Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/7/3/2)-(8/2/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/2)-(8/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/2)-(8/2/7/3)-(5/4/8/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/3)-(5/4/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/3)-(5/4/8/2)-(4/5/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/2)-(5/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/2)-(5/4/8/2)-(5/4/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/8/2)-(4/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/2)-(4/5/2/1)-(8/5/9/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/1)-(4/5/2/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/1)-(4/5/2/9/1)-(4/5/2/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/2/1)-(8/5/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/1)-(8/5/9/2)-(5/2/9/3/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/9/2)-(8/5/1/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/9/2)-(8/5/1/9/2)-(8/5/1/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/9/2)-(5/2/9/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/9/2)-(5/2/9/3/1)-(11/10/4/1/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (5/2/9/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/3/1)-(5/2/9/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/3/1)-(5/2/9/3/1)-(5/2/9/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/9/3/1)-(11/10/4/1/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9/3/1)-(11/10/4/1/5)-(11/10/12/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (11/10/4/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/10/4/1/5)-(11/10/4/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/10/4/1/5)-(11/10/4/1/5)-(11/10/4/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/10/4/1/5)-(11/10/12/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (11/10/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/10/12/2)-(11/10/12/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/10/12/2)-(11/10/12/2/8)-(11/10/12/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($56.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOZEIRESS Nov28 Sep21 Aug13 Jul30 Jul04 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
2  CHROME GHOST Nov14 Oct11 Apr27 Mar30 Jan11 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.20 37% 1.70    
3  TAKESHI FRANK (ARG)         (carrascojr vic)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
4  FREEDOM ROAD Nov15 Oct13 Mar26 Mar05 Jan24 (sillaman rich)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  DREAMING OF KONA Sep09 Aug12 Jun23 Jun04 Apr27 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00 13% 7.00    
6  LIFE IS PRECIOUS Nov28 Oct18 Aug02 Jun08 May24 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 3.00    
 
TAM-2   12/26/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIKING QUEEN Nov26 Oct18 Sep25 Aug20 Aug06 (richards rena)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 1.60 33% 2.10    
2  LA GATA SALVAJE Dec17 Nov19 Oct31 Oct17 Sep19 (mckathan kevi)MORALES ANGEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRAMBLE BUSH Dec05 Oct17 Oct03 Sep20 Sep03 (dini mike)ROJAS MARTINA 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
4  RED ELEANOR Nov26 Oct06 Sep22 Sep09 Aug25 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 5.00    
5  SWEET DESANTIS Nov26 Nov03 Oct15 Oct06 Sep15 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
6  POLA OF TROUBLE Nov19 Aug22 Jul17 Jun05 May04 (ochoa gerard)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 10.00    
7  PLAY FREE BIRD Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep05 (klesaris steve)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
TAM-3   12/26/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATTY B GOOD Dec13 Sep14 Aug10 Jul19 Jun22 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.00    
2  CAREER RISK Nov29 Oct05 Sep01 Jul30   (rice kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  LADY LYLA Dec10 Nov26 Sep11 Aug20 Jul16 (paramo martin)HESS SARA 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RENEGE Dec17 Dec03 Jun21 Jun08 May25 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 10.00    
5  ROJO SKY Nov26 Sep13 Sep03 Aug23 Aug14 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 30.00    
6  TIZTIMONIAL Dec17 Nov26 May31 Apr25 Oct31 (delgado h)MERA C 121 6.00    
7  RAPID ROY Mar26 Feb28 Dec27 Apr27   (paramo martin)LARA VICTOR 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  GAP TO GAP Nov28 Oct01 Sep19 Sep07 Apr16 (avila c)BATISTA A 121 1.40 51% 0.90    
 
TAM-4   12/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Oct21 Sep11 Aug19 Aug04 Nov13 (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 120 10.00    
2  ROME'S CONQUEST Nov28 Sep05 Aug10 Jul14 Jun14 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAPTURE THE TIME Dec12 Sep20 Aug31 Jul30 Jul09 (vanwinkle da)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
4  EL PRINCIPITO Nov28 Aug24 Aug03 Jul05 Jun13 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 1.80 15% 5.90    
5  SILVER SLUGGER Nov29 Sep28 Aug31 Aug21 Jul19 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
6  ROCKET DRAGON Dec12 Nov22 Sep19 Aug11 Jul22 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
7  GRIM REAPER May28 Apr17 Mar22 Jan02 Nov09 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
8  JOHN DUTTON Oct23 Oct02 Sep09 Jul21 Jun25 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
TAM-5   12/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFFERSONIAN Oct07         (harty eoin)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  VINO SOLO         (lopez mario )CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00 8% 11.30    
3  CHANCE ON ME Dec12 Oct25 Oct12 Aug23 Aug08 (bacallao-)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 30.00    
4  HE'S MY UNCLE Nov29 Oct18 Oct05 Sep13   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
5  CAPE STORM (GB) Nov11 Oct01       (smith ro)CASTANON L 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  ROSCOMMON Oct09         (rya)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 10.00    
7  SILENT TONE Nov29         (stewart j)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
8  POWER WRENCH Nov29 Oct19 Oct05     (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.00    
9  LANDING FORCE Nov29 Sep20 Aug30 Aug08   (wilson tony)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-6   12/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROFITABILITY Dec12 Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 Sep09 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 6.00 ★    
2  FLATTERS CHANCE Nov19 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 May25 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLAT CAP Dec03 Jul11 Jun01 May09 Apr12 (mcgoey monica)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00    
4  AWESOME FANTASY Nov19 Oct20 Oct01 Sep04 Jul30 (bowersock mari)GIL CIPRIANO 120 5.00    
5  COERCIVE Nov19 Oct17 Sep26 Aug30 Jul05 (ors)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
6  LOYAL CLEMENT Oct03 Sep11 Aug28 Apr26 Apr12 (amaya gustavo)MORALES ANGEL 118 20.00    
7  MY LUCKY ANGEL Sep12 Aug15 Jul26 Jun22 Apr23 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
8  MONGOLIAN CHAMP Aug21 Jul15 Jul01 Jun03 May14 (agostini art)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 4.00 63% 0.60    
9  HARPER'S AFLEET Nov19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul21   (arnett g)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  STAR OF ABRAHAM Nov26 Sep20 Aug31 Jul23 Jul11 (lopez ma)RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00    
11  PRINSIPITO Dec12 Dec03 Oct29 Oct09 Sep27 (quinones raul)SERPA ANGEL 118 30.00    
12  NICE AND GOOD Dec12 Sep13 Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 (cahill f)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
SCR  SUPER TIZ Dec20 Dec03 Oct18 Oct01 Jul12 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
SCR  WAJDA Dec10 Nov13 Apr23 Feb15 Jan05 (rice kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 120 2.50    
 
