Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANGING THE KARMA Jul10 Jul01 Jun19 May30 May08 (simon l)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
STRASBOURG Jul10 Apr29       (delgado jorge)JUAREZ NIK 118 5.00    
BOUSSAC         (margotta )VARGAS A 118 8.00    
LOOSE GOOSE Jul10 Apr09       (pletcher todd)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 1.20 41% 1.50    
CRACK THE CODE Jul08 May21       (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  TRIPLE ELVIS Jun26         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 1.80    
 
MTH-2   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEEP FAITH Jul04 May29       (spina cha)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
FATHEROFTHEBRIDES         (spina cha)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
SIR CUPID Jul04 Jun11       (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 116 4.50    
MY GAL VAL May13 Mar19       (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 6.00    
JET SPEED         (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
AMITY ROAD Jul04 Jun26 Jun04 Apr09 Feb20 (martin f)FERRER C 118 2.50 18% 4.70    
THE EQUINEST Jul17 Jun29 Jun10 Jun02 May07 (forde jason)CARDENAS LUIS 123 15.00    
 
MTH-3   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANONYMOUSLY Jun04 May12 Jan28     (avi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
INSATIABLE Jul16 Jul03 May29     (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  PATTY CAKES Jun12 May30 May08     (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00    
MAGIC MOONSTAR Jul15 Jul03 Jun04 May14   (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
TIZ HER WAY Jul15 Jun03       (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
SCR  TEEN DRAMA Jul03 May30       (sanchez loz)JUAREZ NIK 115 3.50    
BAND SWEETHEART Jul03 Jun12 May28 Feb19 Feb02 (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 10% 9.50    
ELLARELLA         (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00    
ODDSONDUSTYMILLER Jun18 May14       (wilson tony)FERRER C 122 15.00    
10  SILKY BLUE Jul02 May30       (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
MTH-4   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED FAITH Feb24 Jan28       (margotta antho)MOYA F 123 1.00 53% 0.90    
HE'S GOT JUMP Jul17 Jun04       (margotta anthony)FERRER C 118 12.00    
OUR PRIDE N JOY Jun24         (martin ramon )PANAIJO JORGE 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
CHIEF ENGINEER Jul08 Jun26 Jun04 May21   (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 118 8.00    
SCR  TIE BREAKER         (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.00    
GOLDEN WILDCAT Jul11         (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 10.00    
THE BIG CALICO Jul01 Jun18 May22     (gomez pompeyo)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-5   07/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER ATTACK Jul08 Jun09       (sweezey j)VARGAS A 117 4.00    
JEREMY'S JET Jul21 Jun26 Jun09 May20 May12 (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 3.00 13% 6.80    
FERRARI KID May05 Apr26       (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 117 6.00    
DANGEROUS RIDE May27         (david a)JUAREZ NIK 117 4.50 28% 2.60    
BART'S DREAM Jun25         (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 117 5.00    
SHARP AZA TACK Jun10         (o'neill doug)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.50 26% 2.80    
RUN HAPPY PAPPY Jul08 Jun18 Jun04     (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 115 12.00    
 
MTH-6   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWYLA Jun26         (marquez ces)RAMOS C 112 15.00    
TE AMO         (russo victor)PARISH R 119 15.00    
PUNK ROCK GIRL (IRE)         (breen j)FERRER C null   40% 1.50    
ELEGANT DANCER         (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
LASSIE'S NOTION Jun26 Jun05 May14 Apr06 Mar22 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 4.00    
LADY TRIXMEISTER         (wilson tony)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  RANDOM LUCK Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 Apr20   (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 6.00    
SCR  SADIE BABY         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.50    
 
MTH-7   07/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEEL PIER Jul10 Jun11 May22 Apr26   (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 15.00    
BOB IN OUR MIDST Jun29 Jun18 May30 May22   (sanchez jo)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SURFING Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May22   (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50    
PANADERO Apr27 Apr10 Mar18 Feb20 Jan30 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
BEDAZZLING Jul16 May18 Mar26     (simmonds mich)PANAIJO JORGE 121 30.00    
LUDO Jun18 May14 Apr27 Apr02 Feb23 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 8.00 8% 11.70    
COMEDIC TIMING Jul15 Feb06       (gomez pompeyo)RENDON JAIRO 121 12.00 22% 3.50    
INSTANT CHAOS Jul19 Jul01 Jun20 May02 Mar30 (diaz jorge)RAMOS C 110 8.00    
SUPER WICKED CHARM Jul02 Jun18 May28 May20   (jones)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  DREAMING THOUSAND Jul13 Jun19 Jun01     (taylor joseph)RIVERA EDWIN 119 30.00    
11  TETRAGRAMMATON Jul19 Jun25 May28 Apr29 Apr03 (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  SUNSANDDRINKINHAND Jul03 May08 Mar24 Jan31   (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 5.00    
SCR  DIABLO D ORO Jul18 Jun23 May31 Apr29 Apr11 (diaz jorge)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 12.00    
 
