Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUPITER ECLIPSE Jun13         (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  HITCH CITY Jun13 May12       (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 10.00 6% 15.60    
3  MACHEN REIGNS Jun13 May12       (baird michael)PAUCAR E 119 1.80 ★    
4  OH EYE SEE Jun13         (maddox rachae)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
5  MIDNIGHT IN OHIO         (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
6  TALE OF THE LYON May26 May12 Apr26     (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-2   07/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASATIME Jun20 May04 Apr13 Mar24 Mar08 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
2  FRESH MORNING Jun13 May21       (atala jos)CORREA L 117 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  TIGER JO May09 Apr13 Jan11     (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 13% 7.00    
4  ISLAND WINTER Jun20 May04 Apr09 Mar26 Mar08 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.00 ★    
SCR  VOODOOISM Jun20 May04 Apr26 Mar26 Mar10 (inirio car)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.50 ★    
6  CATCH THE RAINBOW May23 May04 Apr16 Mar27 Mar13 (rini anthony)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-3   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REINSURE         (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 14% 6.20    
2  VALIANT THOR         (cady khalil)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 8.00 ★    
3  LONESOME PHIL Jun07 May26 May02     (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
4  UHAVETOBEKITTENME May18 May09 Apr26 Apr01 Mar18 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 3.00 ★    
5  BRYCE'S ANGEL Jun08 May24       (rettele r)CORREA L 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  JUST CHITU Jun10 May25       (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-4   07/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEAR PERFECT         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
1A  LEMON MOUSSE         (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 ★    
2  IN TROUBLED WATERS         (faulkner rodne)MBATHA LUCKY 118 3.50 ★    
2B  FABULOUS CLOWN Jun22         (faulkner )CORREA L 118 3.50 10% 9.50    
3  RUBY LAYNE         (fletcher ke)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  SECRETS UNTOLD         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  RIVERANDFAIRMOUNT Jun22         (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 113 15.00    
6  SHESANOTHERSONG         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 4.50    
7  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO GO MY LUCEILLE         (brown t)VELEZ J 123 12.00 ★    
1A  ALL THE BEST Jun16 Jun01 May17 May03 Mar14 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
2  HIGH CUPPER Jun01 May18 May03 Apr25 Mar26 (brown glen)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 4.50 8% 12.20    
3  PISTOL PACKIN BOS Jun01         (hurley mary )KEISER CHELSEY 123 6.00 17% 5.00    
4  OPULENT Jun14 May16 Mar10 Feb19   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  DISCREET ENERGY Jun16 Jun01 May17 May10 Apr11 (syed riaz)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00    
6  SWINDLE Jun01 May18       (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  SANIBEL Jun09 Jun01 May04 Apr11 Mar23 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50    
 
TDN-6   07/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONKAWA SPRINGS Jun22 May30 May12 Apr24 Mar18 (vecchio caryn)LOPEZ ALBERT 115 15.00    
2  AMES MISTER Jun22 May17 Apr28 Apr04 Mar24 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 10.00 ★    
3  NIGHT TIME RULER Jun22 May31 May12 Apr28 Apr16 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  CHACO SPIRIT Jun16 May17 Jan04     (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
5  DAWN WEST Jun11 May26       (wilson davi)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
6  MUNDO MIX Jun11 May27 May11 Apr11 Mar21 (caramori ed)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 14% 6.20    
7  GRAND DEAL Jun22 May16 Apr11 Apr04 Mar23 (poole jeffrey )DIAZ I 119 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-7   07/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MUTINY May30 May06 Apr26 Mar21   (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  CONDEMNATION Jul01 May30 May06 Mar13   (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.50    
2  WILDCAT EXPRESS May30 May17       (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 117 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  MUCHO PRIMO         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 12.00    
4  OHIO STRONG Mar09 Feb18       (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50 ★    
5  MR LOOOCH Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr09 Mar21 (quartarolo anth)FELICIANO R 115 3.00 10% 8.60    
6  HOPPY GILMORE Jun21 May17 Apr28 Apr06   (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 6% 17.10    
7  MCGRAW May30 Jan19       (fadlovich mega)LOPEZ ALBERT 115 6.00    
 
TDN-8   07/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN Jun03 May02       (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  FU ROO Jun08 May21       (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
3  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Jun25 May31 May02 Jan15   (inirio car)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
4  SAMMY DA BULL Jun20 Feb16 Jan14     (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
5  FUEGO CALIENTE May24 Apr27 Apr09 Jan27   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  GIO SAMMY Jun22 May16 Apr27 Apr05 Mar14 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
7  ROSAS WAY Jun20 May21 May04 Apr11 Mar19 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 15.00 9% 10.60    
8  KATHERN'S JOY Jun22 May31 May11 Apr20 Apr01 (inirio carlos)RIVERA R 119 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.