Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - July 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   07/24/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVEY DOVEY Jun25 Jun04 May13 May01 Apr07 (rossi j)SORENSON D 121 20.00    
2  SIP Jun23 Jun09 May12 May01 Apr08 (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 121 20.00    
3  MIGHTY HAPPY Jun11 May29 May11 Apr26 Apr12 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 20.00    
4  HALF PAGE Jun26 Jun09 May22 Apr02 Mar19 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 5.00 10% 8.70    
5  LILLY'S BIDNESS May29 Jan13       (frazee larry)CABRERA DAVID 118 12.00    
6  SHE HIT A HOMER Jun25 Jun04 May20     (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00 14% 5.90    
7  SMART LASSIE Jun09 May15 Apr29 Mar09 Feb19 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 121 15.00 ★    
8  BENDELENE Jun09 May15 Apr05 Mar11 Feb05 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
9  COSTANARMANDALEG Jun11 May29 Apr28 Mar31 Feb23 (broberg k)TORRES A 121 20.00    
10  THORNY ROSE Jun23 May30 May13 Mar31 Mar09 (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 121 2.50 14% 6.20    
 
LS-2   07/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NELLIE DEE Jun26 Jun16 May27     (ortiz javier)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONTEMPO GRAY Jul08 Jun18 Jun04     (smith p)SORENSON D 120 30.00    
3  COME CORRECT Jun26 May28 May06 Apr13 Apr05 (lucarelli fran)MORA GERARDO 120 3.00 10% 9.20    
4  FARASINO Jul16 May28 May06 Apr01 Mar06 (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.00    
SCR  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL Jul16 Jun26       (cruz eduardo)DIEGO V 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BRADEE CASH Jun24 Jun16 May12 Mar31   (pish danny)HERRERA GUSTAVO 120 4.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  CHARMINGSIDE Jul04 Jun03 May12 Jan29   (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00    
8  SI QUERE Jul04 Jun19 May22 Apr30 Apr09 (caste)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00    
9  MISS WOW WOW Jun26 May08 Mar25 Feb12 Jan15 (asmussen )TORRES A 120 1.60 51% 0.90    
 
LS-3   07/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMURAI CAUSE Jun18 Jun09 May14 Mar02 Jan15 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 6.00 ★    
2  DREAMS OF VALOR Jun18 Jun04 Apr28 Apr07   (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00    
3  MORO WOLF Jun16 May29 May07 Apr09 Mar09 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 124 12.00    
4  CARBON STRYKER Jun26 May30 Apr20 Mar31 Mar26 (jenkins b)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 4.00 ★    
5  AVAILABLE STAR Jun23 May27 May14 Apr01 Mar12 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
6  RIVER RULER Jun23 Jun05 May14 Apr09 Mar17 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00    
7  CHAPEL BARN Jun12 May23 Apr16 Feb28 Feb06 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 8.00 29% 2.50    
8  IT'S MY MONEY Jul09 Jun17 May27 May07 Apr28 (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 115 15.00    
9  DECLINED Jun23 May30 May14 Apr01 Mar10 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 4.50 ★    
 
LS-4   07/24/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STALEMATE Jun04 May20 Apr30 Apr02 Feb17 (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
2  TAYLOR'S SECRET Jul02 May28 Mar12     (gelner j)LUZZI J 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
3  TAYLOR'S VISION Jul02 May20 Mar10 Feb12 Jan07 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 15.00 9% 10.60    
4  HEAD OVER BOOTS Jul08 Jun19 May28 Apr30 Mar31 (echeverria )HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
5  WICKED STREET Jul02 May17 Apr24 Apr03 Mar18 (ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00 ★    
6  PUMPKIN BREAD Jul02 May28 Mar27 Feb18 Feb08 (hone bart)ERAMIA E 120 8.00    
7  TRUE RUNNER Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 May20 May07 (broberg k)TORRES A 121 15.00    
8  GRAY ZONE Jun11 Feb17 Jan29     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 15.00    
9  LOST WISH Jun09 Mar17 Feb17     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60 10% 8.60    
10  TEXAS THUNDER Jul09 Jun11 May20 May07 Mar26 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00    
 
LS-5   07/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR B QUIET Jul09 Jun23 May15 Apr07 Mar25 (bryant ge)TORRES A 121 15.00 16% 5.40    
2  READY TO SHAKE Jul09 Jun25 May22     (keen dallas)ALVAREZ L 121 20.00 ★    
3  PHARME'S PHAITH Jul09 May29 May08 Apr09 Feb25 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 8.00    
4  SILVER AND GOLD Jul02 Jun23 May29 May14 May08 (j)DE CRUZ 124 5.00    
5  FIRST BUMP RIDGE Jul09 Jun23 May29 May19 May08 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00 ★    
6  STANS HOME RUN Jun23 May29 Apr28 Feb11 Jan27 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.00 61% 0.60    
7  MORO WARRIOR Jul03 Jun23 May30 May14 May01 (glover tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
8  MORO COOL Jul09 Jun23       (payne d)GONCALVES R 122 30.00    
9  COSMETOLOGY Jul09 Jun25 May13 Apr08 Mar18 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 117 1.80 ★    
10  IMA BIG BOPPER Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May29 May08 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
 
