Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(3/7/6)-(2/1/5/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-2   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(2/1/5/4)-(4/6/1/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-3   WIN (2/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/4)-(4/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/4)-(4/6/1/7)-(2/1/8/6) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-4   WIN (4/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/7)-(2/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/7)-(2/1/8/6)-(5/6/2/9) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-5   WIN (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/6)-(5/6/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/6)-(5/6/2/9)-(1/4/2/8) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-6   WIN (5/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/3/9)-(5/6/2/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/2/9)-(1/4/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/9)-(1/4/2/8)-(11/9/1/6/4) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
FE-7   WIN (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/8)-(11/9/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/8)-(11/9/1/6/4)-(9/6/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
FE-8   WIN (11/9/1/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/9/1/6/4)-(11/9/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/9/1/6/4)-(11/9/1/6/4)-(11/9/1/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/9/1/6/4)-(9/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-9   WIN (9/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/5)-(9/6/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/5)-(9/6/3/5/7)-(9/6/3/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   10/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($20.55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S SO CROATIAN Oct12 Sep25 Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 (krczmar zelko)JONES SLADE 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  TENTOMIDNIGHT Oct10 Sep18 Aug29 Aug09 Jul17 (raghun)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
3  BUTTERFLY BILLIE Sep11 Aug25 Jul31 Jul03 Jun12 (pion sylvain)SAMUEL L 120 1.60 21% 3.80    
4  CHARLETTA Oct14 Sep22 Sep02 Aug04 Jul13 (rickman h)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50    
5  OUR LILLY Oct10 Sep11 Aug29     (dunslow j)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   10/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOLF BEACH Oct06 Sep22 Sep15 Jul08 Jun10 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00    
SCR  DISGRUNTLEDPELICAN Oct14 Sep22 Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 (davis )ALDERSON IAN 119 6.00    
3  A LA CARTE Sep30 Sep12 Aug23 Jul18 Apr27 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 43% 1.30    
4  PORSHAS RUN Oct14 Sep08 Aug25 Aug07 Jul17 (smith r)CRAWFORD J 119 6.00    
5  DADDY SEND MONEY Oct06 Sep29 Aug23 Aug01 Jun22 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50    
6  MISS D'S PRIDE Oct06 Sep30 Sep08 Sep01 Aug05 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SPEEDY BULLEIT Oct06 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
FE-3   10/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICOLE'S SONG Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Aug05 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
2  RIFLING Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug05 Jul21 (mileni nick)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
3  RUNNING ARGUMENT Oct06 Sep23 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 124 3.50    
4  TAYLORMOON Oct06 Sep23 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 (mcmahon willia)BYNOE DESEAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIGIRIYA Oct07 Sep22 Aug26 Aug11 Jul22 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 4.50 12% 7.50    
6  SILENT PASSION Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 124 2.00    
7  LET'S BE FIRST Oct13 Sep29 Sep15 Sep08 Aug22 (spada lauren)KERR CHEYENNE 115 10.00    
 
FE-4   10/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHTSABER (GB) Oct06 Sep30 Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 (bailey)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
2  LAST GLIMMER Oct14 Sep30 Sep15 Sep08 Aug26 (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 124 3.00    
3  SILENT TRIBUTE Oct06 Sep19 Aug31 Aug21 Aug07 (davis )ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00    
4  SKY DIVINE Oct06 Sep23 Sep15 Sep02 Aug07 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  SHES HOT TO TROT Oct06 Sep23 Sep08 Jul16 Jun16 (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 122 5.00    
6  MAIKEN THE VIKING Oct14 Sep29 Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
7  HELANA Oct14 Sep30 Sep15 Sep08 Aug22 (keen howard)NEWELL F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-5   10/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE FIRE Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 May13 May05 (smith r)CRAWFORD J 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
2  SARATOGA EMPRESS (GB) Sep25 Aug21 Jul24 Jun14 May10 (chircop steven)SALLES LEO 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
3  MIMI'S HOLIDAY Oct14 Sep25 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 15.00    
4  SUPER SERENADE Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Aug11 Jul31 (keen howard)NEWELL F 120 3.00    
5  EASY ACCESS Sep22 Aug18 Aug05 Jul14 Oct21 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 20.00    
SCR  SADIE MY LADY Sep09 Aug25 Aug07 Jun28 Jun13 (loescher paul)KERR CHEYENNE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GHOSTLY PERFECTION Oct06 Sep09 Aug25 Jul25 Jul14 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 124 5.00    
8  ALBERTA BE MINE Oct06 Sep16 Aug26 Aug11 Jul14 (will)LEWIS GEORGE 124 10.00 10% 9.30    
 
