Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Saturday - July 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   07/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPLE PICKER         (rodriguez rud)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00    
1A  MARIA FROM MIAMI         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.00    
SCR  EXTESSA         (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
MYSTERIOUS STARE         (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRACEFUL         (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
FLY HIGH         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
RANSOM STYLE         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 35% 1.90    
TRIBAL QUEEN         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
 
BEL-2   07/02/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE MANGO Jun17 May22       (ferraro james )RICHARDS G 123 20.00    
SCR  TWIRLING PATTI Jun02 Mar24 Feb24     (drury j)ORTIZ L 125 1.80 25% 2.90    
SCR  CHAYSENBRYN Jun02 Apr29 Mar18 Feb04   (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 125 2.50 33% 2.10    
VOICE OF SPRING May21 Mar11 Feb13 Jan13   (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00    
LINNY KATE Jun17 May15 Apr01 Mar06 Feb12 (noda orlando)CARMOUCHE K 125 12.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  BASILIA May26 Apr28 Mar31 Mar02   (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 125 2.50 7% 13.50    
LADY OF THOROTON Jun11 May15 Apr16 Feb25 Jan08 (englehart chri)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
MISS DELICIOUS Jun12 May14 Mar25 Jan26   (klesaris stev)VELAZQUEZ R 125 6.00    
MAYBE LATER Jun12 May22 May08 Mar25 Feb26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 8% 11.50    
 
BEL-3   07/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK OF DELANCEY Jun19 May17 May04 Apr15 Mar30 (hillegass alexand)LUZZI J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TUESDAY'S CHILD May28 May05 Apr03 Feb13 Jan02 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00    
LUCKY MUCHO MAN Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar31 Feb12 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
SCR  DISENGAGE Jun23 May22 May05 Mar31   (parke)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 20.00 6% 14.80    
EL VEINTICUATRO Jun23 May06 Mar31 Feb27 Feb05 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
DATESFREEDOM Jun18 May22       (delauro edwar)CARDENAS LUIS 118 15.00    
LUCKY BRODY May06 Apr01 Feb27 Jan28   (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.60 59% 0.70    
 
BEL-4   07/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE IS GOOD Jan29         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 0.50 46% 1.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BEACH WALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
REPO ROCKS Jun14 May14 Apr28 Mar26 Mar05 (diprima greg)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
HARVARD Apr30 Mar18 Feb19     (brisset rodolph)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SAMBUCA CLASSICA by CAT THIEF)
SCR  WAR TOCSIN Jun10 May21 Apr16 Feb19 Feb05 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 30.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BEING ANNA by ALDEBARAN)
SPEAKER'S CORNER Jun11 Apr09 Mar05 Jan29   (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 1.20 30% 2.30    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TYBURN BROOK by BERNARDINI)
 
BEL-5   07/02/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAKING IT Apr22 Feb13       (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
BREAKWATER May05 Apr03       (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
CALLOWAY PEAK Apr10 Mar26       (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
INTERNAL CAPITAL         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 11% 8.30    
CAPENSIS         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
SOSUA SUMMER May15 Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 Jan30 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
RUNNING BEE         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 9% 9.80    
EMBOITE (IRE) May29         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50    
 
BEL-6   07/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD VICTORY Jun16 Jun04 May19 Apr08   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50    
ENDOWED Jun05         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.80 41% 1.40    
SCR  BLAKE B. Jun04 Apr30 Mar26 Feb26 Feb06 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00    
WRITEITONTHEICE May21 Apr23 Mar20 Feb24 Jan16 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
DANGEROUS EDGE Jun16 May28 Apr07 Mar20 Feb26 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 13% 6.60    
AIR SHOW Jun04 May08 Apr07 Mar20 Feb20 (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
BEL-7   07/02/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY HILL LIL Jun11 May14       (sciacca gary)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
SHE'S A MIA May06         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
AUTUMN GLORY May14         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
KISS ME SMILE Jun12 May15 Mar19 Feb19   (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
BIG AL'S GAL May19 Apr07 Mar18 Feb25 Jan27 (dipri)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCOTT ALAIA Jun03 May01 Mar06 Feb12   (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 16% 5.40    
LOVE'S MISERY Jun12 May15 Apr24 Mar04 Feb04 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
MAKIN MY MOVE May28         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 15% 5.80    
DUFRESNE Jun11 May14       (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
 
BEL-8   07/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGE IT May07 Apr02 Feb12 Jan08   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 0.80 38% 1.60    
  (by TAPIT out of I'LL TAKE CHARGE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
NO SABE NADA Jun02         (peck scott)ALVARADO JR 122 20.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of CHRISTMAS COVE by MORE THAN READY)
FLUID SITUATION May15 Mar27 Feb26     (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 13% 6.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of VOLATILE VICKIE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jun03 May07 Apr08 Feb05 Jan01 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of UNBRIDLEDEXPLOSION by EDDINGTON)
RUNNINSONOFAGUN May15 Mar29 Mar05 Jan27   (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
NABOKOV May15 Apr14       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 27% 2.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PEPPY RAFAELA by BERNARDINI)
 
BEL-9   07/02/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHANNON Apr22         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
NOTA BENE May15 Apr22 Mar18 Jan01   (wilkes r)CARDENAS LUIS 124 15.00 6% 14.90    
ANADOR (FR) Jun04 Apr21       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
TUSCAN QUEEN         (kimmel c)LUZZI J 124 12.00    
SILKY BLUE May30         (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
A LITTLE FAITH         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
SHE'S THE ONE May30 Apr23       (clement christ)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  HOT FUDGE         (rice linda)RIDER TBA 120 5.00    
SCR  TO A T May07 Apr28 Mar31 Mar11 Feb18 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
10  O'GOTTEN GIRL         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00    
11  CRUZ BAY May15 Apr22       (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
12  MAIL ORDER Jun04         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  CHASING CARA May19 Apr23 Mar25 Feb27 Feb13 (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
SCR  MONSHUN May30 Apr09 Mar19     (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 120 6.00    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME Jun10 Mar18 Feb06 Jan08   (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 124 4.00    
SCR  AWILLAWAY Jun10 May07 Apr09 Mar18 Feb13 (friedman mitc)CARDENAS LUIS 124 15.00    
 
BEL-10   07/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LISTENTOYOURHEART May14         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
SCR  KLICKITAT May15         (rice linda)HARKIE K 125 12.00 6% 15.90    
JERRY THE NIPPER May15 Apr22 Mar27     (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 125 5.00 20% 3.90    
SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY May06 Apr08       (abreu r)CARDENAS LUIS 125 15.00    
HOLD THE SALSA Jun02 Apr29 Jan08     (lugov)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00    
CELESTIAL CITY May29 May05 Mar26 Jan30   (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
DEVIL'S OUTLAW Jun02 May01       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
THIN WHITE DUKE Jun03 May06 Apr16 Mar19   (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00    
BAY STREET MONEY Jun16 May06 Apr09 Feb06   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 5.00    
10  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE)         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 125 10.00    
11  KHAFRE Jun02 May06 Apr03 Feb06 Jan09 (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
12  POET OF LIFE (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.50 8% 11.00    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN May29 Apr28 Mar26 Feb10 Jan27 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  NO BURN Jun16 May29 May21 Apr07 Mar04 (barrera s)RIDER TBA 123 3.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  EFFICIENCY May07 Mar20       (brown c)RIDER TBA 120 1.60 25% 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.