Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - May 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTUCKY COOL May03 Apr12       (fernandez edward)LEON SONNY 121 3.00 ★    
2  FRED'S COUNTRY BOY May03 Apr12 Mar25 Feb26 Feb17 (livers charlie)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 ★    
3  RAISON KARTER May03 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb23 (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Mar19 Feb24       (figueroa)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.50 ★    
5  BLUE SKY PAINTER Apr18 Mar26 Feb26 Feb11 Jan13 (mitchell sh)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
BTP-2   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Jan25 Jan01       (wilson david )CANUTO THIAGO 116 6.00    
2  CHLOES ANGEL Mar25 Feb24       (shetron phy)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 3.50 ★    
3  SONGSTOPSHELF Apr06 Mar05 Jan14     (lopez carlo)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 4.00 ★    
4  CHECK OUT LINE Apr12 Mar23 Mar08     (cline c)LEON SONNY 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  BLANCONIA Feb19         (fernandez ke)HALDAR J 121 10.00 8% 11.60    
6  NORTHERN JOURNEY Apr27 Apr12 Mar23 Mar08 Jan24 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
BTP-3   05/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOMEROOM ANGEL Mar19 Mar03 Feb11     (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 14% 6.30    
2  RUNWAY DREAMER Mar19 Feb15       (reed r)LEON SONNY 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  WAITING ON WILLIAM Apr13 Mar05 Feb11     (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.50 ★    
4  RUNAWAY MOM Apr23 Mar03 Feb18 Jan09   (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  C V THUNDER Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 Jan15   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 4.00 ★    
 
BTP-4   05/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TELLER TO SING Apr22 Mar18 Feb24     (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
2  WILLYOUBEMINE Apr28 Mar05 Feb12     (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 1.80    
3  BLARNEY GIRL Mar31 Mar07 Feb24     (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 4.00 ★    
4  PRINCESS NINA Apr28 Apr02 Mar12 Feb17 Jan29 (andrade)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 3.50 53% 0.90    
5  HONEY BOURBON Jan08         (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 6.00 ★    
6  MISS MOON PIE         (beck rowena)REYES R 121 8.00 ★    
 
BTP-5   05/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTISIMFLASHY         (chapman james)CANUTO THIAGO 114 3.50 ★    
2  GIRL AFRAID         (ward a)LEON SONNY 119 1.60 45% 1.20    
3  TIA FRIDA May11 Apr28 Apr13     (fernandez kell)AYALA ISAIAS 119 8.00 ★    
4  SPARKLING JEWEL         (hamm timothy)REYES R 119 2.50 16% 5.10    
5  BOLD EMPRESS         (gorostieta c)HALDAR J 119 4.00 9% 9.60    
 
BTP-6   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASSIONATE HEART Mar11 Feb14       (reed r)LEON SONNY 123 3.50 9% 9.50    
2  LADY OF LIBERTY Apr20         (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 5.00    
3  TOP HAT BOSS Apr01 Mar03 Feb17 Jan22   (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 7% 13.80    
4  OMI TEN         (cannon john )ROSARIO L 123 20.00    
SCR  SUNSET AT MALLORY Apr25 Apr02 Mar10     (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 6.00 ★    
6  SILVER LULU         (smith larry)HALDAR J 117 8.00    
7  GUILDER Apr28 Mar26 Mar11 Mar02 Jan15 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50 60% 0.70    
8  MYSTIC MISS Apr28 Mar26 Jan09     (helmbrecht w)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.50 ★    
 
BTP-7   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMOA Apr29 Jan02       (edgell shar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 10.00    
1A  MARGARET DRIVE Apr28         (edgell shar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 10.00    
2  KITTY'S PROMISE Apr27 Apr13 Mar25     (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 116 5.00 11% 8.30    
3  ANOTATION Mar04 Feb19 Feb11 Jan14   (hale ro)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 6.00    
SCR  TRUST IN ME Apr29 Apr02 Mar08 Feb19 Jan01 (silva ferna)JIMENEZ J 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHISKEY SIS Apr29 Mar26       (helmbrecht willi)LEON SONNY 121 3.50 ★    
6  LOUEMMA Apr29 Mar26 Feb21     (blake michael)LEBRON VICTOR 121 8.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  SUPER STEAMY Apr01 Mar05 Feb12     (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 4.00    
8  MY DARK SECRET Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 Jan16   (grubbs l)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
BTP-8   05/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMBASSADOR MIKE         (matejka pavel)REYES R 119 20.00    
2  JOE BRRRR Mar20         (chapman james)CANUTO THIAGO 114 5.00    
3  LITTLE RED RIFLE         (semkin sam)MOJICA JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SCAT SHACK May06 Apr13 Mar25 Feb23 Jan07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 3.50 39% 1.50    
5  HE REIGNS Apr16 Mar12 Feb16 Jan22   (ares paul)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 114 20.00    
6  DO YOUR BEST Mar18 Mar09 Feb25 Jan29   (fernandez kell)AYALA ISAIAS 125 4.50    
SCR  LUTE'S ANGEL Apr29         (andrade)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SPRINKLEHEAD May05 Apr14 Feb25 Feb16 Jan08 (salas felipe)LEON SONNY 125 8.00 ★    
9  NASHCHETTA May04 Jan02       (bush george)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
10  POUR ME A DOUBLE Apr16 Feb25 Feb11 Jan07   (haehn ter)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  FROSTY DREAMS May04 Mar31 Mar12 Feb26   (spicer )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.