Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - March 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DODROPIN Feb16 Jan25       (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 ★    
2  CHICKS DIG MUNNY Mar07 Feb08 Jan13     (gale bryce)MAWING A 122 10.00 25% 3.00    
3  NAVARONES SPARKLE         (woolley ben)SCRIVER L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  FANCY GI GI Mar02         (gangidino l)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00    
5  CROOKHAVEN LASS Feb16         (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 122 4.00    
6  KANDI SPUN Mar07 Jan25 Jan13     (matt l)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00    
7  CRAZY GOOD Mar08 Feb28 Feb15     (si)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
8  HEART RIVER Feb09 Jan19       (leon priscilla)CRUZ M 122 6.00 12% 7.10    
 
TUP-2   03/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEKING REFUGE Feb25 Jan12       (ji)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00 ★    
2  VICENTE'S SHADOW Feb28 Feb04 Jan19     (stevens sa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50    
3  OPTIMISTIC VALOR Mar10 Feb24 Jan19     (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  NOLONGERAHOBBY Feb28 Feb17       (saldana reed)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 ★    
5  T BONES TRICK Mar10 Feb03 Jan09     (woolley l)ZUNINO L 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
6  N. K. ROCKET MAN Feb28         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00    
7  DILLON ROCKS Feb21 Jan19       (gutierrez juan )LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
8  HIT THE SEAM Feb17 Jan27 Jan13     (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 
TUP-3   03/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.55K) 3 F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BABY RUTHIE         (baze robert)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00    
2  KIKI MY STAR Mar08 Feb09 Jan07     (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  AWESOME LADY Mar08 Jan08       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
4  ROCKIN IN Feb21         (perren a)MAWING A 121 6.00 7% 13.60    
5  HIGH KELLY BABE         (hodgson bar)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00    
6  DR. ANGEL Mar08 Feb21       (saldana re)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.50    
7  PARTY POLICE Feb14 Jan31 Jan12     (villamar c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00 ★    
8  DIZZY LIZZY Feb11 Jan29 Jan08     (lucarelli fr)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 4.50 7% 13.10    
 
TUP-4   03/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEAL HOME Feb28 Jan25 Jan12     (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 122 8.00 9% 10.10    
2  OFF THE BOOKS Mar07 Jan28 Jan10     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 9% 9.80    
3  ROUSING RUBBLE Mar03 Feb15 Feb03 Jan24 Jan03 (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
4  ADD ON Feb18 Jan20 Jan10     (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
5  BACK ALLEY CAT Feb25 Feb15 Feb07 Jan20 Jan10 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  WARRIORS HERO Mar07 Jan25       (pierce micha)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00    
7  AUTISM SIBLINGS Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 Jan10   (shipp mich)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  BREWERY GULCH Mar03         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
 
TUP-5   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($22.3K) 3 F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS GLORY BEACH         (alvarez serg)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00    
2  WREXHAM Jan13         (woolley ben)SCRIVER L 121 15.00    
3  TAP ME A TEXT         (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 6.00    
4  CURLIN BLESSING Feb28 Feb07       (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 ★    
5  WEDDING CHAPEL Feb07         (silva jose)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00 7% 14.20    
6  EYES FOR GOLD Feb28         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
7  ELLIE CAN PLAY         (hudson jef)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 12.00    
8  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Feb28 Jan17       (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 ★    
9  MACLEAN'S BELLA Feb07 Jan05       (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
TUP-6   03/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12.29K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISPUTED Mar08 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04   (chavez arturo)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
2  ASSETS INCLUDED Mar04 Feb16       (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00 5% 17.40    
3  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Feb22 Feb01 Jan06     (elston bren)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 15.00    
4  PERFECT COME BACK Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 Jan11   (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  KONA COAST Feb22 Jan25 Jan06     (fulmer drew)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  MAD AT MONEY Mar04 Feb16 Feb01 Jan19   (gangidino l)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
7  BLAME IT ON KITTY Mar08 Feb09 Jan31 Jan17   (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
8  SECOND BOLD Mar07         (villamar )VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   03/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK OPS Mar11 Jan05       (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 ★    
2  SHARP DRESSED BEAU Feb03 Jan25 Jan10     (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 15.00    
3  DEPARTURE Mar02 Feb10       (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
4  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR         (buffalo marvin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 12.00    
5  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Feb28         (rycroft tim)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
6  CAIRO KING Mar09 Feb17 Jan25 Jan04   (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
7  BALTIMORE BEECHO Mar08 Feb17 Feb04 Jan05   (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
8  SWAMP SOUFFLE Feb17 Feb04 Jan19 Jan11   (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
9  SOMETHING SUPER Mar02 Feb03 Jan13     (ferguson c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   03/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.34K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Mar07 Feb14 Jan10     (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 124 10.00 ★    
2  BLUES RAPPER Mar10 Mar01 Feb07 Jan28 Jan20 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
3  MISAWA Mar10 Feb18 Feb04 Jan24   (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
4  NOT NECESSARILY Mar09 Feb14 Feb04     (esquibel )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 12.00    
SCR  KEEN JAMES Mar07 Feb22 Jan26     (gale sandy)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
6  CLUB MESQUITE Mar10 Feb02 Jan12     (mccartney)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.50 7% 13.60    
7  CHARMING VINTAGE Mar07 Feb07       (hodgson barry)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00 43% 1.30    
8  OCTAVIUS PRIME         (wong jonat)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 2.50 5% 19.00    
9  MONTANA JACK Feb25 Feb10 Jan19     (macdonald j)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.