    
DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
DAREDEVIL BULL Oct17 Sep21 Aug29 Aug15 Jul19 (grabowski john)COA J 116 2.00 36% 1.80    
FIRST FOREVER Sep26 Sep06 Aug16 Jul14 Jun11 (sells ra)DAVIS A 117 4.00    
MAKEAJOYFULNOISE Sep20 Aug15 Aug01 Jul20 May11 (murphy timothy)PIERMARINI T 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
VITANZA Oct10 Sep28 Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 117 15.00    
MISS GOLD MEDALIST Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 Aug01 Jul18 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 8.00 11% 8.50    
 
FL-3   10/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD TO ROYALTY Aug01 Jul18 Jul06 Jun27   (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 4.00    
EUDAIMONIA Oct11 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul06 (buckley )DAVIS A 121 6.00 8% 11.80    
THIN LEGS Feb25 Jan22       (acquilano james)PEREZ E 121 6.00    
RIDING ON A WINNER Oct11         (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 1.60    
INOUAINTALKINTOME Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 Jul13 Jun29 (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00    
MISSIMPAZIBLEEVAN Oct10         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
FL-4   10/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUES CITY Oct17 Oct03 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (dominguez ca)BERRIOS C 124 8.00    
MASSEY HALL Oct19 Oct03 Sep20 Sep13 Aug30 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
HOLY COWBOY Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 (breed a)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 15.00    
HARRISON KNOWS Oct19 Oct11 Sep05 Aug16 Aug08 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
TOWN JAK Oct18 Sep21 Aug30 Jul26 Jul05 (tebbutt )DAVIS A 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
QUINTARELLI Oct17 Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 (turetsky e)GOMEZ O 122 8.00    
SCR  BOWING SNOWMAN Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug22 (muller j)SONE Y 122 3.50    
 
FL-5   10/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLIGNY Oct12 Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 Jul12 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 57% 0.80    
DR. CERFOLIO Oct17 Sep26 Sep13 Feb10 Jan07 (acquilano jame)COA J 121 2.00 11% 8.20    
DRAGON BALLET Sep26 Apr25 Feb16 Feb01   (sells ra)DAVIS A 121 10.00    
EXCEPTIONAL May09 Apr07 Mar19     (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 121 5.00 9% 10.10    
HONEY DOESN'T KNOW Sep05         (garza hector)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00    
DAY AT THE BEACH Oct12 Sep14 Aug22 Aug08   (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 8.00    
MOONS THE LIMIT Oct12 Sep28 Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 121 12.00    
MAMBONICK Sep14         (lugovich richar)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
 
FL-6   10/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' ALONE Oct19 Oct03 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 (sabine t)GOMEZ O 122 4.00    
STONE GUITAR Oct19 Oct04 Sep05 Jul26 Jul12 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00    
WHERE YA GOIN OWEN Oct17 Oct03 Sep20 Sep13 Aug30 (maver eduard)BERRIOS C 122 6.00 13% 7.00    
INALIENABLE RIGHTS Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 Jul06 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 8.00    
TRUE GOLD Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 (sells rachel)COA J 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
DR. LLOYD Sep27 Sep05 Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 (dominguez )DE EMANUEL 122 15.00 6% 15.70    
MARGARITA SUNRISE Oct19 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (wright t)ALVARADO R 124 3.00    
MR. MIMS Aug30 Aug09 Jul04 Jun21 May30 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
 
FL-7   10/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM ALFEET Oct20 Oct04 Sep07 Aug08 Jul20 (huertas nirka)DAVIS KATIE 117 15.00    
1A  BENCH WALK Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 Aug29 Aug09 (huertas )DAVIS A 117 15.00    
DEVIOUS BANKER Oct19 Sep14 Aug16 Aug01 Jul20 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 114 5.00    
SCR  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Sep12 Aug15 Jul19 Jun27 Jun08 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 121 5.00    
SUPPLY CHAIN Aug21 Jul30 Jun16 May06 Apr08 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.00 67% 0.50    
3C  SEANAN Sep21 Sep03 Jul29     (englehart jef)DAVILA R 124 1.00    
FAR AWAY LOOK Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 4.00 8% 11.10    
A HUGE CHECKPOINT Oct09 Sep12 Aug15 Jul20 Jun27 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 121 10.00    
MAKE IT IN NY Sep07 Aug10 Jul06 Jun08 May18 (englehart chris)BAEZ JOSE 121 3.00    
 
FL-8   10/31/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVER'S FORTUNE Oct03 Sep14 Aug31 Jul25 Jul05 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 117 15.00    
COACH BAHE Oct19 Oct04 Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 3.00    
GRIT AND GLORY Oct04 Sep07 Aug22 Aug02 Jul14 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
MANDATORY PAYOUT Oct19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 Jul19 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 117 6.00 8% 12.20    
MATTY'S EXPRESS Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Aug26 Aug20 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 117 8.00    
KINGFISH Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Aug03   (grabowski john)COA J 117 2.50 16% 5.20    
RINGGOOD Oct19 Oct10 Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 (bond brent)GOMEZ O 117 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  FLEET IRISH Mar26 Feb15 Jan19     (hillegass ale)NAVARRO KEVIN 117 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.