Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Friday - December 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(6/1/4)-(7/5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(7/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(7/5/6/1)-(5/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/1)-(5/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/1)-(5/4/3/2)-(4/2/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/2)-(4/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/2)-(4/2/7/6)-(3/6/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/6)-(3/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/6)-(3/6/4/5)-(6/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/5)-(6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/5)-(6/2/8)-(10/4/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/8)-(6/2/8)-(6/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/8)-(10/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8)-(10/4/1/7)-(4/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-8   WIN (10/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/1/7)-(10/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/1/7)-(10/4/1/7)-(10/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/4/1/7)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPROBABLE FIRST Dec02 Oct28 Oct09 Sep12 Aug11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  JENNY'S BEIGNET Dec08 Nov12 Nov03 Sep29 Sep04 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
3  ROYALLY FLUSHED Nov18 Nov03 Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 (sondej amy)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
4  FINISTERE Dec08 Nov12 Oct25 Oct08 Sep10 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  PACE Dec08 Sep11 Aug19 Aug11 Jun23 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
SCR  HARBOUR BRIDGE Nov12 Oct22 Sep29 Sep15 Sep02 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60    
7  GAMBOLING GHOST Dec08 Nov12 Oct25 Oct08 Sep12 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 29% 2.50    
 
MVR-2   12/19/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN SILVER Nov24 Nov10 Oct22 Oct01 Aug08 (melancon p)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMPROBABLE CAUSE Nov04 Oct14 Sep24 Sep11 Sep03 (vaughn terry)TAPARA LUIS 123 12.00    
3  DAYTONA GOLD Dec04 Nov10 Oct29 Oct07 Sep26 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
4  WILDING LANE Nov24 Nov10 Oct20 Sep23 Sep10 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Nov24 Nov04 Oct01 Sep19 Aug22 (melancon paul)STOKES J 124 15.00    
6  ONE DESTINATION Nov24 Nov04 Oct02 Aug30 Aug16 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 66% 0.50    
7  STAROFTHEGAME Dec04 Nov10 Oct23 Dec11 Oct30 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 123 2.00 ★    
8  WITH FULL HONORS Dec04 Nov07 Oct18 Jun28 Jun14 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-3   12/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMIDA COMIDA Nov20 Oct29 Nov06 Oct01 Aug18 (loudin-smith)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISS FUSSY PANTS Dec09 Sep15 Aug20 Aug03 Jul15 (rivera r)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
3  PHOTO FINISH Nov03 Sep23 Aug30 Aug18 Jul17 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00    
4  MO CO GOLD Dec01 Nov20 Oct29 Nov12 Oct28 (loudin-smith )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
5  A KISS FOR KHOZAN Oct29 Sep28 Aug31 Dec28 Dec10 (fletcher j)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  HARTFUL HOPE Nov20 Nov06 Jun09 May20 Apr28 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 7% 13.10    
7  KOZEM Oct20 Sep23 Aug27 Jul15 Jun23 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 38% 1.70    
 
MVR-4   12/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HERO QUEEN Oct19 Aug27       (loudin-smith )SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
2  MIDNIGHT GLIMMER Nov21 May26 Mar29 Nov30 Nov09 (deiter ke)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JAGANNA         (mileni nic)KING MARIE 125 10.00 23% 3.30    
4  FROMTHEWONDERLAND Oct14 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Jul27 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  DAME'S ROCKET Nov24 Oct15       (sullivan elliott)PARKER L 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  LATE FOR A DATE Nov10 Oct26 Sep10     (vecchio ca)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 120 6.00    
SCR  JOGGER Nov12 Oct22 Sep29 Aug27 Aug18 (lauer michael)GONZALEZ A 125 4.50    
8  SOMETHINGTOSAY Nov18 Oct15 Oct01 Sep13 Aug31 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 12.00    
9  AMERICAN TOAST Nov12         (vaughn terry)TAPARA LUIS 125 15.00    
10  RUBY RIVER Nov10 Oct09 Aug23 Jul30 Jul12 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 20.00    
 
