Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - October 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEEL THE GLORY Sep18 Jun26 May07 Apr10 Mar05 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00    
2  MISS COREY Sep22 Aug20 Aug10 Jul01 Jun11 (badillo jona)BATISTA A 118 5.00 ★    
3  MOONLIGHT MISS Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 Jun23 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 12.00 21% 3.80    
4  GOSSIPING Sep28 Sep15 Sep01 Aug25 Jul30 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
5  RAVIOLI MAMA Sep28 Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 Jun23 (scott l)MONTANO JOSE 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  MAGIC IN ME Sep28 Sep15 Aug26 Aug14 Jul01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.20 35% 1.80    
7  AWESOME INCENTIVE Sep22 May07 Apr21 Mar16 Feb17 (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
 
CT-2   10/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY SPARROW Sep22 Sep02 Aug06 Jun18 May25 (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 10.00    
2  SISTER JOANN Sep29 Sep21 Sep08 Jul28 Jun18 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 121 1.80 11% 8.10    
3  TINA'S SONG Sep28 Jul22 Jul01 Jun23 May05 (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 ★    
4  YESSIROFFICER Sep21 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
5  HANDSOME JOANIE Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jun04 May12 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 ★    
6  TRIPLE GALA Sep29 Jun04 May12 Apr28 Apr14 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
CT-3   10/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIENTE EL AMOR Sep24 Jun17 Jun02 May25 May14 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 121 4.50 ★    
2  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Sep28 Aug27 Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 (atkins mic)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 8.00 ★    
3  MISTER DEEKS Sep28         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 124 6.00 ★    
4  BERNIE THE GAMBLER Sep28 Sep07       (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00    
5  GHOST MINE Sep28 Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 Jun16 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 122 20.00    
SCR  JEFFERSON SECURITY Sep24 Sep03 Aug13     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 1.00 63% 0.60    
7  NEVERFOLD Oct01 Sep11 Aug20 Aug06 Jun26 (ashby randy)CECIL Y 124 4.00 6% 14.50    
 
CT-4   10/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 2 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE IS MIKE Sep17         (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Sep20 Sep09 Sep03 Jun28 Jun14 (brooks e)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.50 ★    
3  BAYTOWN GET IT ON Sep29 Sep08 Jul09 Jun22 Jun14 (mcentee pa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Sep20 Sep10 Aug26 Aug09 Jul19 (brooks)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00 ★    
5  BAYTOWN JAGGER Sep29 Sep08 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 10.00    
6  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Sep02 Jul28       (crane clo)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
CT-5   10/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO BIT KID Sep24 Sep13 Aug31 May24   (delong ben)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.20 39% 1.60    
2  SUGAR DADDY Sep24 Aug04 Jul10 Jun11 May06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 ★    
3  COWBOY AT HEART Sep24 Jul29 Jun30 Jun18 Apr28 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 ★    
4  HOBE SOUND (IRE) Sep10 Aug20 Aug04 Jul07 Jun03 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 10.00    
5  KENNY HAD A NOTION Sep24 Sep07 Jul30 Jul07 Jun23 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
SCR  WELLING Sep30 Sep09 Aug27 Aug05 Jun12 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 ★    
7  COMBINATION Aug06 Jun24 May06 Apr13 Mar24 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
CT-6   10/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHINA CAT Sep28 Sep10 Aug06 Jun09 May20 (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  MISS WILD Sep24 Sep10 Aug18 Jun23 Apr07 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 12% 7.20    
3  LADY MACHO Sep10 Aug06 Jul18 Jun09 May20 (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
4  VOLNAY Sep28 Sep09 Jul23 Jun10 May19 (perri gina)ALVELO C 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
5  TALKTHETALK Sep23 Sep01 Jun30 Jun10 Apr27 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 ★    
6  MARKETABILITY Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Aug04 May06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 ★    
 
CT-7   10/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMMY Sep09 Aug13 Jul08 Jun17 May11 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00 ★    
2  STRINGFELLA Oct05 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.50    
3  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Mar16   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
4  SARGENT KOBE Sep23 Sep07 Aug27 Jun25 Jun11 (lane j)THORPE DARIUS 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
5  SLEW THE TURN Sep15 Aug19 Jul18 Jun25 May18 (carlisle john )ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 8% 12.10    
6  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Sep21 Sep09 Aug27 Jul30   (jones michael)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
7  SPECTACULO Sep29 Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 118 6.00 ★    
8  BURR HILL BULLET Sep30 Sep09 Jun18 May21 Apr29 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 10.00    
 
CT-8   10/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN METTLE Jul21 Jun04 May12 Apr14 Feb25 (hamlin ka)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
2  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Sep29 Sep07 Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 (atkins michae)ADAMS L 111 10.00 ★    
3  CRISTIANO BOY Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 (greaves)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 4.50 11% 8.20    
4  SPINISH Feb02         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 2.00    
5  ROCKET BALLAD Sep08 Aug19 Jun17 May04 Feb25 (myers larry)CECIL Y 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHARTERED COURSE Sep28 Aug20 Jul09 Jun17 May11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 3.00 16% 5.10    
7  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul09 (boggs joanna)BOCACHICA O 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.