Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - October 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   10/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLET CROWN Sep24 Sep09       (dollase crai)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 30.00    
LOYAL TO A FAULT Aug28 Aug12 Jul23 Jun10   (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.00    
MISS KALINE Sep22 Aug28 Jul29     (bell r)SMITH E 120 4.00    
BIG GIFT Oct10 Sep09       (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 120 6.00    
GRAZED MY HEART Aug28 Aug19 Jun11 May27   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 1.60 67% 0.50    
SMOOVE AS SILK Sep16 Aug26 Aug13     (freeman edwar)CURATOLO RYAN 120 2.50    
 
SA-2   10/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROL'S COMIC Aug28 Aug06 Jun26 Jun05 May01 (brinkerhoff v)CURATOLO RYAN 121 5.00    
ARTISTIC SERVE Oct09 Aug18       (agarie rick)HERRERA A 121 15.00    
SCR  EASY FOUR YEARS Aug18         (gaines carla)BRAVO J 119 12.00    
WEGONAHAVAGOODTIME Aug27         (blacker daniel)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50    
BAG'S GOLD Oct02 Jun19 May28 Apr09   (aguirre paul)PAYERAS EDGAR 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
AGRIGENTO May08 Apr09       (powell)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 5.00    
BIG GUN Aug27 Jan15       (yakteen ti)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
SA-3   10/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOODY JIM (IRE) Sep09 Aug12 Jun18 May14 Apr16 (puype mike)SMITH E 122 3.00    
OVERDUE Sep09 Jul29 May21 Mar25   (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00    
CREW DRAGON Jun12 Mar11 Feb05 Jan02   (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
MECKLENBURG (IRE)         (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
LUVLUV Sep17 Aug06 Jun26 May07 Apr02 (sadler w)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
FIRST PREMIO Oct08 Aug13       (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 122 2.50 57% 0.70    
LI MU BAI (IRE) Sep10         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
 
SA-4   10/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET FIX Sep02 Jul24 May27 Apr30 Apr02 (diodoro ro)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
SUPER RENEE Oct07 Aug25 Jul31 May30 May06 (hess b)SMITH E 121 6.00    
AMERICAN LILY Sep25         (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 121 1.60 53% 0.90    
AWESOME TAYLOR Jan14         (miller peter)MALDONADO E 121 2.50 12% 7.40    
FRIED ASPARAGUS Sep05         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00    
 
SA-5   10/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIRLEY'S BANE Sep09         (mullins jeff)SMITH E 120 8.00    
DASH AWAY Oct02         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 26% 2.90    
DIVINELY BOLT Oct02 Sep11 Aug07     (ruis shelbe)CURATOLO RYAN 120 8.00    
GOOD AS GONE Oct01 Aug21 Jul23     (knapp stev)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 20.00    
PRINCESS BETTINA Sep11 Aug07       (eurton peter)BRAVO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MONIQUE Aug21         (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
SUNSET GLORY (IRE)         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER Sep11         (powell)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 20.00    
LOANA Sep24 Aug25       (dollase craig)BAZE C 120 8.00 9% 10.50    
 
SA-6   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURIFIED Sep22         (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 16% 5.30    
PIROLI Sep02 May29 Apr17 Mar06 Jan21 (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 121 5.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  WESTERN CAPE Sep17 Sep02 Aug05 Jul09   (treece s)BAZE C 121 12.00    
STORMING CHROME         (drysdale ne)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 8.00    
PRINCIP         (glatt mark)SMITH E 121 6.00    
HOPKINS Sep04         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
TENTH STREET DON Jul09 May21 Apr16 Mar05   (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 121 12.00    
OMERTA CODE Sep04         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 12.00    
ANDROS Sep25         (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 121 8.00    
10  KRAHENBUHL Sep25         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 121 12.00    
 
SA-7   10/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POP D'ORO Sep11 Aug14 Jun18 Apr13   (palma o)BRAVO J 118 12.00 6% 15.00    
THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE)         (eurton peter)ESPINOZA V 118 4.00    
KID AZTECA Sep30 Sep11 Aug05 Jul09 Jun10 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
MARDUKAS Aug14 Jun26 Jun08     (engler jeff)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 20.00    
TOP OF MY GAME Sep25 Jul30 May12 Apr28 Apr13 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 20.00    
CASTLEKNOCK Oct09 Sep14 Jul31 Jul08 Jun18 (miller peter)MALDONADO E 120 1.20 39% 1.60    
CLASSICAL CAT Sep11 Aug20       (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
SA-8   10/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FABULOUS FORUM Sep19 Sep10 May15 Mar17 Feb11 (hernandez )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
TALKATIVE GAL Sep22 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (farias adan)RAMIREZ RICARDO 119 12.00    
SHVERE ARBETER Sep24 Sep18 Aug21 Jul02 May29 (kruljac ia)VAN DRAYDEN 124 6.00    
IT'S A RIDDLE Aug04 Jun25 Feb20 Jan28 Jan02 (pineda milton)CURATOLO RYAN 122 8.00    
INTHEMISTYMOONLITE Aug14 Jun19 Jun05 May19 May01 (w)ROJAS EDUARD 122 30.00    
SECRET SQUARE Sep23 Aug26 Aug11 Jan16   (knapp steve)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 6.00    
SEVEN POINTS Sep12 Aug20 Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 (ortiz manuel)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 15.00 16% 5.20    
RIGHTEOUSLY Sep05 Aug04 Jun25 Jun05 May07 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
FLATTERWITHJEWELS Sep16 Jun25 Apr17 Feb01 Jan05 (pineda g)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
10  TIZZY TWISTER Sep22 Aug11 Jul10 Jun10 May20 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 109 8.00    
SCR  BLAME IT ON ROSE Sep22 Sep05 Aug04 Jan26   (hess r)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 3.50    
 
SA-9   10/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($39K) 2 ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRIZO SPRINGS Aug07         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00    
KEEN TO GO Sep11 Jul31       (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00    
BLUEGRASS RYDER Oct10 Aug26       (oviedo phil)BAZE C 122 6.00    
SOUTH COAST ROUTE Sep17 Aug18 Jul30 Jul03   (miller peter)VALDIVIA JR 120 6.00    
ZOOKEEPER Aug26 Aug07 Jun10     (hanson ryan)MALDONADO E 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
KOLOMIO Aug26 Jul30 Jul03     (cerin vladimir)BRAVO J 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
ICE STORM Sep25 Aug07       (marquez alfredo)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00    
SCHMEAR         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.