Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - October 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-2   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR BRONX Oct07 Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 May28 (robertson je)ZENTENO RAFAEL 126 5.00 18% 4.40    
VISION QUEST Oct07 Sep10 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 126 10.00    
NEVVARE Oct07 Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug19 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 2.50    
FROBISHER BAY Oct07 Sep23 Sep10 Aug27 Aug19 (rycroft tom)CUMBERBATCH R 126 6.00    
INTENT TO STRIKE Oct15 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 2.00 21% 3.70    
MAJESTIC CAFE Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 126 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
CTM-3   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTIFRAAD Oct07 Sep09 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 3.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  KIKI DO U LOVE ME Sep27 Sep19 Aug09 Jul27 Jun22 (jordan jen)MCINTOSH SHAQUIL 113 10.00    
SUNDAY SUZANNE Sep12 Aug24 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 6.00    
FINALIZE Sep09 Aug17 Aug03 Jun27 Jun13 (cone rodney)CUMBERBATCH R 121 5.00    
HE'S CRIMSON CODE Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28   (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
DOC COPE Sep23 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
CTM-4   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISING REVOLUTION Oct08 Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 (rycroft tom)CUMBERBATCH R 126 6.00    
IRISH TRICK Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Sep09 Aug26 (brown r)WALCOTT W 126 2.00 41% 1.40    
SOUL FREEDOM Oct10 Oct01 Sep23 Sep18 Aug23 (biggs )LEWIS ANTHONY 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
PERDITION Oct07 Aug05       (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 126 3.50 7% 14.00    
ALONGTHEWATCHTOWER Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 4.00 24% 3.10    
BELLS AND WHISTLES Oct07 Sep18 Aug06 Jul30 Jul17 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 5.00    
MUCHO MAGIC Sep30 Sep18 Aug20 Aug05   (joseph lionel)BALROOP SVEN 118 8.00    
 
CTM-5   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEARL OF KNOWLEDGE Sep10 Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 May28 (tracy greg)WALCOTT W 125 2.00 38% 1.60    
WINE TASTER Sep23 Aug13 Jul30     (frey carson)BRYAN D 120 8.00    
LIGHT FAST FEET Oct07 Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul02 (hawkes darc)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
A LOT OF SPUNK Oct07 Sep25 Aug29 Aug09 Jul01 (brown jar)ZENTENO JR 125 4.00 9% 10.00    
QUICK DIAL Oct07 Sep23 Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 (wendland w)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 6.00    
EXACTLY Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 (joseph lione)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 5.00 21% 3.70    
JOY IN GRACE Oct08 Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 Jul08 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50 10% 9.10    
 
CTM-6   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSSIE'S BELLA Oct14 Sep30       (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 120 4.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  PRENTON Oct01 Sep17       (bott sharon)ZENTENO RAFAEL 123 10.00    
RUN ROSSCO RUN Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 (petrowski jo)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 2.50 9% 9.80    
SCR  ABBEY OOPS         (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
BOMEGA Aug14         (ferguson l)RIZO ALEXIS 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
ATABOYCOOKIE Sep27 Sep13       (gaskin ste)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 15.00    
KISS AWAY Oct07 Sep09 Aug26 Jul23 Jul09 (smith craig )WALCOTT W 123 3.50 52% 0.90    
DUKE OF DEWINTON Oct07         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 4.50    
 
CTM-7   10/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTESS CAT Sep10 Jul31 Jul01 Jun12 May29 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50 5% 19.00    
WHITEROSE SPIRIT Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Aug30 Aug16 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRECIOUS NOTES Oct01 Sep17 Aug19 Jul30 May20 (bell ken)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 12.00    
NORTHERN GOLD Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul31 Jul08 (perry carl)RIZO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
MIDNIGHT TAKE Oct15 Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 (rycroft tim)ROQUE C 120 5.00 25% 3.10    
HUMBOLDTSTRONG Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 Jul16 Jun17 (rycroft to)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 4.00 5% 19.00    
MUSICAL RELOAD Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 120 8.00    
LULABELLE Oct01 Sep10 Aug19 Aug13 Jul31 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 122 10.00    
SWIFT SWALLOW Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 May13 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
CTM-8   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUBBORN LOVE Aug12 Jul15 Jun10 May07 Apr11 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
AMUSING WAY Oct07 Sep24 Sep10 Aug12 Jul15 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.00    
SCR  FAST LANDING Oct14 Sep03       (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00 13% 6.80    
JEFF FA FA Sep24 Sep06 Aug17 Aug03   (kingston rob)WALCOTT W 125 5.00 25% 3.00    
INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 10.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  SHAKINOFFTHERUST Sep24 Sep10 Aug12 Jul15   (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50    
HANDSOME HENRY Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
KEEPMEINPOWER Sep24 Aug27 Jul15     (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 12.00    
WIDE EYED WILEY Oct01 Sep17 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.