Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNA'S COURT Aug08 Jul16 Jul02 Jun13 Mar03 (singh s)SINGH R 122 8.00 ★    
2  RECKLESS RANSOM Aug02 Jul19 Jun05 May10 Mar16 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 1.60 ★    
3  PERFECT PERIGEE Aug02 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Mar24 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
4  I'LL RAISE YOU Aug02 Jul14 Jun11 May18 May07 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 22% 3.50    
5  TRUMP MEDIA Jul02 Jun11 May21 May09   (adcock charles)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
6  CAJUN BERTI Jul24 Jun08 May06 Apr15 Mar20 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
LAD-2   08/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  U COMPLETE ME Jul31 Jun26       (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 8% 11.60    
2  THE THIMBLE Aug20 Jul10 Jun20 May31 May17 (ramirez r)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 5.00 ★    
3  PA MA'S AMOS Aug14 Apr10 Jan14     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.00 ★    
4  TROPHY DADDY Jul31 Jul04 Jun14 May24 May10 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  PLEASANT VISION Aug20 Jun05 May15 Apr28 Apr14 (hirdes john)BARRERA J 114 5.00    
6  MAX PANDOWDY Mar24 Feb24 Jan20 Jan08   (hirdes john)CULP BRIANNE 117 12.00    
7  RY DONT LIE Jul31 Jul11 Jul02 Jun06 May24 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
LAD-3   08/29/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY COLLISION Jul19 Jun28       (dison m)ROSENDO J 122 15.00    
2  WHO DAT GREY Aug16 Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 May23 (beavin j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
3  DADDY HEY DADDY Aug02 Jul16 Jun28     (garcia)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  LOYAL TO THE CHIEF Aug15 Jul16       (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
5  EL CALIENTE LADY Jul25 Jul04 Mar02 Jan06   (nelson eric)FLORES S 118 20.00 ★    
6  MY AVANI Aug12 Jun17 May27 May05 Apr09 (thomas lee)BACA L 120 3.50 12% 7.30    
7  T J'S FIRST Aug06 Jul25 Jun21 Jun07 May16 (cangemi daniel)COTTO L 122 1.80 7% 13.20    
 
LAD-4   08/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS NITAP Aug11 Jul29 Jul09 Jun04 May12 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.50 ★    
2  SALACIOUSACUSATION Aug14 Mar18 Jan27 Jan08   (meji)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 ★    
3  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Aug14 Jul12 Jun18 May14 Mar05 (m)DE CRUZ 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  FIANNA HILLS Aug21 Jul31 Jul12 Jun12 Feb18 (reeves)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
5  SABER QUEEN Aug01 Jun25 Jun07 Apr16 Mar03 (schmidt denis)VARGAS P 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
6  CUSTOM FOR CARLITA Aug01 Jul12 Jun19 May30 May16 (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 114 15.00    
7  THOUGHTSANDPRAYERS Aug08 Jul23 Apr29 Mar12 Feb24 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 6% 14.60    
8  SAINT KENNEDY Aug08 Jul17 Jun12 May30 Jan14 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
LAD-5   08/29/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO PEDIGREE Aug14 Jul17 Jun06 Mar04 Feb04 (camejo m)ROSENDO J 119 4.50 ★    
2  RIGHTANDJUST Aug06 Jul02 May25 Apr07 Feb11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 0.80 56% 0.80    
3  TEXAS TITAN Aug14 Aug02 Jul03 Jun19 May29 (johnston )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00    
4  BUDDY REAUX Jul31 Jul09 Jun13 May23 May01 (dixon tim)FLORES S 118 10.00    
SCR  SILENT TAP Jul31 Jul09 May30 May08 Mar05 (wilson shane)BOREL H 118 12.00    
6  FREDONIAN Aug21 Jul30 Jul10 Jun26 Jun18 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 15.00 ★    
7  SNIVELING Aug19 Jul09 May30 May19 May06 (g)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  ONE TIME GEM Aug19 Jul09 May19 Apr29 Mar18 (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
9  SUSAN STRONG Aug21 Jul31 Jul05 Jun12 May22 (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 112 30.00    
SCR  HALF AGAIN Aug04 Jul12 May21 Apr14 Mar26 (faucheux ron)STOKES J 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
LAD-6   08/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPIRINGO Jun18 May31 May08 Apr13 Mar19 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 6.00 14% 6.30    
2  PEANUT N IKE Aug10 Jul22 Jul07     (rosier charles)MCMAHON J 118 4.50 ★    
3  THEO D'OR Aug09 Jul23 Jun21 Jun04   (dunn ra)VARGAS P 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
4  AUTUMNS STRONG MAN         (husak j)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
5  INTO WISHING Aug15 Jul05 Jun18 May31 May08 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  COUYONS CAUSE Jul23 Jun27 Jun04     (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 113 5.00    
7  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Aug09 Mar05 Jan20     (balderas alfon)BACA L 118 12.00    
8  GUTZY Aug09 Mar24 Mar12 Feb17 Jan08 (camejo m)ROSENDO J 118 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
LAD-7   08/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLEE MAE         (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
1A  ABBY DABBY         (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
2  SISTER SEEK         (duhon joseph )VARGAS P 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
3  ONECALLTHATSALL Aug10         (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 6.00 7% 12.70    
4  STOP THE MADNESS Jul30         (jeansonne just)BACA L 119 6.00 20% 3.90    
5  PREACH IT GIRL         (dixon tim)FLORES S 119 20.00    
SCR  WHERE'S AUNT J         (cates al)CULP BRIANNE 111 12.00    
7  CORONA DEL MAR Aug15 Jul09 Jun25     (brouss)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00    
8  WAIT ON ME         (hatcher nathan )TORRES HUGO 114 30.00    
9  LAYLALLEE Aug07         (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 119 1.80 31% 2.30    
10  RAISE THE PRAISE Jul07 Jun25 May24     (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.