Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Saturday - June 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   06/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESPERANZA ROSE May27 Mar10 Feb18     (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 1.40    
JIMENA Apr30 Mar19 Mar02     (cruz eduardo)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 15.00    
PHARME'S PHINALE May21 May12 Apr30 Mar19 Mar02 (j)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
EXPECT THE BOSS May14 Apr02 Mar10 Jan06   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 0.80 72% 0.40    
TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN May12         (garcia teofilo )BENAVIDES D 120 30.00    
SHERRYS BABY May22 May14 Apr30 Mar31 Mar19 (echeverria )INIRIO J 123 20.00    
MADAME RUE May14 Mar25 Mar02 Jan29   (whit)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
OLGA'S GOLD DANCER Apr30 Mar25 Mar02 Feb04 Jan06 (garci)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 30.00    
 
LS-2   06/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESMYBROKER May29 May12 Mar30 Mar19 Mar02 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 4.50 13% 6.80    
DUTCH TREAT May20 May06 Mar27 Mar11 Feb20 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 1.40 40% 1.50    
GALILETA Apr03 Feb28 Feb11 Feb01 Jan18 (silva)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 5.00 16% 5.40    
FETCHING May12 May01 Mar23 Feb16   (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.50    
COCO LOCO MAMA May21 Apr30 Mar31 Mar03 Feb18 (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 4.00    
 
LS-3   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TALE TWISTER May08 Mar18 Feb23 Jan20 Jan07 (j)DE CRUZ 122 3.00    
MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE) May29 May20       (crave)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 10.00 7% 14.30    
RIFT VALLEY May16 Apr29 Mar20 Mar05 Feb18 (donaldson j)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 60% 0.70    
FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Apr30 Mar10 Feb18 Jan15   (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 2.00    
GAMMA RAY         (eoff terr)TORRES A 122 20.00    
MUNDACIOUS May13 Mar31 Feb26     (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 124 2.50 9% 10.20    
 
LS-4   06/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO COMMENT Apr30         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
THE CAT CAME BACK May15 Apr07       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 30.00    
RVALENTINA May19 Apr28 Feb06 Jan20   (k)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
AUTOSTRADA (CHI) May19 May08 Apr09 Mar06 Jan28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00    
SCR  GIRLS GOT GAME May19 Apr08 Mar04 Feb10   (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 12.00    
FAST AND FEMININE May21 Apr16 Feb11 Jan07   (snipes rand)HAMILTON WESTON 120 6.00    
LADY EVE May15 Feb24       (castellanos )MEDELLIN ERICK 115 30.00    
SCR  CHAKA May15 Mar18 Feb23     (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 20.00    
 
LS-5   06/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONGO'S TALE         (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 124 4.00    
AUTO BE THE MAN Apr30         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00    
OAK HILL SOLUTION Apr07 Mar17 Jan01     (g)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 8% 12.30    
KNIGHTED May20 Apr30 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 1.20 41% 1.40    
NEVER OVER ME May15 Apr08 Mar23     (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
GETTINHOT'NHERE Mar23 Mar03       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 4.50    
 
LS-6   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSALOTOFBLING May15 Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 121 6.00 7% 13.00    
WHIPUM NAENAE May13 Mar26 Mar16 Mar10 Feb19 (dupuy allen)WETHEY JR 121 10.00    
FACESTER May28 May15 Apr08 Mar24 Feb19 (pish danny)SORENSON D 120 8.00    
WITT'S TENNY TEN May15 Apr10 Mar16 Feb19 Feb11 (barton amand)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 12.00    
GOLDEN SECRET May28 Mar04       (peek kevin)ERAMIA E 121 1.80 41% 1.50    
DIXIE CARROUSEL May07 Apr08 Mar18 Feb11   (gustafson austin)ELLIOTT S 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
WHITE WOMAN CREEK May13 Apr30       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
LS-7   06/11/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS BLUEBONNET May20 Apr29 Apr07 Mar03   (hebert matt)LUZZI J 118 10.00    
CAMARADERIE May22 May01 Apr22 Mar27 Feb18 (asmussen steve)QUINONEZ S 120 8.00    
MAJESTIC WAYS May22 Feb25 Feb09     (gelner jay)ERAMIA E 118 15.00    
SCR  AUSTIN CITY GIRL May30 Apr29 Apr02 Mar04 Feb10 (willis mi)TORRES A 118 20.00 15% 5.70    
DIAL TEN FOR G May19 Mar24 Mar05 Feb14 Jan20 (west patricia)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
HOT TUB HOTTIE May30 May19 Mar12 Feb18 Jan15 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
PRINCESS PAULINE Apr30 Mar18 Jan29 Jan14   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00    
SCR  COLORS OF THE WIND May20 Apr08 Mar01     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
LS-8   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEE SHE'S PRETTY May30 May01 Apr08 Mar12 Mar02 (davidson sarah)QUINONEZ S 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
MIGHTY HAPPY May29 May11 Apr26 Apr12 Mar19 (pish danny)MONTALVO C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
CATCHUSIFYOUCAN May22 Mar03       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 4.00    
COSTANARMANDALEG May29 Apr28 Mar31 Feb23   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 38% 1.60    
OUR SOUTHERN GIRL Mar01 Feb06 Jan14     (carter ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 6.00 15% 5.70    
AUNT JOIE May15 Mar19 Feb21 Jan29 Jan03 (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.00    
MISS RITA May17 Apr24 Apr03 Mar19 Mar06 (donaldson j)WETHEY JR 123 15.00    
IT'S ALL A BLUR May27 May10 Apr28 Mar24 Feb25 (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 20.00    
SCR  MAGICAL STARDUST Apr29 Mar17 Feb23 Jan27   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
 
LS-9   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEYS INCLUDED May21 Apr23 Mar23 Feb26 Feb11 (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 121 15.00    
REQUISITION May21 Apr30 Apr01 Mar10 Jan16 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.50    
R DOC May21 Mar19 Feb03 Jan16   (k)DE CRUZ 118 2.50 14% 6.00    
WILDWOOD Z May28 May19 Apr30 Apr07 Feb21 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 6.00    
IMA BIG BOPPER May29 May08 Mar26 Mar03 Jan27 (payne w)DIEGO V 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
BEYOND HELLO May27 Apr28       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 1.80 54% 0.80    
ICE BLAST May19 Apr07 Feb20 Jan22   (asmussen )TORRES A 121 8.00    
RONIC May21 Apr01 Feb11     (dupuy allen)WETHEY JR 118 20.00 7% 13.80    
 
LS-10   06/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO CLASSIC May06         (frazee )GONCALVES R 120 20.00    
TEXAS THUNDER May20 May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan20 (j)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
STILL OF THE NIGHT May20 Apr30 Feb19 Jan21 Jan07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 5.00 5% 17.90    
KAT'S KANDY         (eoff terr)TORRES A 121 30.00    
RUMPUS May22 Apr30 Apr02 Feb17 Jan29 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
GRAY ZONE Feb17 Jan29       (davidson n)SORENSON D 121 15.00    
TELLING THYME May15 Apr07 Mar09 Feb09   (gustafson aust)LUZZI J 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
BALLERINI May01 Apr07 Jan20     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 2.50    
BLACK MAGIC LADY May16 Apr25 Apr02 Mar09 Feb09 (pruitt m)DIEGO V 123 8.00 14% 6.40    
10  BECKY'S TATTOO May13 Mar30 Feb24 Jan13   (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.