Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - July 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOUCH Jun23 Jun11 May21 Apr28 Mar25 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 1.60 15% 5.70    
2  CORT'N ASONG Jul01 May20 Mar09 Feb18 Feb04 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 60% 0.70    
3  HESASMOKIN Jul06 Jun10 May12 Apr21 Mar29 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 ★    
4  DROSSELMOON Jun29 Jun10 May25 Jan04   (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 ★    
5  G DADDY Jun23 Jun01 May12 Apr21 Mar18 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 117 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-2   07/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET BLAME Jul13 Jun27 Jun06 May10 Apr27 (hawthorne bob)OCASIO M 124 6.00 7% 13.30    
2  ANNA ROCKS Jun30 May20 Mar22 Mar01 Jan19 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 ★    
3  POSITIVE POWER Jun01 May05 Apr19 Mar25 Mar04 (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 8.00    
4  BETTER YET Jul01 Jun09 May07 Mar29 Feb09 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  TIZ A SHARPIE May20 Mar28 Mar09 Feb15 Jan19 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  SUGAR STREAK Jun27 May11 Apr13 Mar07 Feb08 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-3   07/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESPRESSO CALIENTE Jul07 Jun17 Apr06 Mar16 Mar04 (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00    
2  MINE TO HOLD Jun17 May21 Apr20 Mar25 Feb11 (rafter carl)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
SCR  SEIZE THE DAY Jun30 Jun05 May07 Apr08 Feb24 (feliciano ben)KARAMANOS A 120 15.00    
4  TERRY'S CHARM Jun12 May25 Apr20 Mar23 Mar16 (abrams ronald)CORREA JULIO 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
5  THE TRAIN Jul07 Jun17       (rodriguez fra)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00 8% 11.10    
6  MY FRIEND FRANK Jul07 Jun17 May24     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  THREEOHTWOCASSIE Jun15 Feb02 Jan12     (rigattieri joh)HENRY WESLEY 120 8.00    
8  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Jun15 Mar29 Mar11 Feb24 Feb06 (martin r)LLOYD W 118 20.00    
SCR  PARLOR Jun18 May27 May05 Apr02 Feb27 (d'angelo )HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 ★    
10  SURFER BOY GEORGE Jul10 Jun22 Jun12 May25 Apr25 (harigeorgiou)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 15.00    
SCR  THE ROBERT Jun30 Jun07 Apr13 Mar21 Feb16 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 12% 7.40    
 
PEN-4   07/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROUBLE COFFEE Jul01 Jun02       (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
2  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Jul07 Jun23 Jun10 May20 May06 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 ★    
3  BREVARD PLACE Jul01 Jun17       (morris r)AVILES YAN 113 8.00 ★    
4  DRAMATIZED Jul12 Jun29 Jun17 May30 Jan31 (bouchard lesl)RIVERA D 120 3.50 8% 12.20    
5  TEMPUS Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 May16   (dickey keith)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
6  VISHNU Jul07 Jun10 Apr28 Mar29 Mar15 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 8.00    
7  ABDAA Jun20 Jun06 May30 Apr26   (bouchard les)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 8.00    
 
PEN-5   07/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURNPIKE BOB Jul08 Jun15 Apr18 Mar29 Jan25 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 2.00 39% 1.50    
2  UNCLE YUDI Jul07 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Mar23 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
3  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Jun24 Jun09 May26 May12 Apr22 (kreiser ti)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  WAR NOVEL Jul07 Jun10 May21 May08 Apr20 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 ★    
5  JACK GAVE BACK Jun29 Jun08 May25 Apr15 Mar25 (bentley fennek)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 ★    
6  FOLE'S NOTION Jun22 Jun01 May13     (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS THEM DEADLY Jul01         (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
SCR  FED CHAIR Jul01 Jun03 May07 Apr06 Mar15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  DIXIE CANNONBALL May26 Apr08 Mar16 Jan28 Jan07 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  CAPT. CANDY May26 May13 Apr04 Feb09 Jan01 (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  CONCRETE GLORY Jun03 May25 May07 Apr24 Apr09 (brooks geral)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  UNCLE BUDDY Jun29 Jun03 Mar27 Jan30   (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 118 1.40 44% 1.30    
 
PEN-7   07/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR THE MOMENT Jun22 Jun09 Mar15 Mar04 Feb11 (smith thomas )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00 ★    
2  MAIN COOL CAT Jun30 Jun06 May07 Mar29 Mar15 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 1.80 ★    
3  RIPPOLINO Jul07 Jun17 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
4  PEPE TONO Jul14 Jun02 May05 Mar29 Mar11 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
5  ELUSIVE JESTER Jun29 Jun10 May11 Apr22 Mar23 (miller ma)VARGAS L 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
6  BOCK Jul07 May20 Apr22 Mar29 Mar15 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
PEN-8   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARLESS GIRL (IRE) Jul02 May14 Apr08 Mar16 Feb23 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  VICTORY REIGNS Jul08 Jun23 Jun09 May20   (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
3  AUTOMATED TELLER Jul01 Jun17 Jun01     (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 ★    
4  SHANIA SEA         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 7% 13.90    
5  VALENTINA'S CUPID Jun15 May26 May11 Apr22 Feb22 (albright r)CORA D 124 8.00    
6  MADAMME IN LOVE         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 6% 15.50    
7  ASGATA Jul08 Jun23 Jun16 Apr28 Apr06 (sinnefia paulina)LLOYD W 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.