Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (4/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/7)-(1/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ARP-2   WIN (1/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-3   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(4/6/5/1)-(3/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ARP-4   WIN (4/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-5   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-7   WIN (9/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/2)-(9/10/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/2)-(9/10/2/3/1)-(9/10/2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   10/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED GARNET Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Jul06 Jun13 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 124 6.00    
2  TULSA TIME Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 Jul06 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
3  MY BUDDY MEL Aug29 Aug23 Aug17 Jul26 Jul20 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
4  TAG ME Sep20 Sep06 Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 (scudder jr)CARRENO J 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
5  NUMERO SIETE Sep28 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul16 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00    
6  DEFENSE WINS Aug31 Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 (mckinney kyndra)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
7  LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Sep20 Sep07 Aug10 Aug02 Jul13 (quezada zachary)BOWERS JADA 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SAM'S PROMISE Sep23 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 May27 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 4.50    
 
ARP-2   10/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL ALLURE Sep28 Sep13 Aug23 Apr25 Mar21 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 37% 1.70    
2  STORMYLUX Sep06 Aug09 May24 Apr03 Mar13 (kemper kasey)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 8.00 6% 16.50    
3  DEVIL D' ORO Sep20 Aug25 Jul25 Jul12 Jun14 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 13% 6.90    
4  LOOKOUT PASS Sep28 Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 May18 (lavanway dayson)RAMOS B 124 3.50    
5  AMASS MONEY May18 Apr26 Mar21 Feb20 Jan31 (long vaughn)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
SCR  BRING THE POSSE Sep27 Sep13 Nov03 Oct20 Oct04 (esquibel mark)CARRENO J 121 12.00    
7  FLYING LADY Sep27 Jul27 Nov01 Oct05 Sep21 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 121 6.00    
8  LOTSA STEEL Sep28 Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 Jun06 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 4.50 13% 6.50    
 
ARP-3   10/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIE'S A TIGER Sep14 Aug03 Jul05 Nov17 Oct18 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 2.50    
2  HOT JAMMIES Sep21 Aug09 Aug02 Jun29 May31 (lavanway dayson)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
3  CHILD PROOF Aug10 Jul24 May31 May02 Oct10 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 ★    
4  O'NEILL'S LEGACY Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 (quezada zachary)BOWERS JADA 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SORORITY PARTY Sep21 Sep07 Aug16 Jul13 Jun28 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
6  SAHARA SUE Sep06 Jul27 Jul19 May24 May03 (tsosie terrill)CARRENO J 124 6.00 ★    
7  WAR MUSIC Sep21 Aug24 Aug04 Jul21 Jun29 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 58% 0.70    
 
ARP-4   10/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Sep28 Aug31 Aug23 Aug16 Aug10 (mckinney )MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  GUCCI BOY Sep28 Sep10 Aug25 Jul25 Jul14 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 5.00    
3  CHERRY RIVER Sep19 Aug22 Jul27 Jul20 Jun28 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.50    
4  DRIVEHAPPY Sep13 Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  SCRATCHY APACHE Sep20 Sep06 Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 124 10.00 14% 6.10    
6  MAIUS Sep13 Aug10 Aug02 Jul20 Oct27 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  WARRENS WORLD Sep28 Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 (scudder jr)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
8  HUSKER BUTCH Sep22 Sep08 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 (stortzum cady)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
 
ARP-5   10/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Debutante Purse ($21.5K) 3 F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO THRILLING Sep20 Aug27 Aug16 Jul03 Jun07 (rushton temple)DELORME L 120 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of OVERJOYED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  JOYFUL JOSEPHINE Sep12 Aug17 Jul14 Jun27 Jun09 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 5.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of GLITTER APPEAL by GEMOLOGIST)
3  RUNNIN ON PROMISES Apr19 Mar16 Mar01 Dec13 Nov17 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of RUNNIN FOR TUITION by HANSEN)
4  DIAMANTE ELEGANTE Sep28 Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 May17 (kemper kasey)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 3.50    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CATLADYDUE by ORIENTATE)
5  GINGER IN CHARGE Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 Jul19 Dec26 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BARKLEY out of SARAH IN CHARGE by HIGH BRITE)
6  POPS REWARD Sep20 Aug24 Aug03 May10 Apr25 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 4.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SMOKIN REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
ARP-7   10/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bally's Front Range Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLUSIONIST Sep27 Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 Jan06 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 3.00 ★    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
2  PALACE GUARD Sep27 Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 Jun21 (gleason t)IRONEYES R 124 2.50 11% 7.80    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ADDY ANNIE by POSSE)
3  QUICKTRIP VAN Sep27 Sep13 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 4.00 ★    
  (by ZIP QUIK out of BLISSFUL TRIP by TRIPPI)
5  PALACE KITTEN Sep28 Sep17 Aug30 Aug17 Jul30 (cambray andres)BAEZ M 124 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of QUEEN NINE by HENNY HUGHES)
6  SHANKAPOTAMUS Sep06 Aug20 Aug09 Jul03 Jun11 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 120 10.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of STELLABRINI by ADDED EDGE)
7  CUCINA Sep28 Sep13 Sep01 Aug23 Aug17 (scudder jr)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of IL MULINO by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  GUN SHOW Sep20 Aug09 Jul23 Jun08 Mar23 (rushton stac)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 5.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of FEISTY FLIRT by PALMISTER)
9  UNDER OATH Sep13 May16 Apr26 Apr13 Mar22 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of JOJO WARRIOR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
10  DIRT ROAD RED Sep06 Aug03 Jun06 May25 May10 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of STOP THE HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  SUBSIDIZE Oct04 Sep20 Aug31 Jul04 Jun08 ( )TBA null      
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DIVA STAR by AMERICAN CHAMP)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.