Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - October 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   10/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOKIE Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul23 Jun25 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.50 ★    
2  WHERE'S THE GOLD Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 (bell ken)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00 12% 7.70    
3  LANNY MAC Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul01 Jun18 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 126 1.60 45% 1.20    
4  VISION QUEST Sep10 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May21 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 2.00 ★    
5  FROBISHER BAY Sep23 Sep10 Aug27 Aug19 Jul23 (rycroft tom)FRASER MEAGAN 116 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
CTM-2   10/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHT FAST FEET Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul02 Jun17 (hawkes darc)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 1.60 ★    
2  SASSY BUT CLASSY Sep24 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 (pay)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 2.00 17% 5.00    
3  CUVEE TEE Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 (ward anderso)WALCOTT W 125 4.50 ★    
4  THRILL OF THE NITE Sep19 Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 Jul04 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 8.00 13% 6.70    
5  SASSY CINDERELLA Sep24 Sep10 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
 
CTM-3   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENSINGTON MARKET Sep24 Sep03       (ananas edw)RIZO ALEXIS 123 10.00 ★    
2  MADE FOR MORE Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 (rycroft tom)BALROOP SVEN 118 2.50 16% 5.30    
3  MY LUCKY MARK Sep10 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 126 5.00    
4  MAKE GOOD CHOICES Aug19 Jul30 Jun18 May21   (smith rob)NELSON DANE 126 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  PROOF IT Sep23 Sep09 Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 6.00 ★    
6  UNBRIDLED'S SKYE Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul30 Jul16 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 3.00 11% 8.20    
 
CTM-4   10/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS AWAY Sep09 Aug26 Jul23 Jul09   (smith craig )WALCOTT W 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
2  MUSIC HOUR Aug26 Jun04       (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.00 14% 6.30    
3  AMUSING WAY Sep24 Sep10 Aug12 Jul15   (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00 ★    
4  CHRIS'S COMMAND Sep09 Jul09 Jun10 May20   (haw)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 5.00 ★    
5  DUKE OF DEWINTON         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 6.00    
6  ESTIFRAAD Sep09 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
CTM-5   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLS AND WHISTLES Sep18 Aug06 Jul30 Jul17 Jun25 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 ★    
SCR  JUSTATAPIN Sep28 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 (cone rodney)CUMBERBATCH R 125 5.00 42% 1.40    
3  SARATOGA STYLE Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 Jul05 Jun07 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00    
4  TALA Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 (biggs seymo)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
5  WITT'S TENNY TEN Sep12 Aug29 Aug02 Jul27 Jul05 (gaskin steve)WALCOTT W 125 10.00 13% 6.50    
6  A LOT OF SPUNK Sep25 Aug29 Aug09 Jul01 Apr30 (brown jar)ZENTENO JR 125 3.50 14% 6.30    
7  KISSABLE U Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 (rycroft tim)ROQUE C 125 4.00 ★    
 
CTM-6   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIPLOMATICA Sep18 Aug20 Jul31 Jul02 Jun17 (rycroft tim)ROQUE C 122 3.50 ★    
2  AMBER PRINCESS Sep18 Sep02 Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 (joseph lione)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00    
3  DRAMATIC FLAIR Sep24         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 ★    
4  QUICK DIAL Sep23 Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jun24 (wendland w)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 6.00    
5  VIVIEN'S CHARM Sep23 Jul30 Jun24 May07   (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 4.00 9% 10.60    
6  LILBITSPICY Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 (pay)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
7  QUEEN RHONDA Sep23 Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 (smith ron)ZENTENO JR 123 2.00 54% 0.80    
 
CTM-7   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVVARE Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug19 Jul23 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 4.00 12% 7.30    
2  FAST EH Sep30 Aug20 Aug06 Jul29 Jul15 (davies)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  PERDITION Aug05         (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 124 8.00    
4  FULL VELOCITY Sep23 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 2.50 ★    
5  STRONG BELIEF Sep24 Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 123 15.00    
6  AMEER Oct01 Sep10 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 (joseph lio)MCINTOSH SHAQUIL 113 10.00    
7  PHANTOM MAC Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May07 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 5.00 10% 8.60    
8  WYE CROSS Sep23 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 (smith ron)ZENTENO JR 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
CTM-8   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIMSHINE Aug19 Jul29 Jul16     (bourne eli)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 15.00    
2  CHARMING VINTAGE Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 (wyness)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
3  RYANWATER Aug26 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun10 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 5.00 8% 11.50    
4  WHISKEY BOUND Sep23 Aug27 Aug05     (rycroft tom)CUMBERBATCH R 124 6.00    
5  OUR DANDY'S BOY Sep09 Aug06 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 (oberholtzer )WALCOTT W 126 2.50 17% 5.00    
6  SIR BRONX Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 May28 May13 (robertson j)MARTI ALEXANDER 126 8.00 15% 5.60    
7  MAJESTIC CAFE Sep23 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 126 4.00 33% 2.00    
8  NORTHERNLOCOMOTIVE Aug26 Aug06 Jul30 Jun24   (petrowski joa)MUIR SHAMAREE 126 3.50 ★    
 
CTM-9   10/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT VISION Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 (grieves ron)BALROOP SVEN 118 4.00 6% 16.10    
2  TAKE NO PRISONERS Sep18 Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 (hawkes darcy)WALCOTT W 126 3.50 66% 0.50    
3  VICTORY AT LAST Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Jul23 Jul09 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 126 2.50 7% 12.40    
4  FIRST BASE Sep18 Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (petrowski joa)MUIR SHAMAREE 121 10.00    
5  ICE BOX INDY Sep18 Aug06       (robertson je)ZENTENO RAFAEL 124 8.00    
6  HE'S THE CHAIRMAN Sep26 Aug29 Aug03 Jun21 Jun14 (cone rodney)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00 ★    
7  RATTLESNAKE JACK Sep23 Sep04 Aug13     (smith darcy)ZENTENO EDGAR 121 20.00    
8  PUMP THE BRAKES Sep17 Sep02 Aug20 Jul31 Jul10 (joseph lionel)LUNAN RICHARD 123 6.00 ★    
9  OUTLAWED IN TEXAS Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.