Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALOON GIRL Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 (dean iii)BAEZ JOSE 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
2  PALS ALLY Sep20 Sep12 Aug17 Aug02 Jul20 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 118 12.00 17% 4.90    
3  SHESASCOLDASICE Aug26 Jul25 Jun23 May24 Apr27 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 1.00 28% 2.60    
4  QUIET HORIZON Sep14 Aug15 Jul11 Jun29 Jun14 (cabrera )DAVIS A 121 10.00    
5  SWEET LARISSA Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul04 Jun01 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.00 ★    
6  THE NEW MIAMI Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 Jul26 (vasquez ram)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00 ★    
 
FL-2   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S MAGA Sep21 Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 Jul18 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00 ★    
2  EYE'S ON YOU Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 Jul18 Jun28 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 118 5.00 30% 2.30    
3  TREATHERLIKESTAR Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Jul04 Jun13 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  ISLE STORM Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 Aug03 Jul06 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 11% 8.50    
5  OUCH THAT HURT Jul29         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
6  STABILIZE Sep21 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (gutierrez lui)OLVER MADISON 110 10.00    
7  HEARTBUSTINGIRL Aug17 Jul04       (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
 
FL-3   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UP FOR ADVENTURE Sep07 Jul25 Jun28 Jun07   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 6.00 ★    
2  BUMBLE MONSTER Sep13 May10 Apr25 Apr07 Mar16 (iorio sa)DAVIS A 121 3.00 ★    
3  FLIPPING FUN Sep17 Aug03 Jun22     (davis edmund )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
4  MOLCAJETE Sep07 Aug15 Jul04 Jun13   (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 5.00 25% 2.90    
5  FOTIS Sep13 Sep05 Jul27 Jun12 Jun04 (lopez r)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
6  CAPE COD GEM Aug15 Jul27 Jul04 Jun13 May31 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  THE MET Sep18 Aug24 Aug02 May30 Mar30 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
FL-4   10/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL FIGHT Sep06 May19 Mar30 Mar11 Feb15 (hillega)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 ★    
2  STORM ALFEET Sep07 Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 Jun28 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 8.00    
3  ARMANDO'S TEAM Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jun21 May23 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
SCR  V PATTERN Sep05 Aug16 Jun15 May23 May09 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 21% 3.90    
5  GRIT AND GLORY Sep07 Aug22 Aug02 Jul14 Jun25 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 41% 1.50    
6  MARBLE MOON Sep19 Sep07 Aug22 Jul13 Jun21 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 8% 12.10    
7  TRUE GOLD Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 (sells rachel)COA J 124 2.50 ★    
 
FL-5   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGELIC MISSION Sep21         (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  CHARLIES MEDAL         (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 6.00    
3  EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE         (cook w)ROHENA JR 120 15.00    
4  MSHINDI         (dixon li)DAVIS A 120 4.00 ★    
5  GOLD TEMPLAR         (falk jacquelin)PIERMARINI T 120 8.00 ★    
6  CAPTAINOFMYHEART         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
7  FOOT TRAFFIC         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 ★    
8  CASHEL KITTEN Sep21 Sep05       (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 12.00    
 
FL-6   10/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUGINE Sep20 Sep13 Aug22 Aug03 Jul25 (gutierrez lui)OLVER MADISON 111 3.50 10% 9.10    
2  SEA CAPTAIN Sep13 Aug16 Aug02 Jul25 Jun15 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 5.00 27% 2.60    
3  SYNONYM B C Sep20 Sep05 Aug22 Jul25 Jun28 (baker charlton)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.50 12% 7.20    
4  DOMINANT FACTOR Sep21 Aug10 Jul20 Jul11 Jun23 (hillega)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
5  THERESA'S BOY Sep13 Aug30 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00 6% 15.60    
6  HARDLY WORKING Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 6.00    
7  BENCH WALK Sep21 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
8  CINNAMONJAWBREAKER Sep20 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Aug01 (marino e)ROHENA JR 121 10.00    
9  HURRICANE ALPHA Sep20 Aug23 Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00    
 
FL-7   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINTARELLI Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 (turetsky)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
2  STONE GUITAR Sep05 Jul26 Jul12 May25 May11 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
3  DOUBLE VISION Aug30 Aug17 Jul11 Jun13 May31 (d'alessandro ra)DIAZ J 122 5.00 12% 7.70    
4  LETTERCARRIERHENRY Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 Jun29 Jun01 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  LOVER'S LEAP Sep21 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 Jun20 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 118 8.00    
6  OLD MAN WINTER Sep21 Aug30 Jul06 Jun20 Jun06 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
7  MATTY'S EXPRESS Sep20 Aug26 Aug20 Jul18 Jun03 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 122 10.00    
8  NINTH HOUR Aug31 Jul20 Jun21 May24 Apr25 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
9  WAR OF THRONES Sep21 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun23 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
 
FL-8   10/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEEPY JOE Sep19 Sep07 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 121 20.00    
2  COX'S LEDGE Sep07 Aug22 Jul22 Jun19 Jun03 (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 111 8.00    
3  THE GRAND CANAL Sep19 Jul05       (ferraro michae)COA J 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  SPORTINI Sep19 Aug31 Aug16 Jul27 Jul11 (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.50 13% 6.50    
5  JUST GOT HITCHED Sep27 Sep13 Aug16     (tebbutt )DAVIS A 121 15.00 6% 16.50    
6  SMOOTH TALES Sep26 Sep06 Aug02 Jul11 Jun14 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
7  CORAGESCONTENDER Sep06 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 May31 (dixon k)PEREZ E 121 10.00    
8  COACH BAHE Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 4.00 13% 6.70    
9  STARSHIP OREO Sep19 Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.