Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIC QUEEN Jun26 Jun05 May14     (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 123 10.00    
PRUDENT SONG Jun25 May29 Feb26     (carvajal )RODRIGUEZ A 123 1.80 61% 0.60    
NEVER (IRE) Apr10 Mar24 Feb20 Jan27   (ortega leopol)CARDENAS LUIS 118 12.00    
KAMENSHEK Jun25 May30       (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 5.00    
MAEVE THE BRAVE (IRE)         (trombetta)VARGAS A 118 6.00    
PLAYALINDA Jun25 May30 Apr22     (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
HAZARDOUS HUMOR Jul02 Jun25 May29     (russo j)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 10% 9.40    
ALWAYS AWARE Jun09 May15 Mar27     (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00 8% 11.90    
 
MTH-2   07/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN GRANT Jun25 Jun11 May15 Apr15 Mar06 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 124 1.50    
ANNIKA GOLD Jun25 Feb27 Jan13     (simmonds mich)CARDENAS LUIS 120 8.00    
OBSTINATE Jun25 Jun11 May15 Apr12 Mar28 (lake a)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50    
LADY FOX Jun29 Jun11 May12 May01 Apr01 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
SOUTHERN CENTS Jun26 Jun13 May23 May03 Apr13 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 12% 7.50    
CATANIA Jun12 May22 Apr22 Mar04 Jan09 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
MTH-3   07/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LANCER Jun17         (lucas bonnie)FERRER C 117 12.00    
DANCE STEP         (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00    
GIRL TROUBLE Jun04         (reid e)RIVERA EDWIN 117 1.20 61% 0.60    
EXCLUSIVE ROSE         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
BANK BUSTER         (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
BELMAR SUMMER         (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 16% 5.30    
RAW POWER         (spina cha)VARGAS A 117 6.00    
 
MTH-4   07/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY'S PRIDE Jul02 Jun12 May28 May15   (huston k)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
SHERRY ORIENTAL Jun25 Jun03 Apr22     (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 3.50 8% 12.00    
TALE LIGHTS         (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00    
POLITELY CROWNED Jun18 Jan03       (owens)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
AMAZING GRACES JOY Jun26 Jun05 May14 Apr01 Mar13 (mazza w)FERRER C 124 6.00    
ROB THE TREASURE         (dini mike)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 4.00 10% 8.70    
POMTINI Jun03 May14       (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
WICKED JANE Jun03 May14 Feb06 Jan15   (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00 34% 1.90    
 
MTH-5   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Jun19 May24 May11 Apr26 Mar18 (simmonds mich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 12.00    
MUGSY MALONE Jun24 May13 Apr15 Apr07 Mar25 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 115 4.00 52% 0.90    
R BOY CHEEKUM Jul04 Jun10 May28 May14 Apr29 (thompson marc)CARDENAS LUIS 117 20.00    
CATCH THE SMOKE Jul01 Jun19 May20 May08 Apr10 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50    
SAILOR SPEED May20 Apr27       (luc)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
DISTORTED LIMITS Jun19         (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.00 8% 12.10    
FLATTER ME Jun25 Jun03       (hills timoth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 11% 8.00    
 
MTH-6   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESUMMER Jul04 Jun11 May14 Apr01 Feb25 (king b)PARISH R 124 12.00    
MACHO BOY Jun29 Jun01 May16 Apr26 Apr02 (engle)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 3.00    
ROCKYSBUCKAROO May28 Mar20 Jan19     (pimental i)FERRER C 124 4.50    
NICK THE CARDSHARK Jun26 Jun19 May22 Mar05 Feb18 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
TOWN CLASSIC Jun18 Jun02 May05 Apr16 Mar26 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  MOJAC KAT Jul02 Jun04       (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00    
 
MTH-7   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LULLABY LAND Jun04 Feb16 Jan15     (carvajal luis )CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
MIZZEN Jul06 Jun12 May22 Mar25 Jan28 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 8.00    
CHEERLEADER BARB         (alcala cesar)CARDENAS LUIS 121 20.00    
MAJESTIC QUEEN Jul03 Jun04 May30 Apr20 Apr09 (harris )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
MOSLER'S IMAGE Jun04         (trombetta)VARGAS A 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
LULI'S DANCER Jul03 Jun10 May28 May15 Apr15 (gomez pompey)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 5.00    
SPEED SALSA Jun04 Apr03 Mar06 Feb12 Feb02 (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50    
GOODBYE CAROLINA Jun04 Apr29 Apr13 Mar20   (wilson tony)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 12.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  MUSETTA (ARG) Jul08 Jun19 Jun04 May05 Mar06 (delga)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00 12% 7.50    
10  GOLDEN OLDIE Jun26 Jun04 Apr29     (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00    
SCR  LOVE'S MISERY Jul02 Jun12 May15 Apr24 Mar04 (atras)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 5.00    
 
