Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAW OFF Aug29 Aug09 Jul18 Jun27 Jun14 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
MISS CIRCULAR GAL Aug15 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 6.00 10% 8.80    
INOUAINTALKINTOME Sep06 Jul13 Jun29 May16 May02 (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 124 5.00    
MRS. BANKS Aug29 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May30 (d'alessandro ralp)BAEZ JOSE 120 8.00    
LADY YELLEN Sep07 Aug15 Jul10 Jun25 Jun02 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 1.80    
CENTRAL CAPITAL Sep06 Aug23 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 (rivera d)DAVIS A 120 4.00 27% 2.80    
 
FL-2   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS DANCER Aug26 Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 Jun06 (dixon li)DAVIS A 120 8.00    
CROSSTALK Sep05 Aug09 Jul17 Jun17 May30 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 1.50 31% 2.20    
STARTED WITH STARS Jul13 Jun06 May18 Apr21   (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 3.50    
MERGER OF EQUALS Aug29 Jul13 Jun06 May12 Apr14 (rice linda)GOMEZ O 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
BOO BA LA Aug22 Jul18 Jul06 Jun14 Jun02 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
MISSION CAT Aug29 Jul27 Jun22     (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
 
FL-3   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIGGER PULL Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 Jun13 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 121 6.00    
1A  MIAMI CHROME Aug24 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 Jun22 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
ZIRCON Aug29 Jul18 Jul05 May09   (progno christophe)PEREZ E 124 1.20 55% 0.80    
SCR  THE LAST ACE Aug24 Jul25 Jul06     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 2.50    
INVALUABLE WILL Sep05 Aug24 Jul25 Jul13 Jun27 (breed de)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 121 3.50    
BODEFLEX         (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 121 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
FL-4   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EROS'S GIRL Aug18 Jul25 Jul04 Jun06 Feb02 (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 117 1.40    
IT CAN Aug11 Jul20 May24 Apr12 Mar21 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00    
ELECTRIC YOUTH Feb06 Jan01       (rodriguez r)GOMEZ O 121 1.80 43% 1.30    
TRINITY TITOLI Aug26 Jul17 Jul04 Jun05 May21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 4.50 19% 4.10    
THE NEW MIAMI Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 Jul26 Jul12 (vasquez ram)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 15.00    
SCR  STIMULUS CHECK Sep06 Aug16 Jul21 Jul04 Jun20 (iorio sa)DAVIS A 121 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
FL-5   09/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDYROCK Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 (donegan l)ROHENA JR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
DR. MARBOOZ Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 (mastin kath)IGNACIO RODOLFO 121 3.50 11% 7.90    
MELLMAN Aug29 Jul20 Jun15 May30   (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00    
FLORIDA ENDEAVOUR Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 Jun14 May11 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 5.00    
FULL MOON FEVER Aug24 Jul30 Jun30 May30 May08 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 1.00 37% 1.70    
A VOW OF BEAUTY Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 May31 (baker c)NAVARRO J 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
NO LIME Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 May18 (gutierrez a)GOMEZ O 121 12.00    
 
FL-6   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'VE GOT MALE Aug29 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 Jun08 (lopez a)NAVARRO J 124 6.00    
HOLY COWBOY Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
SPORTINI Aug31 Aug16 Jul27 Jul11 Jun14 (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 1.80 16% 5.30    
SCR  MR. MIMS Aug30 Aug09 Jul04 Jun21 May30 (dominguez ca)BERRIOS C 122 10.00 14% 6.10    
BOWING SNOWMAN Aug30 Aug22 Aug02 Jul12   (muller j)SONE Y 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
OUT OF TUNE Aug29 Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 124 4.00    
GOLDMINE KAZ Aug30 Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 May23 (maver eduardo)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
WHO IS JARETT Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00 15% 5.70    
 
FL-7   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BLINDNESS Aug29 Aug15 Jul11 Jun21 May21 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00    
MY GIRL ANNIE Jul11 Jun01 May10 Mar13 Jan28 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50 10% 8.60    
SABREEN Aug16 Jul20 Jul05 Jun01 May23 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  STEAL MY HEART May11 Apr23 Feb27     (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 122 4.50 5% 17.80    
TOOLCAT Aug15 Aug03 Jul05 May31   (potts g)COA J 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
MIND OF GOLD Aug29 Aug15 Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00    
CLARA'S GONE WEST Jul11         (breed de)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 12.00    
SOCIAL MOBILITY Aug29 Jul11 Jun15 May30   (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 122 10.00    
 
FL-8   09/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUCK POND ROAD Sep07 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (breed de)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
LE GROS BILL Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 (chamberlin )IGNACIO RODOLFO 121 20.00    
THE GRAND CANAL Jul05         (ferraro michae)COA J 121 6.00 13% 6.60    
MARBLE MOON Sep07 Aug22 Jul13 Jun21 Apr23 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 6.00    
STARSHIP OREO Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 121 8.00    
COACH BAHE Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul06 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
LIGHTNING ROB Aug08 Jul27 Jun29 Jun13 May23 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00    
SLEEPY JOE Sep07 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
TEXAS TOWER Sep05 Aug23 Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.