MVR-5   12/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILLIGAN Nov19 Nov04 Oct20 Oct14 Sep23 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00    
2  MAKING ME CRAZY Nov18 Nov04 Aug18 Jul16 May13 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  DAVID'S GEM Dec01 Oct07 Sep03 Aug05 Jun12 (johnson ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 121 2.50    
4  CRYO Dec01 Sep11 Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 3.50 51% 0.90    
5  HAGLER Nov30 Nov16 Sep01 Aug10 Jul26 (carmichael mikh)BOWEN ROCCO 126 15.00    
6  ORB OF THE BORO Sep12 Jul10 Jun24 Jun16 May29 (vaughn terry)TAPARA LUIS 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROAD TO STARDOM Nov30 Nov17 Oct19 Oct01 Sep21 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 6.00 5% 17.60    
8  DREWPOWER Nov30 Oct28 Oct07 Sep23 Aug20 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
9  LOST IN MANHATTAN Nov24 Oct07 Sep17 Aug19 Sep18 (brown t)AVILES YAN 126 15.00    
 
MVR-6   12/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLOR BEARER Nov13 Oct28 Oct10 Aug29 Aug11 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS Sep30 Sep09 Aug18 Jun21 Jun03 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 20.00    
3  LIBERATE Nov13 Jul10 Jun16 May28 Mar30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.80 56% 0.80    
4  WETZEL Dec04 Oct27 Sep30 Sep04 Aug19 (overholt paul)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUST FOR LIFE Dec02 Nov13 Oct29 Oct10 Sep22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HENRY MAC Nov24 Oct25 Sep11 Jul15 Jun06 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.40 19% 4.30    
7  PROSECUTOR Nov13 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 (guciardo rober)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
8  ZAKARIA Nov03 Aug29 Jul17 Jun26 Jun07 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUREAU Dec07 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Jun14 (wilborn kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 126 2.50    
2  MORE LOVE Nov22 Oct07 Sep17 Aug19 Aug04 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 11% 8.10    
3  PAY ZONE Nov29 Oct30 Oct11 Sep19 Aug31 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.00    
SCR  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Nov10 Sep04 Jul26 Jun13 Mar10 (lauer michael)PARKER L 124 12.00    
SCR  ISMYBUSINESS Nov03 Oct09 Sep05 Aug28 Jul15 (eggleston tim)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
6  JOHN'S ROCK Dec01 Nov10 Oct06 Sep23 Aug29 (vecchio ca)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 4.00 60% 0.70    
7  PANTHOR Nov15 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 Aug12 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
8  OK SPEEDY Oct20 Sep08 Aug05 Jul27 Jun27 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   12/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHT CHARGER Dec05 Nov12 Apr24 Apr05 Feb27 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 10.00 22% 3.40    
SCR  BEECHMONT Dec03 Nov14 Oct23 Oct02 Sep12 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00    
3  BETTA GO GO GO Nov18 Oct13 Sep22 Aug30 Aug16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
4  A LA CARTE Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 Sep12 Aug23 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  TIE BREAKER LENNIE Dec09 Oct30 Oct09 Sep06 Aug23 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 20.00    
6  REGAL TEMPLE Nov25 Nov16 Oct29 Oct13 Aug21 (inman robe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 20.00    
7  LAST U TURN Dec09 Nov17 Nov05 Sep26 Sep15 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOONY Nov03 Sep18 Jul12 Jun23 May12 (lauer michael)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
SCR  COLD PLUNGE Nov16 Oct26 Sep09 Aug18 Jul29 (brown t)TAPARA LUIS 124 20.00    
10  GRAND BEY Dec01 Jun07 May13 Apr05 Mar10 (poole m)BRACHO A 126 6.00 31% 2.20    
 
MVR-9   12/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY BETTY Nov18 Oct20 Aug16 Jul24   (anderson susa)BRACHO A 122 1.80 27% 2.80    
  (by BIONDETTI out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  TEAM CHIQUITA Dec03         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
  (by DRILL out of MY HOPE AMERICA by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  JAC'S COCOABELLA Dec03 Nov18 Oct25 Oct14 Sep30 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 122 2.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of SPIT'S IMAGE by MOBIL)
4  STACY ELLEN Dec03 Nov03 Sep10 Aug25 Aug06 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
5  LIL SHARPIE Nov18 Nov03 Oct23 Oct14   (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 122 20.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
SCR  LOCO COCO Nov24 Nov03 Sep30 Aug25   (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 20.00    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of CAFFEINE RUSH by HANDSOME MIKE)
7  BOBBER'S ROCKET Nov18 Oct20 Sep02 Jul17   (zi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00    
  (by MOBIL out of ANGEL FALLS by KINGMAMBO)
8  MO DON'T STOP Dec03 Nov04       (orantes yoni)TAPARA BRANDON 122 15.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of MO MARGARITA by UNCLE MO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.