TAM-7   12/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($55.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENIK Oct16 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 (rice kevin)SPIETH S 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHICAGO THEATRE Nov26 Mar29 Mar01 Jan08   (proctor thoma)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
3  DOROTEO Aug18 Jul01 Feb23 Jan18 Dec21 (delgado h)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOOLPUSHER Nov23 Oct17 Oct03 Sep21 Aug03 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 121 30.00    
5  RISK TOLERANCE (IRE) Oct04 Jul27 Apr21     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.20 52% 0.90    
6  MAXIMATCH Nov19 Oct04 Aug22 Aug10 Jul20 (pompay terri)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00    
SCR  BREAK OUT Dec13 Nov28 Aug21 Jul12 Apr24 (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 12.00    
8  SIR MAGESTRATE (IRE) Nov28 Feb19 Jan24 Dec23   (motion graham)CENTENO E 121 30.00    
9  NOBLE FACTOR Dec12 Apr19 Apr04 Mar02 Feb08 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 121 4.00 10% 8.70    
10  THUNDERING Nov08 Sep27 Aug30 Aug03 Jun21 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
11  VIA DELLA SPIGA Oct20 Sep13 Jul24 Jun28 Apr10 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 121 30.00    
 
TAM-8   12/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMELY REWARD Nov22 Nov14 Oct19 Sep12 Aug24 (jones douglas)GIL CIPRIANO 120 10.00 10% 9.40    
2  COMPASS FIRE Dec13 Aug28 Aug15 Jul30 Jul11 (seale chris)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00    
3  TWIZZLE Dec12 Nov26 Nov09 Oct25 Sep12 (bacallao-veg)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 20.00    
4  RITABOOK Dec13 Nov26 Oct08 Sep18 Aug28 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 122 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  WATERWORKS Nov20 Oct29 Oct06 Sep15 Aug31 (posadas pedro)MORALES PABLO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  LITTLE CARLEY Apr23 Apr04 Mar22 Mar09 Feb19 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 120 30.00    
7  HOT DANCE Dec10 Sep06 Aug20 Jul30 Jul05 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00    
8  D' TIGER LILY Oct15 Sep14 Aug24 Jul18 Jun15 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
9  LONG GONE SALLY Dec12 Nov22 Nov08 Oct11 Sep12 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
10  AWESOME PIC Nov26 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Aug10 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
11  FIELDS OF GREEN Dec12 Oct20 Sep30 Jul27 Jun27 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
TAM-9   12/26/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGANTHEEBATTALION Oct04 Sep16 Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00    
2  LIPAN LAW Nov28 Oct08 Sep16 Aug18 Jul28 (ferraro anth)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00 10% 9.30    
3  SECRET VICTORY Sep26 Sep05 Aug01 Jun27 May31 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
4  TRUE MYTH Nov28 Oct12 Sep20 Aug30 Aug06 (vanwinkle davi)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50    
SCR  BOLT OF PARADISE Nov16 Oct04 Aug17 Aug03 Jun25 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 121 30.00    
6  RUNWAY LIGHTS Oct23 Aug15 Jul16 May25 Apr13 (smith ro)CASTANON L 121 6.00    
7  DAS IST ALLES ALLY Apr18 Mar21 Mar09 Feb05 Dec22 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00    
8  CLASSICALS FINALE Nov28 Nov19 Oct18 Oct01 Sep13 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 4.00 ★    
9  NELIDA Nov28 Oct20 Oct01 Sep15 Aug26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 15.00    
10  NICKY JOLENE Dec05 Nov28 Oct18 Oct01 Sep10 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 121 8.00 14% 5.90    
11  CLASSY LASS Nov28 Sep15 Aug12 May23 Apr03 (vitali m)GALLARDO A 121 5.00 25% 2.90    
12  SHAKREVENGE Sep19 Sep06 Aug17 Jul26 Jun27 (avila ca)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 10% 9.20    
13  LUNAR UNIT Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Jul30 Jun29 (vitali j)HO WESLEY 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.