Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Friday - October 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (2/7/6/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/5/10)-(2/7/6/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/5/10)-(2/7/6/5/10)-(2/7/6/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/6/5/10)-(4/2/5/3/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/5/10)-(4/2/5/3/8)-(1/5/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TDN-2   WIN (4/2/5/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/3/8)-(4/2/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/3/8)-(4/2/5/3/8)-(4/2/5/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/5/3/8)-(1/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/3/8)-(1/5/4)-(3/4/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(3/4/2/7)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(4/1/6)-(4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(4/3/5)-(5/1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/1/6/3)-(1/3/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/3)-(1/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   10/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOR BEARER Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 Jun26 Jun17 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00    
RUN RED RUN Jul30 Jun10 May03 Apr09 Mar25 (cline c)MCKEE J 119 5.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  MARQUITOS M Sep18 Aug29 Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00    
RELISH THE RIDE Sep25 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
CARSON N SPENCE Sep22 Aug07 Jul03 Jun20 May14 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
RED CHIPS Sep22 Aug28 Aug06 Jul14 Jun21 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Sep22 Aug29 Jul15 Oct22 Oct01 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
MERGER Sep18 Aug25 Aug07 Jul07 Jun25 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 6.00    
JOHN FITZGERALD Sep22 Aug25 Aug12 Jul09 Jun17 (sweeting c)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 4.50    
10  VENTURE ON Sep30 Sep10 Aug27 Aug14 Aug04 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   10/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN HERBIE WIN Sep19 Aug22 Jul03 May31 May12 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 117 3.50    
ZIPPIN GIGI Mar20 Mar03 Feb07 Dec05 Nov11 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
LUST FOR LIFE Sep22 Sep01 Aug04 Jun21 Jun03 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 7% 13.00    
MR. PENNY PINCHER Sep11 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 Jul02 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
ELLIOT THE DRAGON Apr12 Mar30 Mar11 Jan09 Dec04 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 9% 10.60    
COASTERTOTHEMOON Sep18 Sep04 Aug11 Jul02 Jun04 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 8.00    
EXONERATED PREZ Jun30 Jun10 May26 Apr21 Mar27 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
DON'T STOP Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Jul10 Jun18 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE VAQUERO Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 Jun02 May05 (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   10/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFFAIR TO REMEMBER Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 Jul14 Jun24 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 1.60 32% 2.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
SKIPTHEGUILTTRIP Sep27 Aug28 Jul26 Jul16 Jun13 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of MY HOPE AMERICA by TALE OF THE CAT)
CRYPTO CHRIS Sep17         (romero a)JIMENEZ S 119 8.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of SHE COULD BE GOOD by DAYLIGHT SAVINGS)
EMOJI TIME Sep18 Sep01       (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of TIMEFADESTHEPAGES by SPRING AT LAST)
WILLIE T Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 Jul14   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 30% 2.40    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PRESELI'S PULPIT by PULPIT)
TAKE DICTATION Sep18 Sep01 Aug13 Jul14 Aug28 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
 
TDN-4   10/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRETCHENS MANE MAN Sep11 Aug12 Jul07 Feb08 Jan15 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 115 4.50    
RAMBLER Sep11 Aug06 Jul03 May27 Apr22 (ccamaq)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
HIDDEN RANSOM Aug20 Jul03 May12 Apr22 Oct29 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
BLESSEDNOTLUCKY Jul30 Jun26 Jun01 Apr18 Mar14 (jackson l)CULLUM W 115 2.00 23% 3.30    
HARSH TRUTH Sep11 Jul09 Jun16 May14 Oct08 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00    
SMOOCHER Sep11 Aug13 Jun17 May28 Mar04 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
DRILIN' FOR GEMS Jun16 May14 Apr24 Oct03 Sep16 (johnson l)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   10/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATIH Sep17 Aug26 Nov27 Sep15 Aug17 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
STAR WEAVER Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 Jul09 Jun30 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
OTIS OTIS OTIS Sep21 Sep03 Jun26 May29 May06 (puhl kim)AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
LOGICO Sep18 Jul17 Jul02 May08 Apr22 (genoves)PILARES P 119 2.00 64% 0.60    
BOURBON ON FIRE Sep21 Sep09 Aug26 Aug10 Jun30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
MONTAUK COVE Oct01 Sep18 Jul17 Jun30 Jun12 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   10/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Aug18 Jul08 May28 May08 Apr10 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 121 2.50    
ROSETTA Sep17 Aug28 Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 3.50    
RUBY LAYNE Sep12 Aug07 Jun12 May08 Apr09 (ov)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 17% 4.80    
INSTIGATION Sep08 Aug21 Aug04 Jun25 Jun07 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 117 1.60 39% 1.60    
STATE OF GRACE Sep16 Sep03 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 (gonzalez donacian)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
DRILL BLITZ Sep16 Aug28 Aug11 Jul08 Jun09 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
 
TDN-7   10/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFICIALLY YOURS Sep04 Aug04 May12 Apr24 Mar18 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 15% 5.70    
NUBLADA Sep03 Jun21 Nov25 Nov04 Aug30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00    
TATTERED HEART Sep26 Aug31 Jul30 Jul06 May25 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
DERBY DAY KISS Sep24 Sep03 Aug04 Jan29 Nov27 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00    
WHISKEY DIAMOND Sep24 Sep12 Aug29 Aug07 Jul24 (bush s)MCKEE J 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
THE DEVIL'S DREAM Aug29 Aug11 Jun26 Jun04 May21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 14% 6.30    
CALI CRUISER Sep25 Aug19 Jul07 Jun04 May13 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 119 6.00    
 
TDN-8   10/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERTISALUTE Sep02 Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 Jun07 (rettel)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
BIONDETTISNITEMARE Sep25 Sep02 Aug05 Jun24 May29 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 115 8.00 10% 9.50    
I BELONG FIRST Sep16 Aug12 Jun21 Nov07 Oct10 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 1.80 11% 7.80    
HOT PRINCESS (GB) Sep23 Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 May27 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
QUEEN KITTY Sep16 Aug28 Aug19 Aug06 Jul14 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.00    
BRIEF ENCOUNTER Sep13 Aug28 Aug11 May27 May06 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 5.00 11% 8.40    
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Sep23 Sep02 Aug11 Jul16 Jun23 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.