Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Saturday - June 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOMASCO         (farley phill)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 ★    
2  VOUCH May21 Apr28 Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 13% 7.00    
3  THE GREAT CASBY Apr22 Mar16 Feb16 Jan26   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 ★    
4  MINE THE COIN May26         (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 1.40 60% 0.70    
5  COMMISSIONER BIGGS May20 Apr22 Mar29     (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.00 7% 13.90    
 
PEN-2   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOSSY MADRINA May25 Apr27 Apr07 Mar02 Feb16 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 1.80 23% 3.30    
2  MORRIGAN May25 Apr28       (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
3  SMART TART May19 May05 Apr20 Mar18 Feb25 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
4  PARABLE May25 May16 Apr18 Apr06 Mar15 (bobadilla f)BOWMAN ADAM 122 8.00 ★    
5  LOIS'S CAUSE Apr21 Feb22 Jan28 Jan07   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40 ★    
6  HERE I COME         (shea h)CORA D 122 10.00    
 
PEN-3   06/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 SOFT Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOCA BIRDIE Jun02 May07 Apr14 Mar26 Mar05 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 118 20.00    
SCR  FAST LANI Mar25 Feb19       (frock l)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 7% 13.90    
3  CAPTAIN SAM May07 Apr13 Feb24     (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
4  PARANOIA May20 Mar22 Feb22     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  FALSE RULING May05 Apr20 Mar30 Mar18 Feb22 (farley phill)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00    
6  RACINGINTHESTREET         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 51% 0.90    
7  SMOKIN CLASS May12 Mar30 Mar08 Feb18 Jan25 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 20.00    
8  LUCKY DAY DIVA         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00    
9  HAPPY LOUDON Mar23 Feb21 Jan26     (wilhelm jenn)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 15.00    
10  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Apr07 Mar09 Feb18 Jan25   (rathman el)GILARDO COURTNEY 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHATTER ME Apr29 Apr08       (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUSCIOUS LOLA May13 May02 Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
2  WILL TAKE ROSES May13 Mar22 Mar04 Feb22 Feb08 (wolfe bob)VARGAS L 122 10.00 ★    
3  MORGANS MELODY May13 Feb22 Jan25 Jan07   (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
4  FIRST FOREVER May13 Apr14 Mar02 Feb11 Jan12 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 ★    
5  ORIGINALY FROM DOT May13 Apr21 Apr11 Mar28 Mar14 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 ★    
6  GRACE'S DRAMA May13 Apr13 Mar23 Feb15   (santaella-c)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 3.50 9% 9.70    
 
PEN-5   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL STORY May26 May13 Apr29 Apr08 Mar16 (albright )VARGAS L 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  TUCKERTON BAY May21 Apr22 Mar29 Mar09 Feb16 (ippolito mark)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
3  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT May21 May11 Apr08 Mar22 Feb25 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
4  SCARY LARRY May13 Apr28 Apr08 Mar06 Feb11 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 ★    
5  LTL BEAR SALOON May21 May12 Apr08 Feb08 Jan12 (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  JUMP FREE May21 Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 (ferreira fe)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 12.00    
 
PEN-6   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNAMATED MOON May11 Apr28 Mar01 Feb11 Jan21 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 ★    
2  MEMORY BOUQUET May19 Apr27 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 61% 0.70    
3  JOHNNY RITT May17 Apr26 Apr05 Mar15 Feb16 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 3.50 ★    
4  SAVAGERY May07 Apr21       (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 11% 8.20    
5  SUGAR DADDY May06 Mar25       (mcmahon demelza)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 ★    
6  CRITICAL THINKING May27 May07 Apr06 Mar16   (shea h)CORA D 121 6.00    
 
PEN-7   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLEZNIATKA May12 Apr28       (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
2  SMOKE AND MIRRORS May25 May07 Apr20 Mar25 Feb16 (kravets bruce )CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 ★    
3  PAPI'S BABY GIRL May27         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  HONESTA May19 Apr28 Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 (jacavone )VARGAS L 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  DASHI May27 Mar23 Mar15 Feb18   (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEGS LIKE SHACK May27 May05 Apr20 Apr01 Jan25 (fields kevin)CORA D 119 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-8   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION RALLY May20 May05 Mar18 Mar02   (wolfe bob)VARGAS L 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  AMEN SYLVIA May20 Apr27       (shea h)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
3  SKY OF DREAMS May27 May12 Apr21 Mar23 Mar08 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  B B'S ROCKET May25 Apr19 Apr06 Mar14 Feb28 (riviezzo ral)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 2.50 ★    
5  GOLDEN ACCOUNT May13 May07 Apr29 Apr16 Mar26 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 8.00    
6  SINISE May20 Apr27 Apr06 Mar08   (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
7  DENALI RAE May12 Apr01 Mar16 Mar04 Feb11 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 117 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.