Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 15, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(7/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(7/5/6/2)-(3/1/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/2)-(3/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/2)-(3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6)-(1/3/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(1/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(1/3/2/5)-(5/7/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/5)-(5/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/5)-(5/7/4/2)-(7/1/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/2)-(7/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/2)-(7/1/2/6)-(4/3/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/9/6)-(7/1/2/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/2/6)-(4/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/6)-(4/3/5/7)-(3/9/7/8/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/7)-(3/9/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/9/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/8/4)-(3/9/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/8/4)-(3/9/7/8/4)-(3/9/7/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   02/15/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAME GINA MARIE Jan25 Jan03 Nov22 Apr25   (o'connell ka)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00    
MONA L Jan23 Jan03 Mar30 Feb08 Jan17 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 27% 2.70    
STYLET Jan17 Nov06 Aug26 Oct10 Sep20 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 118 6.00    
BLOODY COLORS WAVE Jan30 Jan09 Nov22 Sep22 Aug05 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  PRINCESS VERA Jan30 Jan09 Jan01     (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.50    
LADY BACKTALK Sep06 Aug03 Jul06 Jun08   (acksel jack)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 10.00 21% 3.80    
 
TAM-2   02/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROW GHOST Jan09 Dec31 Nov26 Sep11 Jul12 (paramo martin)HESS SARA 120 30.00    
COMMANDER'S COIN Feb01 Jan18 Oct22 Oct02 Jun19 (paterno robe)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
STONEYBROOK ROAD Jan21         (yates michael)FERRER C 120 3.50    
TRANQUILA RUBY Sep06 Aug24 Aug17 Aug04   (alanis franci)PANAIJO JORGE 115 30.00    
UNIQUE POWER Sep20 Aug29 Jul20 Jan05 Aug17 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 28% 2.50    
FIRST ACT Jan31 Oct30 Sep02 Aug15 Jun30 (tsirigotis ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
SO GRAND Jan17 Dec17 Nov26 Oct16 Sep24 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  OH' WHAT A DAY Jul11         (bennett geral)ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00    
 
TAM-3   02/15/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. SWEETS Jan10 Dec17 Nov29 Sep22 Aug08 (campbell joel)LEON SONNY 118 1.80 20% 3.90    
DIAMOND MESSA Jan17 Dec20 Nov29 Aug17 Jul13 (smith g)LEON A 118 15.00    
DONTBESOOGROUCHY Jan17 Dec20 Sep13 Aug31 Aug01 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.20 39% 1.60    
SUPER TIZ Jan31 Jan17 Jan11 Dec20 Dec03 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
AWESOME ENTRY Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 Sep13 Sep01 (posadas pedro)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 20.00    
DEVILISH DESIRE Jan31 Jan17 Dec20 Nov29 Oct06 (spanabel r)HESS SARA 118 12.00 10% 8.50    
FEDERAL EXCHANGE Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 Dec10 Nov29 (ward dennis)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 6.00    
 
TAM-4   02/15/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME CAMPAIGN Feb06 Jan04 Dec19 Oct31 Sep19 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  SOUND IT OUT Jan30 Nov22 Nov02 Aug20 Aug03 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 2.00    
MADAM PROSECUTOR Jan28 Jan03 Sep26 Sep01 Jul13 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 52% 0.90    
KATIE KING Jan23 Jan04 Nov19 Oct27 Oct04 (carrascojr vic)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.50    
COUNTRY ECONOMICS Feb06 Jan09 Dec20 Dec03 Nov22 (vazquez jose )MORALES ANGEL 119 30.00    
CHILL BEAN Jan31 Jan10 Dec11 Oct25 Oct04 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
JAANTJE Jan03 Nov22 Aug04 Jul23 Jul04 (lopez ra)LEON A 119 20.00    
 
TAM-5   02/15/2026 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA TERRITORY         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by TAPIT out of CAFE AMERICANO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
HUMILITY         (cox h)LEON SONNY 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by COX'S RIDGE out of UNDERCOVER JUSTICE by LAWYER RON)
LIKENESS Jan18 Nov07 Oct16 Aug07   (mcgaughey clau)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of GUCCI GULCH by GULCH)
D REMBRANDT Jan18 Dec12       (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of TAP TAP TAPAROO by TAPIT)
RAY OF LOV         (lopez ma)MARTINEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of LIKE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
LANDING FORCE Jan18 Dec26 Nov29 Sep20 Aug30 (wilson tony)FERRER C 119 12.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of RED ROBE by NATHANIEL)
THIRD COAST         (proctor thomas)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MARKETING MIX by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
KRAVITZ Oct11 Sep25 Aug08     (motion gr)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of THINKING OF YOU by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
 