MTH-8   07/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING FORCE Jun25 May29 Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 8.00    
SUPER SHOES Jun18 May29 May14 Apr08 Mar23 (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 4.00    
MELINA'S DREAM Jun25 Jun10 May29 Apr27 Mar30 (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00    
BIRD RULER Jun25 May21 Apr14 Mar19   (delga)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
BEDAZZLING May18 Mar26       (simmond)BRICENO GREGOR 121 12.00    
FREEZE TURKEY Jun25 Jun17 May29 May14   (d'amodio char)KAY R 121 30.00    
TEXAS TOWER Jun25 Jun18 Jun03 May12 Apr15 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00    
ANGELI BLU Jun12 May22 Apr07     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
MTH-9   07/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TASTY WAVE Jun18 May21 Apr21 Mar19 Feb12 (levine br)VARGAS A 115 10.00    
SCR  IDAKA Jun04 May22 Mar20 Mar09 Jan19 (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
ZUBOSHI Jun19         (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 12% 7.60    
AIKEN TO BELONG Jul02 Jun04       (berrios)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
BAHAMA PEARL Jul02 Jun24 Jun05 May15 Apr13 (carvajal )MEZZATESTA ANDREA 121 6.00    
SCR  OFALLTHEGINJOINTS Jul02 May22 Apr29 Apr14 Feb24 (dini mike)FERRER C 117 3.50 63% 0.60    
MAKIN IT LOOK EASY Jul02 Jun11 May07 Apr09 Feb12 (o'connell kath)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00    
HERALD ANGEL Jul02 Jun04       (lucas bonnie)CARDENAS LUIS 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE RED BUTTON Jul02 Jun25 May28 Apr30   (d'amod)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 8.00    
10  PLAYA INCLUSION Jul01 Jun11 May21 May05 Apr10 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00    
SCR  WRITE THIS DOWN Jun17 Apr29 Feb18 Jan23   (engle)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 8.00    
SCR  KEFALIANI         (captan bassam)PARISH R 119 30.00    
 
MTH-10   07/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROGALLO Jun24         (schultz lindsay)FERRER C 121 4.50    
SCR  CHROME FINISH Jun26 May29 May06 Apr10 Mar13 (sweezey ken)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 7% 13.70    
RICARDITO Jun26 Jun12 May28     (alcala)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 15.00    
LION CHARMER Jun12 May21 May07 Apr10 Mar19 (o'connor rober)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
LAWLESSNESS Apr25 Apr05 Mar14 Feb23 Feb08 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00    
EXXTOP Jul03 Jun26 May08 Apr08 Feb25 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
NICE OF ME Jul02 Jun19 Jun10 May21 Mar26 (hernandez)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00 29% 2.50    
BEATTHATFLEW Jul03 May28       (lucas bonnie)PANAIJO JORGE 121 10.00    
 
MTH-11   07/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENBANG Jun12 May15       (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 6.00    
DISCO EBO Mar08 Feb05       (reid e)RIVERA EDWIN 116 12.00    
DELMONA (IRE) May07 Mar26 Feb25     (begg b)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 4.50    
SCR  SWEET SOLARE Jul15 Jun12 May07 Mar19 Feb25 (de ho)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
MARISSA'S LADY May06 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12   (morey william )CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
INSATIABLE Jul03 May29       (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 8.00    
LADY ZETA May28 May14 May01 Apr09 Mar25 (crowell susa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 10.00    
SCR  MYSTIC EYES Jul15 May14       (pletcher a)FERRER C 116 3.50 6% 14.90    
MAC THE PEE H DEE May19 Apr09 Feb27     (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 116 4.00    
SCR  DRIFAROS Jul09 Jun19       (pompay terri)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 4.00    
SCR  EMPRESS TIGRESS Jul15 May22       (thomas jonathan)NO RIDER 116 4.00 16% 5.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.