Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(7/3/6)-(3/5/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(3/5/4/7)-(4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7)-(4/3/1)-(7/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(7/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(7/1/5/4)-(5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/4)-(5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/4)-(5/3/1)-(7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(7/5/1)-(9/7/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(9/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (9/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF A G Q Nov18 Nov03 Oct15 Sep25 Aug12 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 125 3.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of MS. G Q by MERCER MILL)
SCR  GRACE MEYERS Nov25 Oct27       (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 126 20.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of PRINZIP by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
3  RICH ON THE RIVER Nov25 Oct23 Oct06 Sep17   (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DOLL DREAMS by HENNY HUGHES)
4  NATIONAL PUNCHLINE Nov03 May29 May05 Mar26 Dec28 (jensen justi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
5  KETTLE COALMINE Nov18 Oct06 Jul12     (faulkner rodne)SWAN KIRSTEN 126 4.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
6  WILD DOMAIN Nov25 Nov07 Oct23 Dec12 Nov27 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 1.80 53% 0.90    
  (by ONE SIDED out of ENDEARED by BIRDSTONE)
 
MVR-2   12/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Nov12 Oct29 Oct08 Sep10 Sep01 (bailey ricardo)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00    
SCR  RED WREN Oct22 Oct08 Sep16 Sep09 Aug15 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
3  ROWDY DAISY Nov05 Oct22 Oct09 Sep10 Aug26 (canegata j)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 8.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  AWESOME SUNDAY Nov24 Nov02 Oct12 Jul08 Jun21 (alonso fernando)BOWEN ROCCO 124 12.00    
5  TAKING CHARGE DESI Nov10 Oct27 Oct08 Aug13 Jul15 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
6  GENERAL GINNY Nov10 Oct07 Sep20 Jul30 Jun28 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 6.00 7% 13.50    
7  BIG GINGER Nov17 Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Jul15 (calderon ivan)SOSA LAUREANO 124 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
MVR-3   12/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOCHER Nov07 Oct25 Oct10 Sep11 Aug13 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
2  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Nov25 Nov07 Oct07 Sep16 May17 (norris st)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00    
3  VECCHI Nov25 Nov07 Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
4  DRILL CITY Dec03 Nov18 Oct09 Mar13 Mar03 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  ATLAS FALLS Nov04 Oct21 Oct03 Aug01 Jun30 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
6  MAN'S CHOICE Nov25 Oct25 Oct03 Sep22 Sep10 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
7  SEEKING FREEDOM Nov25 Nov07 Oct25 Oct07 Sep12 (faulkner r)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   12/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDYMONIUM Oct29 Sep23 Jul01 May20 Apr28 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CRACKLE (GB) Nov17 Oct30 Oct09 Sep30 Sep06 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
3  GETAWAY BAY Oct23 Jul01 Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  TANYA SHOWERS Oct23 Mar09 Jan25 Dec22 Nov28 (hess b)RIVERA R 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  HAUT LES COEURS Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 (pappada a)PARKER L 123 5.00    
6  RAN THE RED Nov22 Oct30 Oct17 Oct01 Sep13 (joy j)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00    
 
MVR-5   12/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA FLORA Nov25         (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 125 1.20 23% 3.30    
2  SHE IS DYNAMIC Aug23 Jul25 Jul12 Jun25 Jun14 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 30.00    
3  SUNNY LION Nov25 Oct15 Aug08 Jul12 Jun07 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 20.00    
4  SPECIAL COLLETTE Nov24 Apr09 Mar20     (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RON DAH LOU Nov24 Oct23 Oct03 Sep18 Aug12 (tumblin kris)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PERFECT DATE Nov24 Dec19 Nov25 Oct26 Oct10 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
7  COUNTRY PROMISES Nov24 Nov11 Oct23 Sep22   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 52% 0.90    
8  MOODY RIVER Nov24 Oct22 Sep25     (huffman candac)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   12/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALICED Nov04 Oct15 Oct01 Aug20 Jun11 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  LIAM'S LASS Nov25 Oct29 Sep23 Sep15 Aug20 (crumley jevon)BRACHO A 126 2.00    
3  LUBU Nov25 Nov12 Oct29 Sep26 Sep09 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 10.00 17% 5.10    
4  CHASE BY THE MOON Nov13 Oct23 Oct17 Sep26 Aug22 (joy j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
5  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Dec01 Nov12 Oct20 Oct01 Sep23 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
6  GRACIE DANCE Nov04 Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Jul14 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
7  DIVINE FASHION Nov25 Oct29 Sep23 Sep10 Sep02 (bailey ri)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   12/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THANKS FRANK Nov06 Oct25 Oct08 Sep18 Jun24 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLAT LUCKY Nov10 Oct23 Sep24 Sep01 Jul28 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
3  DREAM ON BABY Nov10 Oct13 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00    
4  TIME THE AVENGER Nov06 Oct28 Sep22 Sep03 Aug18 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
5  HARVARD Nov10 Oct30 Oct20 Oct11 Sep06 (bailey ri)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Nov06 Oct20 Oct07 Sep28 Sep03 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
7  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Nov04 Oct02 Sep23 Sep11 Aug26 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
MVR-8   12/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANIAN PRINCE Nov20 Oct28 Sep22 Sep03 Jun07 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 4.00    
2  MAGICAL MONARCH Nov24 Nov13 Jul28 Jul03 Jun09 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
SCR  LOOK TO THE CROSS Dec03 Oct17 Oct08 Sep11 Aug15 (crumley jevon)BRACHO A 123 12.00    
4  THIRD CITY Nov17 Oct22 Oct07 Sep23 Sep03 (pappada a)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
5  MAGIC MOVER Nov20 Nov06 Oct17 Oct01 Aug30 (joy j)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEEPING GIANT Nov26 Nov05 Oct07 Sep11 Aug21 (canegata james)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00 14% 6.40    
7  RONNIS SECOND WIND Nov24 Oct28 Oct13 Sep25 Aug29 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SIGHT UNSEEN Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 (ray kevin)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 20.00    
9  RUNNINGFORJOY Nov24 Oct30 Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 (cheeks katy)RIVERA R 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.