Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   03/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER DADDY         (hudson je)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
EIGHT MAKAR Feb16 Feb07 Jan18     (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
SHOOTING         (evans justin)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 11% 8.00    
RAISE THE BID         (hudson je)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 5.00    
UNBRIDLED TIGER Feb16         (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 6.00    
BROGAN'S INVASION         (allred jeff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
 
TUP-2   03/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADDY'S GIRL         (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 124 3.50    
CANTERBURY GOLD Jan19 Jan05       (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
KARALINKA Feb09 Jan27 Jan06     (vanwinkle david)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
MIST OONA B Feb14 Jan19       (toye joe)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
STREET SONATA Jan19         (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 1.20 28% 2.60    
 
TUP-3   03/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROOKIE YEAR Feb17 Feb02       (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
MARKET KING Feb28 Feb10 Jan11     (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00 7% 13.60    
GIVE EM HECK BECK Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 Jan03   (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
CAMINO DE ESTRELLA Feb21 Jan27 Jan09     (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
CANDY WOMPUS Feb17 Feb01 Jan18     (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 122 3.50 12% 7.70    
BALTIMORE BEECHO Feb17 Feb04 Jan05     (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 8% 12.10    
SCR  SWAMP SOUFFLE Feb17 Feb04 Jan19 Jan11   (silva jr)CRUZ M 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-4   03/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARZAN Feb15 Jan18       (baze rober)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
RENO ROY         (stevens satchel)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
HARRYKEEPTHECHANGE Feb15 Jan26       (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 2.00 57% 0.80    
CRYIN' CHUCK Feb15         (soto antonio)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00    
SILVERS BLING Feb06 Jan17 Jan04     (valdez-cabral m)VERGARA P 122 2.50    
ARUGULA Feb15         (nelson a)BUTTERFLY L 117 6.00    
FREESTONE         (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00 12% 7.50    
 
TUP-5   03/08/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  M FAST Feb02 Jan19       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
PIPER ROSE Feb22 Jan31 Jan06     (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 11% 7.70    
TEQUILA MARY Jan06         (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
NORTH OF EDEN (IRE) Feb22 Jan24 Jan11     (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
LILA'S LUCKY LADY Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 Jan04   (birdwell te)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 4.50 15% 5.60    
RAIDERETTE Feb02 Jan19       (moore m)CIVACI SAHIN 124 5.00    
SCR  TANAGER Jan24 Jan11       (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
 
TUP-6   03/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY COWBOY Feb15 Jan25       (brown jare)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00    
CATS TOUCH Feb09 Jan25       (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
FREIBURG Feb22 Feb02 Jan11     (bullene michael)MAWING A 124 6.00    
CALL YOU TOMORROW Feb25 Feb01 Jan18     (hernandez migue)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SCR  CONQUEST COBRA Feb22 Feb14 Feb01 Jan17   (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
CONCUR Feb25 Feb08 Jan20     (rycroft ti)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50    
THE PUBLIC HALO Feb14 Jan26 Jan04     (kenney dan)CORBETT W 124 4.00    
PERFECT COME BACK Feb22 Jan31 Jan11     (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 27% 2.70    
BLAME IT ON KITTY Feb09 Jan31 Jan17     (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   03/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3 F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. ANGEL Feb21         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
JADED SECRETS Feb07 Jan12       (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
MEXICAN DREAM         (si)DA FAUSTO 121 6.00    
AWESOME LADY Jan08         (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 25% 2.90    
FINGER TIP Feb25 Jan02       (mathis an)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 4.50    
SCAT ATTACK Feb09         (rollins scott)CARTER KYLE 121 8.00    
WICKENBURG         (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 15.00    
KIKI MY STAR Feb09 Jan07       (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 10.00    
SWEET LADY LANA Feb09 Jan31 Jan19     (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
TUP-8   03/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONITA DIXIE Feb08 Jan07       (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 118 12.00    
CRAZY GOOD Feb28 Feb15       (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
DR GS SWEETIE Feb08 Jan20       (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 118 10.00    
ELDORADO DREAM Feb11 Jan20       (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 8% 12.30    
STORM THE PALACE         (sereno william)VERGARA P 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
QUEENS RANSOM Feb09 Jan26 Jan06     (stevens sa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
HAPPY AT SHADY Feb19 Jan01       (schnell don)SCRIVER L 118 6.00    
PARTYATTHECAPITAL Feb18 Jan22       (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
GRAN MANNA Feb18 Feb08       (garcia gene)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  TRINNI SUNSET Feb09 Jan20       (fearon john)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.