Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(6/3/4)-(3/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(3/6/1)-(6/2/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(6/2/7/4)-(1/3/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4/9)-(6/2/7/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/7/4)-(1/3/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/4)-(1/3/10/9)-(1/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/3/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/10/9)-(1/3/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/10/9)-(1/3/10/9)-(1/3/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/10/9)-(1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/10/9)-(1/6/5)-(8/3/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(8/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(8/3/4/6)-(6/8/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/6)-(6/8/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REX SPIRED Oct06         (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
2  LUCKY KATER Oct15 Mar12 Jan28     (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 126 12.00    
SCR  QUALITY KISS Sep27 Sep10 Oct04 Aug30 Aug14 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.60    
4  WILLIE T Oct10 Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 Jul14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
5  STRIKING LAD Oct15 Sep25 Aug28 Aug05 Aug19 (flores christi)DIAZ I 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SON OF A G Q Oct15 Sep25 Aug12     (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-2   11/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENTINE BUG Oct08 Sep29 Sep22 Sep03 Aug03 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
2  POPPY'S PRIDE Oct20 Oct03 Sep17 Sep09 Jul14 (vecchio c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
3  ERNIE'S MARTINI Oct07 Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  DOCTOR WU Oct07 Aug18 Jul13 Jun16 May26 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  OTIS OTIS OTIS Oct10 Sep21 Sep03 Jun26 May29 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
6  COLONEL VARGO Oct12 Aug29 Jun29 May27 Apr27 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
MVR-3   11/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICARO Oct07 Sep26 Aug13 Jul10 Jun23 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 122 8.00 7% 13.10    
2  SOCK IT TO ME Oct06 Sep05 Jun10 May11 Apr08 (stephen anthony)PARKER L 124 1.60    
3  STICKY NOTE Oct03 Aug21 Jun20 Oct14 Aug26 (cowans wil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  ADMIRAL NELSON Oct07 Sep15 Aug23 Jul25 Jul04 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 12.00    
5  BIG LUCKY Oct15 Sep26 Jun12     (rivera ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
6  GUT INSTINCT Oct09 Sep15 May27 May06 Mar01 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 22% 3.60    
 
MVR-4   11/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELLOILEDCAT Oct03 Sep16 Jul14 Jun07 May14 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 124 15.00    
2  KINGDOM TRAILS Oct14 Sep24 Aug29 Aug06 Jul07 (wolochuk david)DIAZ I 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  OH EYE SEE Oct14 Sep24 Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
4  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Sep24 Sep04 Jun02 Jun26 Jun15 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  COWGIRLS HUMOR Oct21 Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jun30 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00    
6  WATCH ME DADDY Oct23 Sep30 Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 (cline c)RIVERA R 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  EMERALD EYES Oct21 Sep24 Sep04 Aug08 Jul12 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  PRINCESS EM Oct21 Oct03 Sep09 Aug19 Jun07 (yoder d)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
9  ANOTHERWINNER Sep24 Sep05 Aug16 Jun21 May29 (balo-williams sh)PARKER L 122 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   11/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KYKEON Oct21 Jun07 Apr30 Mar20 Mar08 (garcia genaro)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 32% 2.20    
2  COLONEL POPPY Oct21 Oct14 Sep19 Sep08 Aug25 (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
3  DARK BARON Oct01 Sep09 Aug18 Jul08 May22 (tumblin kristina)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
4  ROYALLY FLUSHED Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jun19 (sondej am)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
SCR  FINISTERE Oct25 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 Aug05 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
SCR  EGYPTIAN KING Oct06 Sep24 Sep11 Aug27 Jul30 (wittek kar)VILLARREAL OSCAR 126 15.00    
7  MIGHTY MO Sep20 Sep02 Jul31 Jun20 May30 (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 4.00    
8  BRAGGADOCIOUS Oct06 Sep14 Aug02 Jul24 Jul09 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
9  ROUNDBALL ROCK Oct25 Oct08 Sep17 Sep09 Aug18 (romero oscar)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 10% 9.10    
10  MASTER OF THE NITE Oct13 Sep22 Sep04 Aug18 Aug07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 15.00 12% 7.20    
 
MVR-6   11/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A VAN ON THE RUN Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 Aug28 Aug08 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 126 4.50 31% 2.30    
2  BLAZING TONY Oct20 Sep18 Sep05 Jul26 Jul02 (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 3.50    
3  RUNAWAY POWER Oct20 Sep12 Aug28 Aug07 Jul14 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50    
4  FINALLY FRIDAY Oct13 Sep15 Aug21 Aug07 May17 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 122 3.00    
5  DIXIE'S MEMORY Oct09 Sep25 Sep03 Aug11 Jul09 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 122 6.00 6% 16.10    
6  SWAYBACK MOBIL Oct09 Sep25 Sep01 Aug13 Jul14 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
MVR-7   11/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN FLAG Oct06 Sep12 Jun06 May03 Oct30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00    
2  ZAKARIA Aug29 Jul17 Jun26 Jun07 May07 (yoder d)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
3  HOLIDAY HOUSE Oct15 Sep11 Jul31 Jul09 Jun26 (garcia ge)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
4  EXCITEMENT Oct06 Sep22 Aug14 Jul16 Jun25 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 124 8.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  POWERFUL MOON Oct13 Sep22 Jun07 Sep19 Sep03 (ray kevi)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
6  RUFFIN Sep12 Aug14 Jun30 Jun06 Nov14 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  THUNDERIAN Oct13 Sep19 Sep01 Aug18 Jul08 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
8  TRIGGER POINT Oct14 Sep24 Sep02 Aug24 Aug05 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
 
MVR-8   11/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUEST AIR Oct14         (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of TRUE CINDER by ALCINDOR)
2  LIL SHARPIE Oct23 Oct14       (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
3  SWEET VIVIAN Sep27 Aug16       (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 122 6.00    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
4  LOCO COCO Sep30 Aug25       (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 122 15.00    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of CAFFEINE RUSH by HANDSOME MIKE)
5  MISS LORA ANN Oct09 Sep27 Sep10 Aug16   (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 8.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
6  CASTLE QUEEN Oct14         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by SAM LORD'S CASTLE out of KAYLYN AND JAYLYNN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
7  DIVINE SILENCE Oct20         (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
  (by HOLY BULL out of SILENT ACCOUNT by PRIVATE ACCOUNT)
8  FOREVER FLOWING Oct14 Sep30 Aug25     (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
9  STACY ELLEN Sep10 Aug25 Aug06     (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 122 10.00 23% 3.40    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.