Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - May 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   05/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAVARTI GOLD         (moore a)MATIAS J 121 15.00    
WILD PLAN Apr04 Mar02       (gilmour jim)ANAYA V 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
MIDNIGHT LUTER         (simkins rosie)RADKE K 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
MOON CIRCUMFERENCE         (bean a)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
WITHOUT PERMISSION         (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
ATLATL Apr26 Apr06 Mar15 Feb14 Feb01 (rennie richar)GUTIERREZ M 124 6.00    
 
EMD-2   05/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3 F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAM TRICKY Apr17 Feb12 Jan22 Jan01   (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
DONNE CATTIVE         (baze robert)MAWING A 121 8.00    
PERCY'S SIS         (bullock steve)GUTIERREZ M 121 6.00    
BABTISTE LASALLE May07 Apr17       (markle dan)CRUZ M 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
MOSCOW LADY         (bullock steve)MATIAS J 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
CALLIOPE SONG         (essex charles)RADKE K 121 4.50    
 
EMD-3   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($29.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS LYNN         (lumm roy)CRUZ M 120 3.50    
ZIPPIN SEVENZ         (bozell alan)MAWING A 120 10.00 7% 13.50    
FRISCO FRILLS         (balcom cliff)OROZCO E 120 4.50    
DONTKISSNTELL         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
IMA HAPPY CAT Apr10 Mar13 Jan07     (markle dan)RADKE K 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
 
EMD-4   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMEO SHORES Apr14 Mar18 Mar09 Feb21 Feb11 (toye joe)CRUZ M 120 4.50 10% 8.90    
MISS KITNESS Apr06 Mar27 Jan31     (gibson vince)RADKE K 120 2.00    
COLLECTING STARS         (dronen sam)GUTIERREZ M 120 3.50 61% 0.60    
RED DAHLIA Apr07 Mar25 Feb18 Jan23 Jan07 (baze robert)OROZCO E 120 6.00    
NOUMEA Apr20 Apr07 Mar14 Feb22 Feb11 (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 120 3.00    
SMASHING SUCCESS         (harwood doris)ANAYA V 120 8.00    
 
EMD-5   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANAALABOUTDAMONEY Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 Jan16   (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
SAINT PIEUS Apr11         (troiani niccolo)MATIAS J 119 8.00 14% 6.10    
EL MAESTRO         (velasquez rigob)CRUZ M 119 6.00 25% 3.00    
MIDNIGHT MOJO Jan14         (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 3.00    
JUST JIMMY         (wright blaine)MAWING A 119 4.00    
BOSS NINE         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 119 3.50    
 
EMD-6   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL JAZZ May07 Apr20 Apr01 Feb17   (bullock steve)GUTIERREZ M 124 2.50    
DENNARD Apr04 Mar21 Mar01 Feb01 Jan10 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 121 20.00    
LA WAUN Apr06 Mar09 Feb01 Jan17   (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 121 1.80 22% 3.50    
DEFENSE WINS Apr03 Mar13 Feb26 Feb20 Feb04 (gilmour jim)ANAYA V 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
STAND TO         (ve)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 4.00    
EL ALTO HOMBRE         (kowalski liz)RADKE K 121 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
EMD-7   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSALLABOUTTHERIDE         (jenne bonnie)MATIAS J 121 6.00 15% 5.90    
GHOSTFINDER         (cooper kay)ANAYA V 121 8.00    
HEREDIA BOXER         (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.00 12% 7.00    
FIRING PIN         (navarro jose)GUTIERREZ M 121 12.00    
MYSTIC MAG         (ma)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 15.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S OFF DUTY         (peery debbie)MAWING A 124 15.00    
A. P. PHAROAH Apr23         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 124 1.80 29% 2.50    
DARK N' HANDSOME Apr11         (essex charles)RADKE K 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
EMD-8   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R B EYE         (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 121 12.00    
CAPITAL EXPENSE Apr01 Feb28 Jan25     (baze robert)MAWING A 121 6.00    
SCR  MAKAH LANE         (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.00 18% 4.60    
WHEEL RALLY         (meeking a)RADKE K 121 4.00 52% 0.90    
HOUSE OF LORDS         (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 5.00    
TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Apr03 Mar26 Mar17 Mar02 Feb17 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 2.50 8% 11.30    
MUNCEY         (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 10.00    
 
EMD-9   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU GO GIRL         (bullock steve)GUTIERREZ M 120 4.00    
PLEASE ME         (cryderman s)RADKE K 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
GRAZEN DEB Mar25 Feb19       (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
JACANA         (navarro jose)CRUZ M 120 12.00    
FOR YOU ONLY         (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
OUR LYLA GRACE         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
VIOLENT MOVE         (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 117 10.00    
 
EMD-10   05/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBJACK         (harris john)MATIAS J 120 20.00 9% 10.00    
CLARENCE HEADS Mar12 Feb27 Feb06 Jan15   (gilmour j)JENSEN P 120 12.00 15% 5.70    
DARCEE'S LOVI DOVI Apr22 Apr03 Mar13 Feb19 Jan30 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 120 3.50    
KINGSTEN'S GOLD Apr01 Mar16 Feb10     (lucarelli f)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 123 1.80 16% 5.20    
SHAKELAS DESTINY Apr26 Apr18 Mar23 Mar07 Feb10 (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 123 6.00    
LOCHNESS         (thompson mik)MARTIN A 120 15.00    
BLOOD RED MOON Apr09         (gilmour jim)ANAYA V 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.