Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - May 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   05/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARITONE Apr12 Mar22 Mar08 Feb26 Jan12 (radosevich jeff)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
GIO SAMMY Apr27 Apr05 Mar14 Feb21 Jan19 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
CAT'S CURIOSITY Apr28         (jackson r)COLON H 119 2.50    
SAY HEY KID Apr12 Apr02 Mar09 Feb14 Jan21 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 25% 3.10    
TAMANRASSETT May04 Apr09 Mar09 Feb14 Jan14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
KLAATU May03 Mar19 Mar08 Feb15 Jan21 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 10% 8.70    
 
TDN-2   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOSHA SHOSHA May04 Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 Mar05 (jones e)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
TALE OF REESE         (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 12% 7.60    
PROPER ETIQUETTE May04         (gorham robe)CORREA L 119 2.50    
AUGMENTING ASSETS May04 Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 Jan12 (bookman donald)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
PENNIESANDDIMES         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
GLIMMERGLASS May04         (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCHIE'S GIRL Apr16 Mar31 Mar22 Feb16 Jan24 (sullivan elliott)DIAZ I 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
HEIDI'S BACK May07 Apr06 Mar26 Mar09 Feb26 (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00    
SCR  TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY May11         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
ISTAN ROSE         (horrigan joh)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 6% 16.80    
LAPIS STORM May07 Apr16 Mar31 Feb19 Jan16 (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
DUE NORTH Mar19 Feb16       (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
ANTHONY'S GIRL         (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50    
 
TDN-4   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRISTALINDA Apr28 Apr16 Feb19     (johnson gar)CORREA L 121 6.00    
1A  OPULENT Mar10 Feb19       (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 6.00    
DANCIN' ROSIE Apr28         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 12% 7.60    
CAT'S RHYTHM Apr28 Apr06 Mar31 Feb19   (bird danny)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00    
GRINS N' WINS Apr28 Apr12 Mar31 Mar10 Feb19 (crum)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
GIFT FROM MOM Apr28 Apr06 Mar10 Feb26 Feb19 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50    
PANAMANIAC         (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
TDN-5   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUTLER Apr28         (jackson james )MEJIAS RICARDO 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  IMPERIAL BREW Mar16 Feb20 Jan21     (rini anth)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
CENTRIST Apr28 Apr16 Mar31 Mar15 Feb23 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
KEYED ON TOP May02 Apr13 Mar22 Mar07 Jan31 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 5.00 6% 15.10    
DIAMONDS ENJOY Mar24 Mar08 Feb21 Jan22   (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Apr25 Mar31 Mar15 Feb21 Jan26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 10% 8.70    
UNCLE KEVIN Mar14 Mar01 Feb22 Feb14   (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHETT THOMAS Apr15 Apr06 Mar18 Feb24 Feb10 (rivera nestor)COLON H 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
1A  SWINGIN FRIAR Apr27 Apr15 Apr06 Mar18 Feb11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
THEDUKE OF HAZZARD Apr15 Mar26 Mar01 Feb16 Feb01 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
TOUCHDOWN JESUS May02 Apr04 Mar18 Mar07 Feb23 (bookman donald)RIVERA R 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
AWESOME OX May02 Apr15 Mar26 Mar18 Mar01 (bird danny)CORREA L 119 3.50    
LAS ANA Apr27 Jan12       (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOD'S WILL BE DONE         (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00    
TRACKING GOLD Apr27 Apr15 Mar01     (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 10.00 18% 4.70    
SKYLIME Jan25 Jan12       (juarez lorenz)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   05/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HEY SACH Apr28 Apr19 Mar18 Mar07 Feb21 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 119 12.00    
SCR  MASTER Apr28 Apr19 Apr04 Mar07 Feb15 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 115 12.00    
FRANKIE Z Mar19 Mar02 Feb13 Jan22 Jan08 (barnes bart)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Apr16 Mar05       (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 4.50    
KOLSCH May02 Apr25 Mar15 Feb26   (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
CENTSOFWANDER Apr28 Mar23 Mar07 Feb23 Jan15 (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
GRAND DEAL Apr11 Apr04 Mar23 Feb23 Jan15 (bookman donald)DIAZ I 119 3.50 39% 1.50    
GRABBING THE MONEY May01 Apr05 Mar10 Feb18   (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 2.50 10% 8.60    
 
TDN-8   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANNER         (bird danny)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
1A  BILLY BEACOUP Apr27 Apr04 Mar05 Feb16 Jan31 (bird dann)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
JUST INSPIRED         (doering mark)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
GOING PRIMETIME Apr27 Apr06 Mar19     (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
ZAROSHA Apr27         (poole m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 30.00    
MARCH MAGIC Apr27 Apr13 Apr04 Mar19 Mar05 (brown glenroy)TUNON JORDANO 123 10.00    
VOLUMATTIC         (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
BABA LOOEY         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
THORMEISTER Apr27         (hurley l)PAUCAR E 123 30.00    
LONE BOY Apr27         (bookman donald)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.