Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Friday - November 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(1/2/6)-(6/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(6/5/2)-(2/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/1/5)-(6/2/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(6/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(6/2/8/4)-(5/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/5/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/5/8/4)-(6/2/5/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/8/4)-(5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/4)-(5/2/7)-(3/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(3/1/5)-(5/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   11/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERS RUN FAST Oct23 Oct06 Sep17     (rettele r)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANGEL SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
LUCKY JUULZ Oct23 Oct06       (flick julia)AVILES YAN 126 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of CRIMSON KATE by FIRST SAMURAI)
MY FOR O ONE KAY Oct23 Oct06 Sep17 Aug29 Aug12 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 124 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RED DREAD by FIVE STAR DAY)
SCR  DUDE THE LEGEND Oct27 Sep25 Sep01 Jul26 Jun21 (lopez jacinto)HOUGHTON D 126 12.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
WILD DOMAIN Oct23 Dec12 Nov27 Nov13   (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 0.80 60% 0.70    
  (by ONE SIDED out of ENDEARED by BIRDSTONE)
TRUTH N SOUL Oct23 Oct06 Sep17 Aug12 Jul09 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 18% 4.70    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
 
MVR-2   11/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ MAGNIFICENT Sep10 Aug19       (galloway khadee)FELICIANO R 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of RICH IMAGE by IMAGINING)
MAGIC MOON (BRZ)         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MAGICAL MILE out of HILARITE (BRZ) by HAMPSTEAD (URU))
SCR  MOTOWN STORY Oct22         (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of STORY TIME by BROKEN VOW)
OLIVE ON TOP Sep10 Aug19       (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 122 15.00    
  (by SHOTICHE out of KUMARA by COGENCY)
SKORDALIA Oct03         (vaughan edwa)HALDAR J 122 1.80    
  (by SILVER STATE out of GYPSY GLANCE by MASTERY)
NO GOOD NEWS Oct22 Sep26       (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 20.00 16% 5.20    
  (by LESLEY'S EXPRESS out of BAD NEWS BOBBY by KING OF THE CASTLE)
SCR  STAR ELLA Oct22 Oct15 Sep26 Sep10 Aug19 (rivera ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
  (by UPSTART out of SWEET ELLA by SCAT DADDY)
 
MVR-3   11/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATE WINS Oct28 Sep16 Sep01 Aug13 Jun26 (vlaun manue)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 8.00    
ROYAL ITCH Oct28 Oct07 Sep21 Aug27 Jun03 (zielinski)MARTINEZ L 124 20.00 5% 18.20    
ISLANDINTHESTREAM Sep24 Aug18 Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
SCR  LOOP OF HENLE Oct13 Sep16 Aug30 Aug02 Jul18 (meyers sh)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
LADY GIULIANA Oct29 Aug27 Jul07 Jun17 Jun03 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
MY FINE AQUILINE Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 Aug11 Jul25 (winters mich)TAPARA BRANDON 122 3.50 54% 0.90    
ATHENA'S GHOST Oct07 Aug27 Jun26 Jun09 Apr28 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
SCR  SALLY BALI Oct26 Sep30 Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 (chavez manuel)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   11/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIOT THE DRAGON Oct10 Apr12 Mar30 Mar11 Jan09 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
MR LOOOCH Oct29 Oct03 Sep12 Aug28 Jul09 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 126 1.80 43% 1.30    
THE PINK Z Oct21 Jul05 Jun21 May29 Apr03 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.00    
GIFT OF OAK Oct28 Jun17 May21 May03 Apr03 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
AINT NO BANDLEADER Sep22 Aug11 Jul17 Jun12 May29 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
GONE IN A FLASH Oct07 Sep23 Aug06 Jun17 May12 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 126 4.00    
 
MVR-5   11/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDDEN Oct25 Oct02 Sep16 Aug25 Aug12 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
DOUBLE AGENT Oct25 Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 Aug13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
SEEKING FREEDOM Oct25 Oct07 Sep12 Aug27 Aug18 (faulkner r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 5.00    
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Oct07 Sep16 May17 May04 Apr20 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Sep25 Aug13 Apr02 Jan27 Dec27 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50    
VECCHI Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 Aug12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
SMOOCHER Oct25 Oct10 Sep11 Aug13 Jun17 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00    
DRILL'S BOY Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 Aug06 Jun17 (romero jo)MARTINEZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
WHY KENNY WHY Sep16 Aug25 Aug06 May29 May19 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
10  HARSH TRUTH Oct25 Oct10 Sep11 Jul09 Jun16 (skerrett jeff)SOSA LAUREANO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   11/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PATTY'S HAVING FUN Oct04 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 May30 (gotera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Oct27 Sep03 Jun26 Jun07 May17 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 10.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  RED WREN Oct22 Oct08 Sep16 Sep09 Aug15 (pappada juli)AYALA J 124 3.50    
BO RUNKLE Sep16 Sep01 Jun05 Feb23 Dec19 (vlaun manue)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
SICILIAN STYLE TWO Oct20 Oct08 Sep01 Aug21 Aug08 (urieta jo)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 2.50 46% 1.20    
SHIELDMEWITHPRAYER Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 Sep01 Aug05 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00    
DAME MAUDE CHARDIN Oct06 Sep02 Aug11 Jul27 Jul02 (cc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BASHFUL DAISY Oct19 Oct09 Sep20 Aug23 Jul31 (farrior anthony)PARKER L 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   11/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTOICO Sep24         (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
UNO NOIR Oct22 Oct04       (poole m)BRACHO A 122 12.00    
MY TROOPER Sep20 Aug22       (smith larry)DIAZ I 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  BOSABROTHER Oct01 Sep12 Aug25     (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 10.00    
TWO TWENTY TWO Sep19 Aug13       (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
PONCHO JAC Oct03 Sep24       (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 4.00    
VALIANT STRIKE Oct04         (cline c)MURGIA A 120 3.50    
 
MVR-8   11/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BISCOTTI Oct15 Sep03 Aug13 Jul16 Jun24 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
BRAGGART JOE Oct15 May27 May19 Aug27 Aug05 (johnson jennifer)PARKER L 122 15.00    
IT'S LAST CALL Oct23 Sep26 Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  TASK FORCE (FR) Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 May17 Apr11 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
CLOUDY HOLIDAY Oct23 Sep12 Jun09 May25 Apr14 (martinez kel)HALDAR J 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
KNICKS GATE Oct23 Sep26 Aug25 Jul10 May03 (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
KNOW WHO YOU ARE Oct07 Jul28 Nov17 Oct17 Aug24 (cowans wil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 124 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.