Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE TIME Jun27 Jun13       (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 6.00    
HENRISINCONTROL Jun27 Jun13       (gaskin steven)CHOW CHAVION 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
BUNCHOFCASH Jun27 Jun13       (cizik lar)CHADEE JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BITETHEBULLETBRO Jun27         (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 0.60 56% 0.80    
ZIPPEDDIE Jun27         (gardipy )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00    
 
ASD-2   07/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16K) 2 ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ)         (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 6.00 7% 14.10    
DOUBLEBARRELDELITE         (nault mic)CHADEE JR 119 1.60 45% 1.20    
SCR  BIG BIG ENERGY         (gittens devon)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 3.50    
LADY COP         (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.50 15% 5.50    
ROYAL COMMANDO         (brown shelle)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.50    
 
ASD-3   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY ROYAL         (husbands tiffa)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 15.00 12% 7.70    
CALL ME CAPTAIN Jun28 Jun13       (rawson fred)CUMBERBATCH R 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
DEVILS TIME Jun14         (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 3.00    
GUARANTEEDDELIVERY Jun28 Jun14       (anderson carl)CARRENO J 124 1.40    
CONNOR'S CONQUEST         (dickey elton)NELSON C 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
HEY LETS TANGO Jun13 Jun01       (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 20.00    
 
ASD-4   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK INTHAT ACTION Jun29 Jun15 Jun07 Apr01 Mar18 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
SECRET AVENGER Jun18 May11 May02 Apr20 Apr05 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 1.40    
DONT GET SMART Jun29 Jun15       (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 121 2.50    
KICKALITTLEBOOTY Jun29 Jun15       (hrymak brent)CARRENO J 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
MISSION REALITY Jun29         (gaskin steven)CHOW CHAVION 121 25.00    
LADY SUNSET Jun28         (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-5   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOVIAL DESTINY Jun29 Jun15       (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
WARREN'S VAN GOGH Jun29 Jun07       (stanford mar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 15.00    
AMERICAN LEAGUE Jun25 Jun11 May28     (brown allen)CARRENO J 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
FREUDIAN SIP Jun18 May14 Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 (keplin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00 13% 7.00    
CONTRABAND Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 Apr29 Apr02 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.40 36% 1.80    
WILL KNOWS Jun14 Apr19 Mar29 Feb26 Feb06 (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 122 8.00    
MICHAEL MUNDO Jun20         (donley jim)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00    
 
ASD-6   07/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAYFORPEACE Jul02 Jun19 May29 May14 Mar24 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
STRIKING OIL Jun20 Jun01 Apr29 Apr01   (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 117 25.00    
SCR  DIMMI QUANDO Jun20 May07 Apr16 Mar18 Feb25 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 15.00    
CLANCY'S PISTOL May21 Apr23 Apr01 Mar04 Feb21 (diodoro r)ZENTENO JR 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
GOLD SPECIAL Jun27 Jun20 Jun01 Mar13 Feb11 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 122 12.00 9% 10.70    
GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) May07 Apr02 Feb26     (diodoro robe)WALCOTT W 122 2.50    
LUCKY CHUCKEE Jun21 Jun01       (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 30.00    
BRODY'S STREAK Jun20 Jun01 May03 Apr05 Mar04 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
ASD-7   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Jun22 Jun06 Mar31 Mar17 Feb09 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 5.00    
WICKED FORTITUDE Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 Apr04 Mar22 (brown)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
YOLA Jun21 Jun06       (anderson )CHADEE JR 122 8.00    
BIG TONY Jun28 Jun14 Apr07 Mar10 Feb22 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 15.00    
HALL RICH LEGACY Jun21         (brown shelle)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.60 41% 1.50    
MAJESTIC STREET Jun15 Jun01 Mar24 Mar02 Jan24 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
IN THE DEEP Mar16 Feb10       (wise a)NELSON C 122 25.00    
BUDLITELARRY         (dorchester de)CUMBERBATCH R 122 20.00 15% 5.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.