Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (3/6/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/11)-(3/4/6/1/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/11)-(3/4/6/1/11)-(3/4/6/1/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/1/11)-(2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/11)-(2/8/5)-(2/4/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-2   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/3/7)-(7/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/7)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/7)-(7/3/1)-(5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-5   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(5/6/2)-(10/5/7/1/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
MTH-6   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(10/5/7/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(10/5/7/1/9)-(3/7/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-7   WIN (10/5/7/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/7/1/9)-(10/5/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/7/1/9)-(10/5/7/1/9)-(10/5/7/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/7/1/9)-(3/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/7/1/9)-(3/7/4/9)-(1/6/9/2/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
MTH-8   WIN (3/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/9)-(3/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/9)-(3/7/4/9)-(3/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/9)-(1/6/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MTH-9   WIN (1/6/9/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/2/7)-(1/6/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/2/7)-(1/6/9/2/7)-(1/6/9/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/31/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REINA NOCHE Jul26         (antonucci jena)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  DAYTIME DRAMA Aug07 Jun22       (levine bruce)MOYA F 119 15.00    
3  PRINCESS IRENE Aug15 Jul26 Jul04 Jan30 Dec12 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 119 2.00 70% 0.40    
4  JAM'S PAPER MOON Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 123 6.00 ★    
5  SOMETHINGTOSAY Aug18 Dec18 Nov20 Oct29   (rodriguez irv)OCASIO M 123 30.00    
6  FUEGO K Aug15 Jul17 May14 Apr05 Mar09 (yanez rey)VARGAS A 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  ESTHER'S SALAD Jun14 Apr25 Mar29 Feb28 Feb07 (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00    
8  LADY CATALINA Aug22 Aug02 Jul26 Jul05 Jun20 (rabadan)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
9  SELVAGGIA Aug08 Jul20 Jun03     (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50    
10  LIL MISS LOLLIPOP Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May03 (yanez reynaldo)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
11  NEW WAY May04 Apr16 Mar16 Feb16 Dec28 (wilson ton)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WINNING SHOT Aug08 Jul18 Jun21 May31 May18 (wilson )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
MTH-2   08/31/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'SALLJUSTADREAM         (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 4.00    
2  PRONTI O MENO Jul26         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  IT'S THE MUSCLEMAN Aug15         (ramirez l)COTTO L 118 15.00    
4  WHISKEY ALLEY         (dutrow richard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 ★    
5  RAGS TO LACE         (lerman s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 9% 9.60    
6  GAEL T Aug15         (jimenez jose )PANAIJO JORGE 118 12.00    
7  MANOAH'S GLORY Jul26 Jun08       (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 118 3.00    
8  COMPLICATION Jul03 Jun22       (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
MTH-3   08/31/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARRRY SAYS         (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of ZERENIA by TIZNOW)
2  BIBI DAHL Aug16 May10       (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 1.60 38% 1.70    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JUST LOUISE by FIVE STAR DAY)
3  MEDIUM COOL         (sanchez loz)LEON SONNY 117 8.00    
  (by CONQUISTADOR CIELO out of COOL MOVES by HOLD ME BACK)
4  UNION DOOS Aug20 Jul16       (reid e)RUIZ ELISEO 117 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SHOOBIEDOOBYDOO by DIALED IN)
5  GOLDEN SPIRIT Jul04 Jun01       (spina charles)MOYA F 117 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ACHIEVING GLORY by JUMP START)
6  ROSIES PINOT Aug15 Jul12 Jun21     (delgado j)VARGAS A 117 5.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of STRIKE RED by SMART STRIKE)
7  MARLAS DREAM         (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 14% 6.30    
  (by CORE BELIEFS out of MEAN MAGGIE MAY by MALIBU MOON)
8  BICKERTON         (hills timo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 8.00    
  (by COMBATANT out of HOT LIAISON by LIAISON)
 
MTH-4   08/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN FOR YOUR LIFE Jun29 Jun15 Apr25 Mar07 Feb02 (dougherty dev)OCASIO M 121 6.00    
2  CRYPTO MAN Aug10 Jun12 May10 Apr25 Mar08 (delgado alexis)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
3  BOCA GUY Aug15 Jul05 May31 May17 Aug15 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 6.00 5% 18.30    
4  DONTBESOOGROUCHY Aug01 Jul06 Jun22 May26 May11 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 121 8.00 9% 10.80    
SCR  NONEEDTOWORRY Aug25 Aug02 Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 20.00    
6  KING FREUD Aug16 Jul26 Jun28 May25 Mar21 (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.60    
7  SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 Jun15 Jun08 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MR RAMIREZ Aug15 Aug01 Jul12 Jun12 May03 (ramirez l)COTTO L 121 10.00    
9  HATMAKER GIZMO Aug15 Jul05 May12 Mar21 Feb24 (sanchez jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 12.00    
 
