Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   03/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY CLASS         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  CAIRO KING Feb17 Jan25 Jan04     (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
3  THIEF IN THE NIGHT Feb14 Jan25       (sc)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 12% 7.50    
4  CHASING FAME Feb17 Feb03       (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  DARK HEDGES Feb21 Feb03       (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
6  ARABIAN STORY Jan27 Jan14       (ferguson chad)CORBETT W 122 2.50 11% 8.10    
 
TUP-3   03/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD WILD KINGDOM Jan24 Jan11       (christian billy)LULL E 124 6.00    
2  HAVE A LIL PEPPER Feb02         (crotts jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  FORTY FATHOMS Feb21         (fearon john)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00 ★    
4  ROYAL SEEKER Mar01 Feb14 Jan26 Jan11   (fulmer drew)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
5  GATO DE RAYO Feb09 Jan13       (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  SNIGGLE Feb22 Jan26       (buechler si)SCRIVER L 124 12.00    
7  VIX HERO Feb09 Jan21 Jan13     (christian )ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIAN AFFAIR Jan26 Jan10       (hudson jeff)CIVACI SAHIN 124 5.00    
SCR  STORM DREAM (IRE)         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.00 11% 8.20    
3  FIVE CIRCLES Feb12         (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
4  ASEAAWINNER Feb15 Jan25 Jan10     (homer jason)MAWING A 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
5  O SHUGAH MINT Jan25 Jan06       (gleason m)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
6  FIONA BAY         (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
7  PAYNT THE KITTY Feb04         (belvoir vann)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 10.00    
8  KEEPONROCKINMEBABY Feb15 Jan26       (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
TUP-5   03/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD WEST Feb21 Jan27 Jan14     (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  ADRIENNE'S PROGENY Jan07         (leon priscilla)CARTER KYLE 124 5.00 64% 0.60    
3  PREDETERMINATION Feb21 Jan25 Jan14     (story chad)CORBETT W 124 8.00 ★    
4  SUGAR ON TOP Feb18 Feb04 Jan20 Jan03   (toye joe)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 15.00    
5  WAR MAIDEN Feb21 Feb04 Jan14     (nelson a)BUTTERFLY L 119 12.00    
6  CAMEO SHORES Feb21 Feb11       (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.40    
7  LETS PARDI MARTI Feb21         (gutierrez q)MAWING A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BLAZING MISS JOJO Feb21 Jan27 Jan14     (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   03/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEY'RE GRRREAT Jan31 Jan19       (lucarelli fr)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00    
2  SIR DEPUTY Jan17         (wong jonath)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  STANLEY RYDER Feb02 Jan24       (toye joe)MAWING A 122 6.00 ★    
4  EXPRESS PERMISSION Feb07 Jan24 Jan05     (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  PREMIER LEAGUE Feb07 Jan24       (madrigal e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 20.00    
6  LITIGATOR Jan26 Jan14       (blea j)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 12% 7.00    
7  TWILIGHT RIDER Feb17 Jan31 Jan18     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50    
8  INCLUDE HOO Feb17 Feb07 Jan24     (soto antonio)GILPIN SEAN 122 20.00    
9  IRRESISTIBLY SEXY Feb22 Jan18       (kubinova elisk)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   03/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELVET GHOST Jan17         (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00    
2  DIAMOND RIM Feb08         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  BALI STAR Feb01         (mcfarlane d)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00 15% 5.70    
4  BRAZEN NOW Jan28         (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 121 5.00    
5  CREATIVE FEATURE Feb18 Jan12       (nelson amy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  THE MET Feb17 Jan28 Jan06     (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 ★    
7  TWO GUNS Jan17 Jan06       (schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 6.00    
8  NOT THAT SERIOUS Feb17 Jan28 Jan06     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 31% 2.30    
 
TUP-8   03/09/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAMMERING LEMON Feb06 Jan14 Jan01     (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 124 1.20 54% 0.80    
SCR  INFATUATE Jan10         (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 ★    
3  DON WITH THE WIND Feb14 Jan04       (dennison da)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 8% 11.10    
4  BLAME THE DEVIL Feb15 Feb07 Jan24 Jan12   (schnell don)SCRIVER L 118 8.00    
5  KING OF WISHES Feb02         (homer jason)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 ★    
6  NOT NECESSARILY Feb14 Feb04       (esquibel )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00    
7  ABANDONED Mar01 Jan10       (sharp j)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
8  COLONEL MIKE Mar01 Feb14 Feb02     (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.