TAM-6   02/15/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITE SPORT COAT         (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 15.00    
ROCCO'S SPIRIT Jan31         (ryan s)CASTANON L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
FAST PRINCE Jan23 Jan14 Dec31     (rini anthony)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 20.00    
HE'S MY UNCLE Feb04 Dec26 Nov29 Oct18 Oct05 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 119 2.00 17% 5.00    
WIN WINNIE WIN Jan18 Jan09 Dec13 Nov01 Sep28 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 32% 2.10    
ALEXANDER K Feb04 Jan14 Jan04 Dec13 Dec06 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 30.00    
THEY CALL ME SUE Jan31 Dec31 Dec10 Oct16   (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
TAM-7   02/15/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNIE WAY Jan14         (arnett g)GIL CIPRIANO 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
GREAT ACTRESS Jan30 Jan07 Dec06 Nov19 Nov01 (vitali marcu)MENESES MARCOS 119 5.00 12% 7.70    
BY MY DREAMS Jan24 Nov28 Nov21 Aug03 Jul04 (garcia pedro)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
FULANITA Jan21 Nov19 Aug29 Aug09   (laurato mi)MEJIAS A 112 20.00    
MISS SUNRISE Jan30 Jan02       (lusk bria)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 30.00    
REGAL RULES Jan25 Dec12       (smith g)CENTENO E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
MIAMI STYLE Jan10 Nov28 Oct31 Sep11 Aug09 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.20 42% 1.40    
TAP TAP COCO Jan25 Nov22 Jun05     (morales )MARTINEZ A 119 20.00    
LOST KITTY Jan14         (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
10  A ROSE FOR SKYLER Jan14 Nov29 Sep12 Aug16 Jul04 (spanabel r)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
SCR  D DOLLY'S GIRL Jan30 Jan14 Dec06 Nov19   (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 15.00    
SCR  CHABELITA Dec24 Dec06 Nov22 Oct12 Sep05 (dominguez huber)FERRER C 119 15.00    
SCR  MORE VINO ROSA Feb01 Jan07 Nov29     (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 2.50    
SCR  LOPING ALONG Jan18         (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00    
 
TAM-8   02/15/2026 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF KONA Jan21 Dec26 Sep09 Aug12 Jun23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 12.00    
ABELIEFINTHISLIVIN Jan21 Dec12 Oct13 Nov26 Aug26 (smith ro)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00    
LIFE IS PRECIOUS Dec26 Nov28 Oct18 Aug02 Jun08 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
CAPITAL IDEA Nov21 Oct24 Aug31 Jul27 Nov19 (mott i)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.40 47% 1.10    
TWILIGHT DANCER Jan18 Dec13 Oct20 Sep19 Aug11 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 118 12.00 10% 9.50    
PENTATHLON Dec06 Oct24 Sep10 Aug02 Jun07 (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00    
MR. PENNY PINCHER Jan10 Dec27 Dec17 Nov29 Oct10 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 120 12.00 6% 16.40    
KHOZEIRESS Dec26 Nov28 Sep21 Aug13 Jul30 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
 
TAM-9   02/15/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODE NAME Jan11 Dec24 Nov02 Sep07 Aug14 (campbell joel)CASTANON L 119 4.00    
OLD FLAG (IRE) Feb07 Jan25 Dec27 Nov01 Oct08 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00    
BRING ME A CHECK Jan24 Dec17 Nov03 Oct07 Sep20 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ O 123 0.80 39% 1.60    
ANCHISES Jan25 Jan14 Dec31 Dec24 Dec05 (mendieta ale)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
REMERTON Dec17 Oct18 Sep13 Aug02 Jul12 (castro m)LEON SONNY 119 20.00    
INITFORTHELOVE Feb05 Jan21 Jan04 Oct04 Sep12 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Jan17 Jan04 Dec17 Oct09 Sep19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 10.00 10% 8.90    
JAILHOUSE JUSTICE Jan18 Jan04 Dec17 Nov19 Oct23 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
FOUR TOP Jan17 Jan01 Dec05 Oct01 Sep10 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00 22% 3.50    
10  CONSULTANT Feb07 Nov28 Oct11 Sep19 Aug23 (cahill f)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
SCR  FORTYSIXCOUNTS Sep17 Aug17 May02 Mar30 Mar02 (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 119 3.50    
SCR  CITIZEN K Dec19 Dec06 Oct26 Oct11 Sep06 (russo j)FERRER C 119 20.00    
SCR  TRIUMPHANT ROAD Jan23 Jan03 Dec13 Nov21 Nov01 (castro m)GIL CIPRIANO 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.