LS-6   07/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLICY LIMIT Jul03 Jun23 May01 Feb25 Feb05 (broberg k)TORRES A 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  TAPPIN' THE BLING Jul03 May19 May01 Apr08 Mar23 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 12.00    
3  TEXAN BOY Jun23 May30 May19 May08 Apr28 (broberg karl)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00    
4  MORO LEGEND Jul02 Jun16 May29 May15 Apr07 (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00    
SCR  LUMBERJACK LESLIE Jul04 May22 May14 Apr02 Mar19 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00    
6  MORO CODE Jul03 May28 May13 Feb19 Jan20 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 15.00 10% 9.50    
7  INFINITE MORO Jul03 Jun25 May19 May01 Apr07 (k)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
8  POPEYES HEART Jul02 May29 May14 Apr29   (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 2.00 31% 2.30    
9  GHOSTER Jul02 May08 Apr07 Mar03 Feb04 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
10  UNBRIDLED POSSE Jul17 Jun23 May30     (davidson m )HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 30.00    
11  GOLIATH RIDGE Jul09 Jun23 May29 May14 May01 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  FLY'N SEXY Jul02 Mar24 Mar03 Feb11   (castellanos jaime)DIEGO V 124 10.00    
13  LINC'S BOY Jul09 Jun19 Jun05 May28 May20 (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 121 20.00    
 
LS-7   07/24/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY BE GONE Jul03 Jun10       (garza e)SORENSON D 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  WI SAPA         (craddock ka)MELANCON JANSEN 119 5.00    
3  SPEIGH AMONGST US         (young bob)TORRES A 119 6.00    
4  RAIL TOWN         (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  EXCAPING THE BLUES Jul08         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  HE SAID WAIT May20         (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
7  BRATTON Jun10         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  CAPITAL JOKE Jul03         (green greg)ERAMIA E 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
9  TAPADINE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.00    
10  MOHAYMEN HOLIDAY Jun25         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 12.00    
 
LS-8   07/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDERDOG Jul09 May25 Apr27 Apr08 Feb19 (gelner jay)ERAMIA E 120 12.00    
2  PASAMONTE MAN Mar31 Mar02 Feb16 Jan22 Jan08 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  EYES ON RED May22 May12 Mar05 Feb19 Feb04 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00    
4  NAUTICAL MOON Jun25 Jun10 May22 May01 Mar19 (bravo franc)HAMILTON WESTON 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
5  CHARLIECANDO Jul03 Jun24 Jun04 May14 May08 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00 ★    
6  HE'S PRETTY LUCKY Jun04 Apr29 Apr09 Mar24 Mar04 (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
7  LEMON KICK Jun25 May12 Apr09 Mar24 Feb16 (castellanos)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
8  FOREVAMO Jun23 May01 Mar17 Feb11 Jan22 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 10.00 ★    
9  AMERICAN MADE Jun19 May22 Apr28 Mar02 Feb05 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 20.00    
SCR  FLAP JACK Jun25 May06 Apr15 Mar12 Feb17 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
11  DORITA'S HEART Jul03 Jun23 May30 May15 Mar23 (davidson sar)MEDELLIN ERICK 110 30.00    
12  HAMAZING WISDOM Jun25 May08 Mar26 Feb26 Feb04 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00    
13  VICTORY BOULEVARD Jun17 May14 Apr09 Mar17 Feb24 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 5.00    
14  MR HANDS ON Jun09 May21 May06 Mar25 Feb17 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 12.00    
 
LS-9   07/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN PEGASUS May29 May15 Mar05     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
2  SECRET SURVIVOR Jul09 Jun18 Jun05 Apr30 Apr03 (triana alfre)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  OPTIMAL TRIP Jul04 May20 Apr29 Mar31 Feb24 (rossi lee)TORRES A 124 5.00    
4  PLUTONIUM Jun26         (rangel ra)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00    
5  GOLD PRIZE Jul03 Jun21 Jun06     (j)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
SCR  TENTH OF GOLD Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 May01 Apr09 (durh)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
7  RED DEVIL Apr30 Apr07       (petalino joe)DIEGO V 121 8.00    
8  SAINT PIO Jul08 Jun21       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
9  SIGNE Jun26 May19 Apr30 Mar31 Mar11 (swift a)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00    
10  CLIFF DIVER Jul04 May20 Mar25     (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 3.50 32% 2.20    
11  RED BIRD'S STORM Jul04 Jun24 May22 May01 Mar23 (castellanos)INIRIO J 121 30.00    
12  GOLDEN FLASH Jul08 Jun26 May01 Apr09 Feb26 (bryant george)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00 ★    
13  CUNNING Jul16         (asmussen steve)QUINONEZ S 121 15.00    
 
LS-10   07/24/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORNING TWILIGHT         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 116 4.00 23% 3.40    
2  BLAME IT ON MAMIE Jul10         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00    
3  MY GOLDEN BLING Jul03 Jun17 Jun04 May07 May01 (broberg k)TORRES A 123 3.50 10% 9.40    
4  MIDYEAR Jul02 May28 Apr30 Apr02 Feb19 (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 121 10.00    
5  STACI'S RED DRESS Mar08 Feb05 Jan14     (green greg)ALVAREZ L 119 12.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  MY BABYS GONE Jul12 Jun24 Jun16 May28 Apr30 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 123 12.00 6% 17.00    
7  FAYETTE BLUE Jun25 Jun16 Apr28 Feb23 Feb05 (rossi j)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE COWGIRL Jun24 Jun10 May08 Mar24 Mar09 (dodw)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
9  MIZONEY Jul04 Jun05 May12 Apr09 Mar23 (castellanos )PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00    
10  COBRA CASABLANCA Jul03 Jun24 May30 May14 Apr20 (jenkins bra)INIRIO J 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.