Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Friday - October 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   10/21/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WENJACK Sep23 Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jul07 (grant carlos)HUSBANDS P 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  MARTEN RIVER Sep16 Sep02 Aug05 Jul07 Jun12 (russo s)JONES SLADE 119 2.50 9% 10.10    
3  EXECUTIVE SIGHT Sep02 Jul31 Jul15 Jun10 May08 (banach darwi)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00    
4  TALL WATER Sep13 Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 Jun05 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 20.00    
5  WESTERN TROUBLE Sep09 Aug28 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 (armata v)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
6  STRIKING HEIR Sep23 Sep09 Jun17 May07 Mar04 (dunslow a)HOYTE JASON 122 20.00    
7  JUST JIMMY Oct09 Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 (hall philip)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  PRINCE SUSSEX Oct07 Aug27 Aug13     (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 122 20.00    
9  GOLDMINE CAT Sep23 Sep02 Aug05 Jul07 Jun04 (chartrand-hoek)STEIN JUSTIN 122 8.00    
10  ALICIA'S KID Sep16         (tharrenos willia)SALLES LEO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
WO-2   10/21/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 GOOD Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($70.7K) 2 ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEMLO GOLD         (charalambous el)MORENO OMAR 118 20.00    
SCR  TRINITY PARK Oct02         (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 10.00    
3  PASSIONPLATE Oct02         (depaulo m)WILSON JAYNE 118 10.00    
4  IT'S TRUE Sep11 Aug28       (douglas matt)HOYTE JASON 118 6.00 9% 10.50    
5  MORSTACHY'S Sep18 May29       (attard kevin)JONES SLADE 113 3.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  PROUD RONIN         (huarte frank)STEIN JUSTIN 121 15.00    
7  QUIET VISTA Oct09 Sep18 Aug28     (tiller robert)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 4.00    
8  TODAY Oct02 Sep10 Aug28 Jul31   (buttigieg paul )MORAN DAVID 118 12.00    
9  PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Jul24 Jul03 May29     (squires nath)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 10.00    
10  ROCK BULLET Sep18         (attard c)BOULANGER G 118 15.00    
11  ABSOLUTE CHAIRMAN         (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 20.00    
SCR  STREET SERENADE         (owens steve)FLORES ESWAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  CONFUSING Sep04 Jul29 Jun30 May21   (cox gail)CAMPOS LUIS 121 12.00    
14  GUNS N' ROJAS Oct09 Sep22 Aug21     (buntain angu)CARROLL DECLAN 118 2.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  PARAMOUNT PRINCE         (attard jamie)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WO-3   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($123.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK RELOAD         (potti)DOUGLAS K 121 15.00    
2  LAST DAWN Sep25 Sep04 Jul10 Jan15   (cox)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  MAHOGONY WILDCAT Oct01         (holder tedston)HOYTE JASON 121 50.00    
4  JACK Oct02 Sep04 Aug12 Jul03   (minshall barbar)JONES SLADE 119 2.00 ★    
5  STEP FORWARD Aug12         (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 10.00    
6  CURE IN REACH Oct02         (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 124 3.50 9% 10.00    
7  TAKE CHARGE SOUSI Sep18 Sep01 Jul31 Jul14 Jun26 (mattin)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
8  HE'S GOT SOUL Sep18 Aug21 Jul24 Jul03   (black ian)WILSON JAYNE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WO-4   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($54.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAT MERCHANT Sep25 Aug13 Aug05 Jul17 Jun23 (krczmar z)WILSON JAYNE 121 10.00    
2  CONFIDENT N ELITE Oct08 Sep10 Aug05 Jul14   (wil)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 119 20.00    
3  GOZILLA Aug05 Jun24 May29 May08 Mar17 (drexler mart)CARROLL DECLAN 123 6.00 33% 2.00    
4  WOOD BE WILD Oct07 Aug28 Jul31 Jul08 Jun17 (gracey philli)HOYTE JASON 123 20.00    
5  JACKIE'S PRIDE Jul31 Jul08 Jun26 Jun03 May08 (buttigieg m)SALLES LEO 123 3.50 6% 16.90    
6  CEREBRO Sep30 Sep01 Jul31 Jul17 Jun23 (smith j)FLORES ESWAN 123 10.00    
7  DRAGON'S KEY Sep16 Aug26 Jul31 Jul10 Jul02 (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 8.00    
8  AIM FOR THE SKY Oct09 Aug19 Aug12 Jul10 May29 (tiller rober)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
