Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Sunday - July 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   07/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80 17% 4.90    
LOST ARK         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.40 41% 1.40    
PERFORM         (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00    
STRONG FINISH         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
AARON         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
STAR ATTITUDE         (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 17.70    
 
BEL-2   07/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL May20 Mar27 Feb12     (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  REGINA Feb24 Jan23       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 5% 18.40    
BELLESHAZZA Jun10 May20 Apr14 Feb18 Jan13 (sciacca gary)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
EXOTIC CAT Jun10         (pregman jr)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
GREEN SCREEN QUEEN Jun10 May15       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
MISCREANT Jun09 May20       (ryerson )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00    
QUARIA THUNDER Jun10 May20 Mar04 Feb12 Jan08 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 118 1.40 45% 1.20    
 
BEL-3   07/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHE'S A BLACK BELT Jun19 Jun04 May19 May13   (jones ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  GRUDGE Jun26 May12 Apr03 Feb06 Jan08 (jones ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50    
CADEAU DE PAIX Jun12 Mar31 Mar04 Jan23 Jan01 (reynolds patr)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40    
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Jun02 May05 Apr02 Mar11 Feb12 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.60 46% 1.20    
MISS PEPPINA May19 Apr03 Feb27 Jan09   (cruz lenin)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
VIOLENT POINT Jun19 May27 May12 Apr15 Apr03 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 8.00    
 
BEL-4   07/03/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROKEN SPUR May22 Apr03       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
BLAME B B May20         (aguirre anthony)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
JAVA BUZZ         (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
CYNWYD Apr29 Mar12       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 31% 2.30    
TOWN BRANCH Jun02 Apr09 Mar05     (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
ALMANZO Mar27 Feb19 Jan22     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
BEL-5   07/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($96K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLORIFORM Jun04 Apr27 Feb05     (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50    
SIFTING SANDS (GB) May05         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
FORTY UNDER May05 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22   (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
EMARAATY (GB)         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 36% 1.70    
IT'S A GAMBLE Jun02 May05 Apr09     (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
HOMBRE Jun03 May01 Feb12     (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 11% 8.10    
WINFROMWITHIN May28 Apr24 Mar11 Jan15   (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 119 10.00 11% 8.30    
OCALA DREAM May30 Apr14       (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 14% 6.30    
 
BEL-6   07/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE HILL May19 Apr02 Feb21     (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 6.00    
LUNI SIMA Jun04 May08 Apr08 Feb25   (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 20% 3.90    
MOONSHININGBRIGHT May29         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
MOTION TO STRIKE Jun05 May19 Apr07 Mar13 Jan20 (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00    
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND May05 Mar06 Feb11 Jan09   (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
MOCEPHUS Jun11 May20 Apr14 Mar27 Feb11 (trombetta mich)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
BEL-7   07/03/2022 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($94K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLANIGAN'S COVE Jun05 Apr21       (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED Jun17 May07       (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00    
STATE CROWN Jun02 May17       (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
CAFE FLEUR (FR) May19 Jan29       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
LIGHT STARS (FR)         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 15% 5.50    
HIGHER TRUTH (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.00 27% 2.70    
R CALLI KIM May26 Apr23       (walsh brendan )LEZCANO JOSE 121 20.00 7% 14.00    
STAR SEEKING (IRE) May15 Feb26 Jan29     (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
MIA MARTINA Jun05 Mar27       (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 15% 5.80    
 
BEL-8   07/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOUSTER Jun10 Apr16 Mar05     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
GIGGLE FACTORY Jun12 Apr09 Feb12     (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
FLOWER POINT Jun10 May07 Apr16     (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
CHEERMEISTER         (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 18% 4.70    
LOVE AND THUNDER (IRE) May15         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.80 32% 2.10    
MESSIDOR (IRE) Jun10 Apr16       (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
 
BEL-9   07/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN'S RESERVE Jun09 May14       (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 27% 2.60    
SIGHT UNSEEN         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
REFUAH May27 Apr29 Apr02 Feb12   (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  CAPLETON         (richards mar)HARKIE K 119 30.00    
FULL COMPLEMENT Jun10         (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
STREET TSAR         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50    
BEACH BOY AL Mar05 Feb11 Jan09     (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
SINFUL DANCER Jun09 Apr30 Apr03 Mar05   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.