Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - October 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/4/2)-(2/1/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/1/5)-(2/4/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/4/3)-(4/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(4/3)-(1/3/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-5   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/3)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   10/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN TEST Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jun27 (whitel)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.60    
2  CLIVE CROSS Oct03 Sep05 Aug23 Jul19 Jul03 (cole krista)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  AWE INSPIRED Oct03 Sep12 Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 (ross a)FLORES ESWAN 120 5.00    
4  RED IN FRONT May06 Mar01 Feb03 Jan16 Dec07 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 69% 0.50    
5  HEARD A GHOST Sep29 Aug17 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 ★    
 
FE-2   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM ON BABY Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Aug08 Jun27 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50    
2  M C JACKHAMMER Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRADY O'BRADY Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jul01 (smith r)MAILHOT P 122 4.00    
4  HICKSY Sep15 Aug17 Aug11 Jun15 Jun03 (humber joseph)KERR CHEYENNE 117 3.00 9% 10.00    
5  PEOPLE ARE PEOPLE Sep23 Sep15 Aug18 Aug04 Jul03 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 56% 0.80    
 
FE-3   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOLISH GAMES Aug31 Jul03 Jun15 Jun03 May16 (adamo anthon)SAMUEL L 122 1.40 25% 3.00    
2  ASHCAR NELLIE Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 Aug05 Jul08 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  LEGS LIKE FLATTER Sep23 Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Jul03 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00    
4  LULU'S LULLABY Sep29 Sep15 Aug11 Jul22 Jul01 (squires a)KERR CHEYENNE 115 12.00    
5  ADDI BUG Sep09 Aug05 May18 May10 Apr26 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Oct06 Sep09 Aug25 Aug12 Jul14 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
2  SARAH'S DANCER Oct02 Sep11 Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 (borela)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  TATOOSONMYSOUL Oct02 Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul03 (rombis debra )KERR CHEYENNE 115 12.00 8% 12.10    
4  BRAZILIAN LEGACY Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 Aug15 Jul24 (willia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
5  FANNY M Oct06 Sep22 Sep11 Sep01 Aug18 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00    
6  LET'S BE FIRST Sep29 Sep15 Sep08 Aug22 Jul17 (spada lauren)SALLES LEO 120 3.50    
 
FE-5   10/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY KING Sep29 Aug12 Jul21 Jun23   (albu ken)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00    
2  DROP YOUR GLOVES Sep21 Sep01 Jul04 Jun15 May31 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00    
3  TIMES A BREEZE Sep14 Aug03 May31 Oct17 Sep02 (agostino roy )KERR CHEYENNE 117 8.00 16% 5.40    
4  ARAMI'S SPEIGHSTER Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 May11 Dec01 (wills )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
5  MYMATHES CORRECT Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 Jun23 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 1.80 ★    
 
FE-6   10/13/2025 4620ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRILLIANT DISGUISE Sep22 Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  DANCING IN RIO Sep29 Sep20 Aug31 Aug15 Jul25 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  NANTUCKETS DAY Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 Jun22 (dixon )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
4  MORE GALILADY Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Jul13   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00    
5  HEBRIDEAN MISS Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 Aug04 Jul24 (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 5.00    
6  SILENT PATSY Sep30 Aug22 Jul31 Jul07 Jun23 (thompson valer)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.