Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Friday - June 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   06/17/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERSONAL BEST Apr15 Mar13       (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 11% 8.10    
CONTEMPORARY ART May01         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.40 40% 1.50    
ORNAMENTAL Apr24         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SAHLABIYA May01         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
RHOMBIQUE Jun04 May01 Apr08     (ribaudo )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
ROSIA BAY Apr22         (devaux cheri)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
SCR  REGINA Feb24 Jan23       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
 
BEL-2   06/17/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT May05 Apr16 Mar19 Feb05 Jan20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 4.50    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE May21 Apr23 Mar20 Feb24 Jan16 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
SCR  KAREN'S COVE Jun01 May22 May12 Apr29 Apr03 (goberdhan chandra)LUZZI J 125 6.00    
ATHENRY Apr24         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
PROPENSITY Jun05 Apr24 Mar24 Feb26 Feb04 (kimmel j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 8% 10.90    
KING MOONRACER         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00    
SCR  LUNI SIMA Jun04 May08 Apr08 Feb25   (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
WINTER SON May21 May12 Apr10 Mar13 Feb23 (are)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
FAST N FEARIOUS May27 Apr24 Mar18     (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.50    
10  BOX OF JOE May21 Apr29 Apr08 Feb26 Jan22 (falcone robert )CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
11  MONTATHAM Jun05         (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00    
 
BEL-3   06/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMI CAT LADY May13 Apr22 Apr02 Feb21 Jan22 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
SIMPLE SUGAR May29 May13 Apr22 Mar06 Feb12 (chapman jame)SAMUEL L 121 1.50 29% 2.40    
DELLA LUTE         (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 121 8.00    
SCR  ELEGANT LAOBAN May29 May08 Apr10 Mar18 Feb24 (o'b)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
GAME THEORY May29 May13 Apr22 Apr09 Mar26 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 121 3.50    
FROSTED BOURBON May22 Apr14 Mar18 Jan23 Jan02 (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.00 18% 4.70    
 
BEL-4   06/17/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENTWINE (IRE) Apr09 Mar02 Jan13     (hennig mark)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
LINNY KATE May15 Apr01 Mar06 Feb12 Jan16 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 8.00 15% 5.90    
COMMUNITY ADJUSTED May07         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
EXCEPT TEMPTATION May12 Apr13 Feb26 Jan28   (albertrani th)VELAZQUEZ R 126 3.00    
EYLARA (IRE) Apr09         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 15% 5.80    
MISS TAPIRADO Apr09         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  TAP THE FAITH May07 Apr07       (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 120 1.80 16% 5.30    
 
BEL-5   06/17/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGBY May14 Jan19       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 14% 6.30    
MORE MANGO May22         (ferraro james )RICHARDS G 123 15.00    
HIGHWAY QUEEN May14 Apr16 Feb04 Jan01   (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
SCR  OUR TINY DANCER         (chichakly am)SAMUEL L 118 20.00    
BARBARA May27 Apr15 Apr03 Feb20 Jan13 (walder peter )VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 10% 9.20    
WRITE THIS DOWN Apr29 Feb18 Jan23     (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00    
LEMON TAFFY         (henry nevill)HARKIE K 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
CONSTITUTIONALRAGE Apr24         (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.50    
ALICIA'S WAY Apr24 Apr03 Feb25 Jan27   (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 9.00    
10  GAGLIANO May29 Apr22 Mar04 Feb21   (barrera s)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY JAZZ May27 Apr29 Mar11     (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  BOSS CARA May27 Apr28 Mar31 Feb18 Jan16 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
BEL-6   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY STONES May19 Apr29 Apr07 Mar26 Mar13 (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00    
PRETTY CLEVER May19 Apr03 Mar18     (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
MOSIENKO Jun04 Apr29 Apr03 Mar25 Feb27 (lalma)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 8.00    
KHALI MAGIC May20 Apr08 Mar13 Feb18 Jan13 (englehart chris)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.80 31% 2.30    
BIG Q May19 Mar20 Feb27 Jan06   (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
WAILIN JOSIE May20 Apr08 Feb27 Feb13 Jan08 (jerkens ste)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.50    
 
BEL-7   06/17/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIARA (URU) Apr28 Feb12 Jan08     (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALTARE Apr28         (bond harold )HARKIE K 118 30.00    
MONDEUSE May21 Feb19 Feb04     (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
GRACEFULLY WILD Apr28 Apr03       (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
LEMME GET IT         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
CROSSTALK May30 Apr14 Mar12     (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 9% 10.50    
RENT CONTROL May27         (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 118 12.00    
RACING QUEEN May30 May11       (morales samu)SAMUEL L 118 20.00    
GIGGLING GHOST Apr29 Mar19 Jan28     (quick j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
JANNIE MAE         (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 10% 8.60    
10  HALOFIED         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
11  SHESADANCINGQUEEN Apr28         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 9% 9.80    
12  BUSTIN BULLET May21         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  MO NIGHEAN DONN May30 May08 Apr02     (donk david)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
SCR  GLITTERING PRIZE (FR) May07 Mar25 Jan23     (bond harold )HARKIE K 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
BEL-8   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($96K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY FARM Jun03 Apr30 Feb27     (arriaga antoni)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 13% 6.60    
THREE TWO ZONE May21 Apr20 Mar08     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50    
FIRE SWORD         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
CHATEAU May14 Mar05       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.20 34% 2.00    
NEWBOMB         (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00    
 
BEL-9   06/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REAP WHAT YOU SOW May21 Apr23       (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
DRUID         (goodwin gabrie)RICHARDS G 125 20.00    
ABLETON May13 Feb19 Jan08     (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
KONG LOVES A FIGHT May29 May01 Mar27 Mar05 Feb21 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
FLINTSHIRE'S ROCK         (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00    
SHINSUN         (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
ACT ACCORDINGLY May06         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN CIVILITY May13 Jan16       (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
ADDICTED TO YOU May13 Apr22 Jan22     (sciacca gary)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 15.00    
10  RIA'S ANGEL May01 Apr02 Mar19 Feb12 Jan20 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
11  BOINTHEBACK May13 Apr23 Mar31 Feb21 Feb12 (diprima greg)SAMUEL L 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
12  RED JET Jun02 May21 Apr29 Apr16 Apr02 (goberdhan chandra)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  OUT THE WOODS Jun02 Feb27       (persaud rand)HARKIE K 125 15.00    
SCR  PIVOTAL RUN May20         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50    
15  LUCKY MUCHO MAN May20 Apr22 Mar31 Feb12   (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  DATESFREEDOM May22         (delauro j)RIDER TBA 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.