MTH-5   08/31/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rumson Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEDRO NUNES Jul19         (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ORBOLUTION by ORB)
SCR  TENEBRIS Mar29 Mar09 Feb15 Jan31 Nov30 (tessore bruno)NO RIDER 118 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STARLESS NIGHT by GRAND SLAM)
3  SILVER SLUGGER Aug21 Jul19 Jun21 Jun07 May10 (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.50 27% 2.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ONE MORE WILD RIDE by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  NORTHERN FLAME Aug16 Jul04 Mar01 Jan25 Jul06 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DARLING'S DARLING by BERNARDINI)
5  VINSANITY Aug17 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 (arriaga an)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CALL TO ACTION by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  MY HANDSOME MAN Jul26 Jun15 May26 May13 Apr12 (ovando mois)NO RIDER 118 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BISOU FRANCAIS by CURLIN)
7  SUPER CHOW Jun15 May26 Feb22 Dec28 Nov29 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
MTH-6   08/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO INSPIRATION Aug09 Jul28 Jul04 Jun15 May11 (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 119 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL HONOR by HONOR CODE)
2  NEONATE Jul27 Jun22       (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of IMPERIAL SECRET by IMPERIALISM)
3  HOLIDAY EXPRESS Jun28 Oct02       (perkins j)IORIO MELISSA 119 3.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of DUMTADUMTADUM by MINESHAFT)
4  MYSTICAL MERLIN Aug03 Jul11       (schultz l)VARGAS A 119 4.50    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of ALL HER GLORY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  BRIGHTLINE BULLET         (clement migu)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SENSE OF WAR by STREET SENSE)
6  MUNTAGE Aug08         (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 119 5.00 36% 1.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of COPPER BAY by FAST ANNA)
7  LA FROST         (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 3.50 ★    
  (by FROSTED out of LA RUMBLA by SUPER SAVER)
 
MTH-7   08/31/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE Jul31 Jul01 Oct29 Oct12 Oct05 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 15.00 8% 12.30    
2  JOEVIA'S FIRST Aug16 Aug10 Jul19 Jun27 May25 (huston ror)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 113 12.00    
SCR  AUDEN Aug22 Jul22 Oct16 Sep18 Aug20 (flores-coba f)IORIO MELISSA 121 12.00    
SCR  UNION EXPRESS Jul24 Jun28 May25 Mar15 Feb02 (charlerie gre)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00    
5  MY PAL MAX Aug09 Aug01 Jun29 Jun14 May25 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 117 4.00 26% 2.90    
6  SURPRISE PACKAGE Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 May18 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
7  MUNGO Jun21 May03 Apr12 Mar26 Feb23 (richards renaldo)LEON SONNY 121 10.00 16% 5.40    
8  TAP THE CANDY Aug09 Jul06 Jul02 Jun01 Apr14 (aro mich)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
9  EDITOR'S CHOICE Aug08 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 May31 (cash j)MOYA F 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  WRECKING BALL Dec06 Nov09 Oct03 Sep09 Aug16 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 6.00 29% 2.40    
11  POWER AND GLORY Aug01 Jul10 Jun08 May24 May02 (thompson glenn)SUTHERLAND C 114 15.00    
 
MTH-8   08/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINKIWINKI Aug10 Jun22 May17 Mar30 Feb14 (ramirez silvin)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
2  DUELA DENT Aug17 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 Apr21 (plaza albert)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00    
3  SILENT DREAMER Jul19 Sep19       (clement migu)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  RISUKO Aug09 Jul19 Jun25 Jan16 Dec04 (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 6% 15.90    
5  LIKA ROLLING STONE Aug06 Jul24 Jun29 Jun19 Jun04 (arriaga an)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 15.00    
SCR  VOODOO YOU DO Jul08 Jun09 May07 Apr08 Mar12 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00    
7  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Jun28 May31 May10 Mar30 Jan25 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
8  TAVIN Aug08 Jul20 Jun20 Jun01 May17 (gomez pompeyo)COTTO L 121 6.00    
9  KAREN'S HONOR Aug08 Jul13 May09 Apr24 Apr03 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-9   08/31/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRING ME A CHECK Aug23 Aug06 Jun08 Apr26 Mar29 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 60% 0.70    
2  BAR FOURTEEN Jan23 Jan02 Dec15 Oct19 Oct10 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LONELY RIDE Aug16 Aug03 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 121 15.00    
SCR  DENYING Aug17 Jul26 Jun29 Jun14 May18 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 121 12.00    
5  LEO MONTE Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 May18 Apr25 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 121 6.00    
6  DRAKON Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 May16 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 119 5.00 8% 11.60    
7  ZIPPY GIZMO Aug09 Jul30 Jul14 Jun17 Jun02 (perez )GONZALEZ JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  MT SURIBACHI Aug16 Jul19 Jul06 Sep17 Sep05 (smylie timot)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 20.00    
9  AL AMEEQ Aug16 Jul12 Jun21 Jun05 May24 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 7% 13.30    
10  SHOGUN BE FAST Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 May31 Jan08 (synnefias pa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00    
SCR  LIKE WHAT I SEE Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 Oct25 Sep28 (ward dan)VARGAS A 121 6.00    
12  BE HERE Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.