FE-6   10/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN SPRING Oct06 Aug26 Aug12 Jul08 Jul01 (smith r)CRAWFORD J 124 12.00    
2  SILVER BULLET LADY Sep23 Sep09 Aug05 Jul07 Jun24 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  GETTING AHEAD Oct06 Sep09 Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 (rickma)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 ★    
4  LEGS LIKE FLATTER Oct13 Sep23 Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 124 5.00    
5  CRIMSON NIGHTS Sep22 Sep09 Aug12 Jul20 May27 (adamo )ALDERSON IAN 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  DAZZLING GOLD Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
7  FOREST B Oct11 Sep18 Aug31 Aug07 Jun27 (powell a)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
8  SOUPER COP Oct06 Aug18 Jul22 Jul14 Jun24 (rickman erin )KERR CHEYENNE 117 20.00    
9  ADDI BUG Oct13 Sep09 Aug05 May18 May10 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-7   10/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harvest Moon Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY MARCH Sep19 Sep09 Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00 65% 0.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of VICTORY ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
2  MIA AND ME Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of ALPHA MOOD by ALPHABET SOUP)
3  SUNRISE DRIVE Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 Aug17 Jul04 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.00    
  (by DANZA out of KNOCKER by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
4  HIATUS Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jun23 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 10% 9.50    
  (by SILENT NAME out of HONEY RYDER by LASTING APPROVAL)
5  THELONIOUS Oct07 Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 Aug11 (concessi arman)BYNOE DESEAN 122 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of TACTICAL GIFT by TACTICAL CAT)
6  LE GRAND GARCON Sep16 Sep02 Aug18 Aug05 Jul27 (steer tom)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
  (by CONQUEST CURLINATE out of GENTLE JAZZ by MALIBU MOON)
7  SCAT FACTOR Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 (jennings ali)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 2.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SCAT GAL by SCAT DADDY)
8  KIDDIE HOLIDAY Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of KID'S COLLECTION by LEMON DROP KID)
 
FE-8   10/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR SEAMUS Jul28 May26 Apr11 Feb23 Nov12 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 13% 6.90    
2  GUS'S GAMBLE Oct07 Sep30 Sep16 Sep08 Aug26 (albu)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 12.00    
3  WET AND WILD Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul27 (capi m)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 5.00    
4  RED MAPLE Sep23 Jun15 May27 Dec04 Nov24 (agostino roy )KERR CHEYENNE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARDWARE GAP Sep30 Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 8.00    
6  HALF TO RELOAD Sep29 Sep16 Sep08 Aug26 Aug12 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
7  EXCEED Oct07 Sep29 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 (roberts kristina)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00    
SCR  MAMBA ON THREE Sep30 Sep16 Aug30 Aug08 Jul18 (krczmar zelko)JONES SLADE 120 3.00    
9  TRULY MISCHIEF Sep30 Sep09 Aug12 Jul27 Jun30 (willia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  GRAND AMBITION Sep15 Aug05 Jul14 Jul01 Oct21 (adamo )ALDERSON IAN 122 2.00    
11  WHERE IS ESSA Sep30 Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
12  PEOPLE ARE PEOPLE Oct13 Sep23 Sep15 Aug18 Aug04 (adamo anthon)SAMUEL L 120 6.00    
 
FE-9   10/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Crimson Maple Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALMIAKKI Oct14 Sep22 Aug29 Jul12 May31 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FINN'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  MORAL TURPITUDE Oct07 Sep22 Sep09 Aug25 Aug12 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of JADE PRINCESS by TAPIT)
3  TOWN'S A BREEZE Sep30 Sep22 Sep09 Aug25 Aug04 (agostino roy )PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DIXIE AND A BREEZE by DIXIELAND BAND)
4  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Sep22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul22 Jun10 (husban)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of THAT'S ALL by MARIA'S MON)
5  HOT OMELET Oct07 Sep09 Aug18 Jul14 Jun24 (robillard jos)KERR CHEYENNE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JU JITSU JAX out of CAT DAN by DOMASCA DAN)
6  NOW IS A BREEZE Sep30 Sep22 Aug25 Aug09 Jul05 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of DIADURA by HARD SPUN)
7  MISS OZEGE Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Jul31 Jul10 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 10.00 ★    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of RETAIL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
8  CLARAYOUTHEBEST Sep25 Aug21 Aug12 Jul18 Jul05 (fourni)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of HENRY'S COLLECTION by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
9  DREAMING OF HOPE Oct06 Sep01 Aug11 Jul07 Dec14 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00 74% 0.40    
  (by MASTERY out of SIZE by FIRST SAMURAI)
10  AUSSIE HYPER Oct06 Sep25 Sep02 Aug15 Jul13 (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 10.00    
  (by HYPER out of AUSSIE AWAKENING by LONHRO (AUS))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.