9  RACING IN THE RAIN Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 Jul17 Jun23 (nosowenko nicho)JONES SLADE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  EXCEED Oct07 Jul10 Jun23 Jun03 May08 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 123 20.00    
11  MR NARCISSISTIC Sep10 Aug25 Jul10 Jun17 Jun05 (buttigieg paul)STEIN JUSTIN 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
WO-5   10/21/2022 4620ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED DANCER Sep29 Sep10 Jul30 Jul07 May29 (smith j)STEIN JUSTIN 118 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  TALK TO YA LATER Sep24 Aug28 Aug06     (black ian)WILSON JAYNE 122 4.00 8% 12.00    
3  MY GIRL SKY Sep24 Sep05 Aug11 Jul01 May27 (vassilieva kateri)BAHEN R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WELL ACTUALLY Oct06 Sep17 Aug21 Aug06 Jul21 (glennon darr)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 10.00    
5  PLEASURE'S GOLD Sep13 Aug12 Jul16 Jun12 May21 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  ALLPAIDUP Oct03 Sep19 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 (thomps)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
7  KEEP IT NEAT Sep30 Sep11 Jul23 Jul01 May27 (dunslow a)HOYTE JASON 118 20.00    
8  INDIAN MUSIC Sep24 Sep10 Aug12 Jul09   (sims michael)HUSBANDS P 118 15.00    
9  SOUPER FLASHY Sep13 Aug14 Jul24 Jun11 May12 (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.00 16% 5.10    
 
WO-6   10/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($66.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET INTENT Sep25 Sep02 Aug11     (greer ev)SALLES LEO 122 20.00    
2  NONNO'S LITTLE BOY Sep30 Sep04 Aug14 Jul01 Jun03 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  MORE THAN A DANCE Sep30 Sep23 Aug19 Jul23 Jun12 (mattine john)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 12.00    
4  CREDIT RIVER Jul23 May20       (hayes breeda)JONES SLADE 117 8.00    
5  EAGLE CHIEF Sep25 Sep02 Jul24 Jun05 Mar31 (tharrenos will)FLORES ESWAN 122 6.00    
6  NEWPORT AGENT Sep25 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 Jun24 (attfield )WILSON JAYNE 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  TOUR OF DUTY Sep17 Aug12 Jul17 Jul03 Jun05 (drexler mart)CARROLL DECLAN 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  FINDING FREEDOM Sep17 Aug06       (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  OCTOBER FROST Sep23 Sep11 Sep02 Aug12 Jul17 (pleterski bosi)CIVACI SAHIN 120 20.00    
10  JUST START ME UP Oct04 Sep23 Sep05 Aug13 Jul28 (leblanc jo)CAMPOS LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  GIANT ONE Sep30 Sep05 Aug13 Jul01 Jun04 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
WO-7   10/21/2022 4620ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 C/G PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY HOLIDAY Sep13 Aug12 Jun10 May20   (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00    
2  SILENT RUNNER Sep13 Aug12 Jun11 May01   (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 122 3.00 ★    
3  GIANT TEDDY Sep25 Aug28 Jul15 Jun19 May13 (carey ju)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  BANFF Oct02 Sep03 Aug12 Jul17 Jun05 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 118 2.00 24% 3.10    
5  UNCLE JOE Sep13 Aug12 Jul17 Jun19 Jun02 (chircop stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 10.00 12% 7.30    
6  HUNT MASTER Sep13 Aug21 Jul15 Jun02   (buntain a)WILSON JAYNE 118 15.00    
7  FULL SCREEN Aug28 Jul24 Jul01 Jun12 May22 (belhum)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00 8% 12.20    
 
WO-8   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET Sep04 Aug13 Jun12 Apr09 Mar19 (parente pat)STEIN JUSTIN 119 10.00    
2  WILLIAM'S CAUSE Sep30 Sep04 Jan13     (attard kevin)JONES SLADE 116 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  RED MAVRIK Sep30 Sep15       (attard c)CARROLL DECLAN 122 10.00    
4  BARTICA Sep30 Sep04 Aug12 Jun30   (callaghan kelly)CALLAGHAN S 121 10.00 10% 9.00    
5  FREE CAT Oct01 Sep23 Sep09 Aug19   (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 20.00    
6  BEAUFORT Aug23 Jul25 Jun28     (villeneuve fran)MORENO OMAR 124 12.00 10% 9.50    
7  MR. COMMISH Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 Aug23 Jul29 (pion sylva)CAMPOS LUIS 119 10.00    
8  MISTER MAX Oct10 Sep27       (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 121 20.00    
9  ANSELMO Oct14 Sep22 Sep02 Jun30 Jun19 (tharre)ALDERSON IAN 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
10  DUSTY'S CHANCE Sep29 Aug27 Jul29 May26   (attard c)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 15.00    
11  UNBRIDLED INFERNO Sep30         (holder tedston)HEIN NICOLE 116 30.00    
12  POT COMMITTED Sep30 Sep09 Jul10 Jun19 May20 (cole-simpson kri)SALLES LEO 121 3.50 10% 8.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.