MTH-8   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBLIO'S WISH         (rodrigu)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
STARSHIP REINA Jul09 Jun18 May30 May22 Mar26 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.50    
MARICOPA Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 May15 Mar02 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
DAZZLING SPEED Jun26 Jun11 Apr11 Mar15 Feb22 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 30.00    
LAMBEAU LADY Jun22 May07 Apr02 Mar20 Jan29 (mancilla car)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 5.00    
NOTHINS FREE Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 Apr23 Feb20 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 124 10.00    
SEAHAWK LISA Jul09 Jun18 Jun12     (volk scott)FERRER C 124 3.00 8% 12.20    
SALSA RITA Jul09 Jun26 Jun18 May30 May02 (king clare)LUCIA ALEXANDRIA 117 30.00    
SEEDS OF TIME Jul15 Jul08 Jun24     (alcal)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
10  SALAMINA May30 Apr24 Mar26 Feb11   (juarez calixto)JUAREZ NIK 124 8.00    
 
MTH-9   07/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UMBRAGE Jul23 Jul03 Jun24 Jun12 May28 (alcala cesar)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BIG RED ROCKS Jul09         (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 124 6.00    
DOUBLE DAVID Jun24 May28 Feb09     (sweezey kent)FERRER C 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
SKILLFUL Jul02 Jun25 Apr06 Mar16 Mar05 (farro patrici)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  HURRICANE ANDREW Jun17         (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 30.00    
BAKENEKO Jul03 Jun17 May29 Jan27   (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 124 6.00    
CANDY KINGDOM Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May21 Apr11 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
MR. MAZZA Jun05 May11 Apr08 Mar19 Mar02 (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00    
SPARK (PER) Jun24 Jun17       (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
10  CARPENTER Jul17         (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 30.00    
11  APPRAISAL Jul09 Jun17 Apr30 Apr16 Mar24 (martin ra)VARGAS A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INGREIDO Jul01 Jun08 May25     (mirand)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 8.00    
SCR  GRECIAN PHAROAH Jun23 May29       (rodriguez rud)CARDENAS LUIS 124 5.00    
 
MTH-10   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($78.125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D' TIGER LILY Jun18 May14       (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 6.00    
CALIENTE RUM Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 May14 Apr20 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 15.00    
BEATUBYACHUBINOSE Jul22 Jul02 Jun05 May14   (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00    
ROSELBA Jul09 Jun10 May14     (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 17% 4.70    
PERSPICACIOUS (ARG) Jul09 Jun12       (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
MIA'S CRUSADE Jul09 Jun18 Jun05 May14   (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 115 3.50 22% 3.60    
JERSEY JEWEL Jun18 May14       (servis tyle)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 4.50 15% 5.60    
TAKEITTOCOMITTEE Jul02 May28 May14     (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
MTH-11   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOD IS LOVE Jul08 May26 Apr30 Mar16 Feb18 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 115 8.00    
GUN FOR SUCCESS Jul02 May14 Apr10 Mar11   (lucas bonnie)FERRER C 117 6.00    
WILLY MC Jul01 Jun03 Mar24 Feb04   (camejo)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
KARL CARES Jun25 May30 Apr09 Mar20 Feb26 (ryan s)JIMENEZ MANNY 117 6.00 6% 16.00    
FATIMA'S BLESSING Jul03 Jun25       (milne joa)RODRIGUEZ A 121 5.00    
SUPPLY CHAIN Jun16 May06 Apr08 Mar05   (engle)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.50 63% 0.60    
READY TO FLY Jun25 Jun04 May08 Jan28   (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
SWING LOW May28 Apr24 Mar31 Mar06   (sweezey j)VARGAS A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HARPOON HARRY Jul01 Jun10 Apr13 Mar25 Mar05 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL Jul13 Jun13 May20 Mar31 Jan22 (eng)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
SCR  TEEWINOT PASS Jul06 Jun03 May13 Apr24 Mar12 (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 117 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.