Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Sunday - March 15, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(2/4/1)-(3/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(3/2/5)-(4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(4/2)-(5/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/3/1)-(2/3/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(2/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/8)-(4/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/8)-(4/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/8)-(4/3/5/8)-(4/3/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/8)-(4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   03/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCAPE HALL Feb26 Jan11 Nov21 Oct23 Sep14 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 3.00    
MIAMI KAZ Feb26 Jan11 Dec12     (synnefia)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
MERCILESANIHILATOR Feb26 Feb12 Oct09 Jul05 Jun05 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
ESSENTIALLY FAST Feb12 Jan22 Oct17 Aug03 Jul04 (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 10.00    
MANHATTAN CHROME Mar05 Feb04       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
MO SPICE Feb26 Jan09 Nov23 Aug29   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-2   03/15/2026 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($79K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLOSHOT Feb21 Feb05 Dec28 Nov22 Nov09 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
MUNNINGS EXPRESS Feb21 Dec31 Nov23 Jun06 May17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.80 58% 0.70    
HOWLING WIND Feb28 Feb05 Jan16 Dec27 Dec13 (ferraro jam)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.50    
PRINCESS BECCA Jan22 Dec13 Oct26 Feb06 Jan12 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
MOMMASGOTTAGUN Nov29 Jun26 May16 Apr18 Mar23 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 121 12.00    
 
AQU-3   03/15/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CICCIOBELLO Mar06 Feb15 Jan10 Nov29 Nov13 (barrera)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 5.00    
MR. PAPAGIORGIO Feb15 Jan15 Oct24 Sep25 Jul19 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 21% 3.70    
FRIZZANTE Feb21 Feb11 Dec04 Nov07 Oct24 (schauer ste)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 35% 1.80    
COMMUTED Feb21 Jan03 Dec06 Nov08 Sep12 (rice lin)SANTANA JR 123 1.80    
CHELONIAN Feb15 Jul16 May18 Apr13 Feb23 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 14% 5.90    
SHARED SUCCESS Feb11 Jan10 Nov12 Oct11 Aug16 (begg james )GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00    
 
AQU-4   03/15/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE LITTLE BIRDS Jan16 Dec21 Nov22 Oct17 Sep26 (baker ch)SANTANA JR 126 6.00    
LEAN MUSIC MACHINE Feb06 Dec28 Nov29 Oct03 Aug29 (gittens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  RED MILLER Feb21 Dec28 Nov22 Oct05 Sep12 (terranova j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 5.00    
MOMENT'S NOTICE Jan03 Jun06 Apr19 Mar08 Oct13 (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.40 67% 0.50    
SCR  THIRTEEN G'S Feb26 Feb12 Nov02 Jun15 May24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 126 3.00    
SCR  GIVEMEMYTHEMEMUSIC Feb13 Jan17 Apr25 Mar08 Jan25 (gittens d)VARGAS A 126 12.00    
MIDDLE MARKET Feb26 Feb14 Jan18 Jan03 Dec11 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 126 8.00    
 
AQU-5   03/15/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMAICA REDD Feb13 Jan23 Jan11 Dec26 Nov05 (richards marvin)SIMPSON W 126 20.00 6% 16.00    
MIDNIGHT MUSUME Feb13 Jan11 May08     (arriaga ant)RIVERA A 119 30.00    
MONTE AVI Feb05 Dec10 Mar22 Feb23 Jan18 (hennig m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 2.50 23% 3.40    
THE HERO CODE Feb21 Jan23 Jan05 Nov23 Nov16 (trite)HERNANDEZ OMAR 126 4.50    
SO SPIRITED Mar22         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  KILLYBEGS KID Feb21 Jan04 Nov30 Nov02 Aug25 (terranova j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
WINEGOLD Dec26 Oct26 Sep19 Aug08 May15 (gyarmati leah)SILVERA RUBEN 126 8.00    
 
AQU-6   03/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAY'S LOVE Feb19 Jan02 Nov29 Oct18 Sep24 (giglio gina)RIVERA A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
TAKE ME TO LONDYN Feb19 Dec28 Nov15 Oct22 Jan01 (cox h)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60 47% 1.10    
SABBY SUNSET Feb20 Jan23 Dec31 Nov21 Oct04 (terranova j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 2.50 13% 6.70    
TAMMY'S CRUISER Mar08 Feb19 Jan16 Dec10 Apr11 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
ITWILLBEFUN Mar08 Jan09 Dec28 Dec07 Nov20 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 126 6.00 12% 7.30    
ELENI Feb14 Dec12 Nov20 Oct29 Sep17 (synnefia)SANTANA JR 126 6.00    
SYL'S PLEASURE Feb14 Jan16 Nov10 Oct08 Jul18 (barrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 126 10.00    
 
AQU-7   03/15/2026 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($35K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
E Z BOURBON Feb20 Jan01 Jun19 Apr10 Mar21 (hennig mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 6.00    
SCR  DR. MERCILESS Feb21 Dec31 Dec10 Nov10 Nov02 (richa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 126 15.00    
EZ ROLL Jan23 Dec12 Nov09 Mar12 Feb17 (handal ra)VARGAS A 126 4.00 31% 2.20    
CADDIEMASTER Feb04 Dec28 Oct12 Aug30 Aug16 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80 33% 2.10    
SOLO DANCING Mar06 Feb13 Jan16 Dec28 Nov17 (d'alessa)SANTANA JR 126 5.00 10% 8.80    
KISMEHOLDMETHRLME Mar06 Feb13 Jan17 Dec13 Nov19 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 126 6.00    
OATH OF OMERTA Feb20 Jan15 Jan01 Oct22 Aug28 (antonuc)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 126 8.00    
RESILIENT HERO Feb19 Jan03 Nov29 Nov07 Aug07 (jimenez jos)RIVERA A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   03/15/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEX May17 Apr26 Apr12 Mar15 Jan25 (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
GREY ACE Feb21 Jan11 Dec26 Nov29 Sep14 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 126 4.50    
SCR  DAW SAMAA Feb21 Jan11 Dec26 Jun22 May26 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 126 30.00    
SHELLAC Feb20 Jan02 Dec06 Sep27 Aug25 (morey william )PRAT FLAVIEN 126 0.80 58% 0.70    
CHIPS AND FISH         (arriaga a)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
ASTERN COMMAND Feb21 Jan04 Oct25 Aug23 Aug10 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 126 15.00    
SCR  LOUGH CURRANE Jan11 Dec26 Nov29 Oct05 Aug28 (terranova j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00    
SENOR PONCHO Feb27 Aug17 Jul24 Jun26 Mar28 (charlerie g)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 6.00 10% 9.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.