Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - March 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICK TOCK Feb15 Jan28 Jan20     (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
2  SONGOFTHEDESERT Feb03         (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 122 4.50 13% 6.50    
3  MISS IMPORTANT Feb01 Jan06       (christian billy)MAWING A 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
4  JUDICIAL Feb21 Jan06       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
5  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Jan11         (whitehouse w)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00    
6  SECOND GRACE Feb03 Jan03       (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   03/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER STAR Feb08 Jan13       (story cha)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 8.00 ★    
2  CHICKS DIG MUNNY Feb08 Jan13       (gale bryce)MAWING A 122 12.00    
3  EARLYNTHEMORN Feb11 Jan19       (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  SHES GOT THE POWER Feb16 Jan24 Jan07     (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
5  LOVE YA MOST Feb09 Jan18 Jan04     (wolf ashlee)ZUNINO L 122 15.00    
6  BIG NEWS COMING Feb18 Feb08       (ji)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PERKY BRUNETTE Feb09 Jan18       (story )FLETCHER D 122 20.00    
SCR  RATIONAL Feb16 Jan21 Jan07     (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00    
SCR  HEART RIVER Feb09 Jan19       (leon priscilla)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
10  KANDI SPUN Jan25 Jan13       (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-3   03/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX NINETY ONE Feb17 Feb01 Jan12     (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.50    
2  FLOWER BEACH Feb17 Jan31       (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 12.00 6% 14.60    
3  UNION BROTHER Feb11 Jan31 Jan20 Jan10   (si)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  THIRSTY JUNIOR Feb17 Feb01 Jan18     (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
5  GEORGIAN ROAD Feb11 Jan26       (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
6  BLUE BOY WHO Feb16 Jan31 Jan04     (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00    
7  MO GEE Feb14 Jan13       (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 18% 4.60    
8  ALL AMERICAN HERO Jan18         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKEN N BISCUIT         (sepich edwa)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.00 ★    
2  STORMY SUMMIT Feb22 Jan24       (brinson clay)CRUZ M 121 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  GENERAL THAYER Feb22 Feb01 Jan10     (person kenneth )CORBETT W 121 3.00 ★    
4  MR LOVE MUFFIN Feb22 Jan20       (mccartney jack)LULL E 121 12.00    
5  FROG WALKER         (martinez a)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 10.00    
6  DAREABIGDREAM Feb22 Jan28 Jan12     (chambers mike)MAWING A 121 8.00    
7  HASTA LA VISTA Feb15 Feb01 Jan10     (person a)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 17% 4.80    
8  LUVTHEONEURWITH Feb15 Feb01 Jan14     (silva juan )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
TUP-5   03/07/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTAGE KITTEN Jan06         (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
2  ENOUGH NONSENSE Feb16 Feb02 Jan07     (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
3  TW SKIPPING STONES         (story chad)MAWING A 122 8.00 7% 13.10    
4  HEIR (FR) Jan28 Jan12       (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
5  LAUNCH PAD Feb18 Feb01 Jan06     (brown r)CRUZ M 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST Jan25         (garrett t)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00    
7  PAYNTER'S BOY Feb21 Jan28       (o'brien debbie)LULL E 122 12.00    
8  COMPLICATE Feb18 Feb02 Jan06     (brinson clay)CORBETT W 124 3.50 11% 7.90    
 
TUP-6   03/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIFTY DANCER Feb09         (birdwell ten)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
2  ZORICH Feb14 Jan26 Jan06     (valerio raymond)GILPIN SEAN 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
3  SWAGSATIONAL Feb17 Jan31 Jan18     (belvoir vann)MAWING A 124 6.00    
4  LINEMANS CHECK Feb14 Jan24 Jan04     (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
5  SOUTH FRESNO Feb14 Jan25 Jan06     (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
6  POPPY'S C NOTE Feb22 Jan26 Jan17     (madrigal e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 15.00    
7  SECOND BOLD         (villamar )VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 ★    
8  GRANDPA A. C. Feb09         (martinez o )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
9  ALBANY FRONT Feb16 Feb08 Jan26     (gutierrez juan)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
TUP-7   03/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISE UP MOSCOW Feb22 Feb04 Jan20     (gale bryce)SCRIVER L 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHAKELAS DESTINY Feb10 Jan19       (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Feb14 Jan10       (villamar )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 6% 17.20    
4  KEEN JAMES Feb22 Jan26       (gale sandy)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00    
5  NORTH FORK Feb10 Jan19 Jan05     (guerrero o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  CHARMING VINTAGE Feb07         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  GIVE A LITTLE Feb07 Jan20       (perren a)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00    
8  LUCKY CHANCE Jan28 Jan20 Jan11     (nelson am)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 12.00    
9  OFF THE BOOKS Jan28 Jan10       (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   03/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FISHEL Feb17 Jan24       (moreno jose)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
2  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Feb15 Jan25 Jan06     (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  MARICOPA COUNTY Feb18 Feb02 Jan06     (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 122 20.00    
4  CRYPTO GOLD Jan10         (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
5  WILLTOBELUCKY Jan25 Jan10       (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
6  I WILL YEAH (IRE) Jan25         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  BACK ALLEY CAT Feb25 Feb15 Feb07 Jan20 Jan10 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 8.00 35% 1.90    
8  WARRIORS HERO Jan25         (pierce micha)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 12.00    
9  CIBERTRUCK Feb18 Jan25 Jan06     (stevens sat)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
10  JAKE THE GREAT Feb25 Feb15 Jan25     (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00    
11  COLAVITO Feb15 Feb07 Jan24 Jan03   (si)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.