Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belterra Park
Thursday - September 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BTP-1   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY MAMBA Sep13 Aug31 Aug12     (calvo kelsie)AYALA ISAIAS 121 3.00    
SQUEAKY CLEAN Sep13 Aug30 Aug19 Jul12 Jun21 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  BLAZIN AMAZIN Sep21 Sep07       (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
G T THREE FIFTY Sep13 Aug11       (mason ingrid)LEZCANO ABEL 121 1.60 35% 1.90    
STATE OF GRACE Sep06 Jul29 Jul12 Jun22 Jun03 (feebeck thomas)ROSARIO L 118 5.00    
 
BTP-2   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPORB Sep22 Aug31 Aug16 Jul15 Jun28 (edwards willia)HALDAR J 120 2.00    
HAIL TO HELEN Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 (johnston rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50    
CONNECT IT Sep22 Sep03 Jul30 Jul06 Jun03 (rodak geraldi)JIMENEZ J 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
KNOT WILD Sep16 Aug17 Jul29 Jun30   (sandy s)BRACHO A 122 6.00    
CAIRO DRIVER Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 Jun30 Jun10 (dillion jimmy)MCKEE J 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
BLUE GRASS ANNA Sep14 Aug25       (fletcher kevin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
BTP-3   09/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRAY GLORIA Jun02 Mar31 Feb27 Jan30   (olivo k)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 3.50    
MY HEAD HURTS         (alessi james)ROSARIO L 121 5.00    
MAMBO KITTEN Sep21 Sep06 Aug09 Jul21 Jul07 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 1.80 37% 1.70    
ROSES N GOLD Aug21 Jul03 Jun18     (o'neill doug)DIAZ RENE 116 4.00 11% 8.10    
ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Sep16 Aug14 Jul17 Jun12 May08 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
BTP-4   09/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE ALEX Sep12 Aug16 Jul22 May23 Apr08 (torres a)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 8.00    
BRILLIANT JOURNEY Sep16 Sep02 Jul15 Jul05 Jun09 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 1.60    
FLY FLY AWAY May07 Apr23 Mar30 Feb12 Jan22 (cahill f)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 10% 9.40    
GIVEMETWENTY Sep02 Jul28 Jun27 May24 Apr02 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  TEXAS HEDGE Sep20 Sep08 Aug18     (hernandez rey)ROMERO GREGORY 123 6.00    
TIZ OUR TURN Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 Jun18 May12 (bindner walte)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 3.50 49% 1.10    
 
BTP-5   09/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($18K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GOOD GIRL Sep13 Aug09 Jul21 Mar02 Jan01 (greenhill jeff)HALDAR J 121 1.60 35% 1.80    
1A  BUCKEYE BLING Sep08 Jul28 Jun29 Jun10   (greenhill jeff)HALDAR J 121 1.60    
PEACEFUL SURPRISE Jun16 Apr09 Feb12 Jan14   (drury jr)MCKEE J 117 3.50 29% 2.50    
BOURBON BUNS Sep06 Aug30 Aug14 Jul26 Jun29 (jackson jeffrey)CANUTO THIAGO 117 6.00    
SCR  LOVELY LISA Sep19 Aug18 Jul19 Jul07 Apr22 (hernandez rey)ROMERO GREGORY 117 4.50    
BOW DRAW Sep13 Aug26 Aug09     (platt noah)BRACHO A 123 8.00 14% 5.90    
FORGLO Sep13 Aug18 Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 (brownfield claude)FELIX E 121 6.00    
 
BTP-6   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBINSTEIN Sep09 Jul19 Jun24 Jun01 May19 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
SAINT COMMISSAIRE Sep20 Jul11 Jun20     (nance jonathan)MCKEE J 121 12.00    
GRAN MUCHACO Apr16 Mar13 Feb14 Feb04 Jan17 (lopez elias)MOJICA JR 121 5.00    
SONSHINE PEGASUS Sep01 Aug03       (austin timothy)OUZTS W 125 30.00    
YOUNEVERWALKALONE Sep20 Sep09 Aug16 Aug04 Jul20 (corrig)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
EL MIC TIESUN Sep22 Sep09 Aug12 Jul26 Jun12 (platt noah)BRACHO A 125 8.00 10% 9.40    
PRINCE OF LOGIC Aug25         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 121 15.00    
SONGANDASTAR Sep09 Aug25 Aug19 Jul27 Jul20 (antonuik jerry)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.00    
 
BTP-7   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPACE ODESSEY Aug10 Jun17 May09 Apr02 Mar11 (van thomas)MCKEE J 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
GONE ROGUE Sep01 Aug24 Jul20 Jul13 Jun11 (wilson jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 13% 6.70    
SCAT SHACK Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 (esquivel jesus)HALDAR J 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
SONIC BURN Sep09 Aug10 Jul13 Jun17 May21 (peterson annett)CANUTO THIAGO 123 12.00    
SCR  WEEKENDER Aug23 Jul21 Jun28 May25 Apr28 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 10.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  FARZIN Sep13 Aug26 Aug04 Jul13 Jun17 (sandy s)BRACHO A 121 6.00    
SEA LANE Aug10 Jul27 Jun23 Jun10 May21 (estvanko richard)REYES R 117 4.50    
RECKLESSNESS Sep14 Aug15 Jul14 Jun21 May27 (mason ingrid)LEZCANO ABEL 121 10.00    
 
BTP-8   09/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTILO DIFERENTE Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 Apr09 (alessi james)ROSARIO L 118 30.00    
DOCS SEVEN Sep09 Aug22 Jul21 Jun24 Jun08 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
SASSY CAT Jul22 Jun01 Apr29 Apr22 Apr10 (axmaker w)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50    
RANK AND FILE Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 Jul11 Jun23 (lopez elias)MOJICA JR 123 6.00    
FORBIDDEN FRUIT Sep09 Aug23 Jul29 Jun29 Jun10 (wiggins lon)MCKEE J 121 2.50 10% 8.70    
PETRICHOR Aug17 Jul29 Jun22 May31 May06 (helmbrecht )BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 20.00 8% 11.70    
QUEEN'S MISSION Sep07 Jan03       (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 123 5.00    
SISTER'S GHOST Sep12 Sep01 Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 (esquivel jesus)HALDAR J 123 4.00 16% 5.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.