Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - June 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   06/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCE OF PORTLAND May29 May07 Apr15 Apr01 Mar26 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 112 4.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  SEVILLE ROW Jun17 May29       (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 31% 2.30    
SCR  FIRST CRUSADER Jun04         (morris ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
DOMINANT FACTOR Jun09 May27 May12 Apr29 Mar20 (hillegass ale)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
STRAIGHT UP GUY Jun11 May25 Apr24 Apr15 Mar20 (aguirre an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 111 10.00    
CRYPT May12 Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 Feb16 (beattie m)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
LEAVE 'EM LOADED Jun10 May20 May06 Apr22 Mar23 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
SCR  BIFF Jun10 May11 Mar29 Mar01 Feb11 (rodriguez fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
 
PEN-2   06/23/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOBAL NATION         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
MY WALLY May19         (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00    
KHAKI JACK Jun03 May13 Apr22     (albright r)CORA D 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
THAT'S MY BOI TOY Jun01 Apr27 Apr16 Mar25 Mar12 (jacavone )VARGAS L 119 12.00    
ARTIE CHILLER May05 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15   (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
BUMMER         (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 8% 11.10    
AUCHINCRUIVE Jun04         (leatherbury ki)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00    
YANKEE EMPIRE Jun03 May13 Feb20 Feb11   (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 122 8.00    
GREY QUEST May11 Mar29 Mar02 Feb15 Jan28 (sinnefia pa)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY STAR May31 May18       (kirby t)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
SCR  FLASH IS BACK         (mcfarlane)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SCR  BUSTER BRUNO May11         (crook-demasi ka)WHITNEY G 119 6.00 12% 7.00    
 
PEN-3   06/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALENTED TAPPER Mar29 Mar18 Mar08 Jan14   (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 124 20.00    
SCR  MI PRINCESS DI Jun09 May21       (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 8.00    
SAKARI         (carpio er)VARGAS L 121 12.00 33% 2.00    
VICTORY REIGNS Jun09 May20       (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
ASGATA Jun16 Apr28 Apr06 Mar29 Mar16 (sinnefia pa)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.50    
MS KAYS COWGIRL May30 Apr28       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 8.00    
FREE TO RUN Jun09 May26 May13 Apr28   (arnold pamela)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00    
PRACTICAL KITTY Jun11 May29 May06 Apr16   (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 116 4.50    
 
PEN-4   06/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO YOU SAY I AM         (smith thoma)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
VOUCH Jun11 May21 Apr28 Mar25 Mar04 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
G DADDY Jun01 May12 Apr21 Mar18 Feb23 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 10% 9.20    
THE BEST CANDY May21 May06 Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 19% 4.20    
AMERICAN CHESTNUT May20 May06       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00    
SCR  MOON MEISTER May19 Apr28 Mar15 Feb11 Jan28 (ferreira f)GILARDO COURTNEY 117 12.00    
 
PEN-5   06/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT SHIFT Jun02 May14 May06 Apr22 Mar11 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  THATZA ALPHA Jun04 May26 Apr15 Mar25 Mar06 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00    
MISTER GARY Jun03 May13 Apr22 Mar29 Mar16 (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 3.00    
RUN LEA RUN May27 Mar18       (viands gregory)CORA D 119 2.50    
MY MAN GEORGIO Jun09 May24 May13 Apr27 Apr08 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
PEAKY BLINKERS Jun02         (kravets bruce)TUNON JORDANO 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
PEN-6   06/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO HALAINN May26         (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 121 5.00    
NUMERATOR         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00    
HEAVENLY HEART         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 10.00    
NYX AND CHAOS Jun16 May20 Apr20 Mar25 Mar04 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.50 11% 7.90    
QUEEN LUCKY May26 May11 Apr18 Mar28 Mar02 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  OUR JESSICA JOAN Jun14 May11 Apr20     (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00 11% 8.00    
VINO TINTO         (martin jr)AGUILAR M 121 10.00    
 
PEN-7   06/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY SPECTACULAR Jun09 May07 Apr27 Feb21 Jan31 (crane clovis)CORA D 122 8.00    
YOURINDENIAL Jun13 May30 May16 Apr05 Feb21 (nicholson )CABALLERO HECTOR 122 10.00    
MEEMOO Jun09 May13 Apr22 Mar18 Feb22 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
FLECHE D'AMOUR May01 Apr03 Feb18 Jan20   (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 1.60 35% 1.90    
DANCE A LITTLE JIG Jun09 May25 Apr27 Apr07 Mar18 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
LAUGH IT OFF Jun15 May25 Mar23 Mar14 Feb21 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00    
 
PEN-8   06/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEST CAUSE May19 Apr28 Mar22 Mar02 Feb02 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
MELODIOUS SINGER May25 Apr28 Mar07 Feb18 Feb02 (brennan regin)RANGEL JOEZER 124 2.00 12% 7.40    
NORA RADD Jun10 Apr08 Mar16 Feb18 Jan14 (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
SPLENDOR GAL Jun13 May23 May10 Apr20   (perez flore)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 12.00 8% 11.50    
JUSTKISSMYGRITS May25 Apr29 Apr08 Mar22 Feb23 (graci kimbe)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00    
MARIE FROM PARIE May27 Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 Feb22 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 8.00    
LIL TATER Jun13 May31 Apr13 Mar30 Mar15 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.