Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(6/7/4/1/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(6/7/4/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/7/4/1/2)-(7/6/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-3   WIN (6/7/4/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/1/2)-(6/7/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/1/2)-(6/7/4/1/2)-(6/7/4/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/4/1/2)-(7/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/1/2)-(7/6/2)-(2/1/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-4   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(2/1/5)-(10/5/6/2/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(10/5/6/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(10/5/6/2/8)-(8/7/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-6   WIN (10/5/6/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/6/2/8)-(10/5/6/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/6/2/8)-(10/5/6/2/8)-(10/5/6/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/6/2/8)-(8/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/5/6/2/8)-(8/7/9)-(3/6/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/9)-(8/7/2/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/9)-(8/7/2/3/9)-(8/7/2/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/9)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-8   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   08/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREY AREA Aug03 Jul05 Jun12 May23 May11 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 6.00    
R BARRACUDA Jul18 Jun14 May18 Apr16 Jul27 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 4.00 40% 1.50    
RIDING BY Jul05 Jun28 May09 Apr06 Mar15 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 1.60    
LET ME HELP YOU Aug08         (rosales )AMADOR RUIZ 121 15.00    
KLINKERBRICK Aug03 Jul11 Jun14 May26 Apr01 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
GET DOWN Aug01 Jul11 Jun15 May18 Oct06 (harwood m)MONTALVO C 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-2   08/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELIDOUS SONNET         (balcom cliff)DURAN F 125 15.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of SCENE NOT HEARD by ROYAL ACADEMY)
MY LOVELY LYDIA         (lenzini michael)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PEARLS FOR GIRLS by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
PEARL BLUE Aug10 Jul03       (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of HETTY by CAHILL ROAD)
FREE TO BE Aug10         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of YOU ME AND EMA B by YOU AND I)
DELAYED NOT DENIED Jul27 Jul13 Jun07 May24 Sep06 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of GREAT MOM by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
GRACIE'S CHOICE Aug10 Jul03 Jun15     (asmussen )TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNNING TAP out of CARRIE'S CHOICE by TRIBUNAL)
 
EMD-3   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA'S IRON MAN Jul25 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (bean a)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
GIANOLA Aug03 Jun21 Jun08 May25 May11 (christian b)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
BEER BEGONE Aug02 Jul25 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (silva-martinez al)KRIGGER K 125 2.50    
DARKSABER May05 Sep17 Sep02 Jul23 May13 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 20.00 16% 5.40    
AMANOFMYSTATURE Aug01 Jul20 Jun08 May18 Apr27 (silva-mart)AMERICANO MANUEL 125 10.00    
DON'T HAVE ANOTHER Aug10 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 Jun20 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
FORT NECESSITY Jul19 May10 Apr29 Mar20 Jan28 (rosales )AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00 16% 5.10    
MIRROR IMAGE Aug03 Jul11 Jun27 Feb04 Jan07 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 6.00    
BERT'S PROSPECT Aug01 Jul25 Jun08 May18 Apr08 (garcia serji)HALDAR J 125 4.50    
 
EMD-4   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDE FOR GOLD Aug02 Jul19 Jun20 May31   (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 6.00    
TIZ GRAZEN Aug08 Jul11 Aug25 Aug11 Jul13 (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAKAS SECRET Jul26 Jun07 May24 May03 Mar25 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN WILLIS Jul06 May10 Apr20 Mar17 Feb28 (koch a)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 10.00    
TIGERSUN Aug02 Jul20 Jun29 Jun21 Jun07 (morris michael)ALVARADO T 125 5.00    
TAVERNELLE Aug08 Oct06 Sep30 Sep16 Aug09 (morris mic)CASTILLO E 118 15.00 6% 15.30    
LORD OF LIGHT Jul26 Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 Oct14 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 123 5.00 68% 0.50    
POLE TO POLE Aug16 Aug02 Jul26 Jun21 May03 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 119 2.50    
SAWTOOTH BOW Aug02 Jul20 Jul12 Jun06 Apr22 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 4.50    
 
EMD-5   08/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVE TRAIN Aug08 Jul12 Apr15 Apr01 Feb20 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOIN' SOUTH Jul27 Jul12 Jun22 May26 May03 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 118 2.50 68% 0.50    
PURE CANE SUGAR Aug08 Jul12 Jun15 Apr30 Apr15 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 125 3.50    
SCR  BAIE LONGUE Aug17 Mar21 Mar01 Jan29 Jan18 (toye joe)BAILEY CHEL-C 122 5.00    
CALORESE Aug08 Jul18 Jun14 Mar06 Feb10 (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAUSE FOR DIVORCE Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 Jun14 May25 (bozell alan)OROZCO E 125 15.00    
FORTYSHADESOFTIGER Aug08 Jul12 Jun28 May31 May03 (velasquez ri)HALDAR J 121 4.50    
NO ORDINARY TIGER Aug08 Jun15 May26 May03 Mar24 (baze rob)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 15.00    
 
EMD-6   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAX'S MAXINE Jul03 Jan24 Dec15 Nov10 Oct26 (guillen )AMADOR RUIZ 119 12.00    
RIVER DANCE Jul13 Jun13 May26 Mar10 Feb17 (freeman sc)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 8.00 8% 12.10    
BABY I'M A STAR Jul26 Jul01 Jun07 May24 May10 (essex charles)DURAN F 122 15.00    
KIR ROYALE Aug09 Jul26 Jun22 May26 May03 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00    
DYNAMIC DEE DEE Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 May24 Sep14 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
GLORY N THEHIGHEST Feb12 Jan24 Jan02 Dec06 Nov17 (wright blain)HALDAR J 122 5.00 8% 11.00    
INTERNET BIDDER Aug02 Jul19 Jul12 Jun22 Oct09 (cryderman)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 113 12.00    
MISS DOUBLE DOWN Jun22 May03 Apr10 Mar04   (peery debbie)ALVARADO T 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
COMPANY GIRL Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 May24 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 121 20.00    
10  REBEL GAL Aug02 Jul03 Jun06 May17 May03 (lucarelli frank)KRIGGER K 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  AUTISM INSPIRATION Aug02 Jul13 Jul03 Jun15 May11 (gibson v)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 8.00    
 
EMD-7   08/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGHERTHANTHEREST Jul20 Jun22 May11 Sep14 Aug11 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
ITS KRAKEN TIME Aug03 Jun29 Jun13 May26 Jan08 (wisdom anne)MONTALVO C 122 3.50    
VERITAS AEQUITAS Jul26 Jun29 Jun01 May11 Feb22 (markle dan)ALVARADO T 122 5.00    
GRACEFUL MISCHIEF Jun27 May26 May11 Mar09 Dec18 (jennings s)CASTILLO E 117 20.00    
CRYPTO RIDE Aug08 Sep15 Jun30 Jun02 Apr21 (hobson simon)KRIGGER K 122 8.00    
FIREWALKER Jul26 Jun28 Jun08 May11 Sep07 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 122 15.00    
EXECUTIVE CHEF Aug03 Jun28 May17 Sep15 Aug17 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
TAX CODE Aug02 Jun08 Jun02 May18 Aug20 (wright blain)OROZCO E 122 5.00 45% 1.20    
MOONLIGHTNWINE Aug02 Jun20 May11 Sep01 Aug09 (gibson vin)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-8   08/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IBN SINA Aug02 Jun20 Jun07 May24 Sep06 (essex charles)DURAN F 125 12.00    
BLUES RAPPER Aug09 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 (hernande)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
LAURA'S KIDOUGH Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 May24 May03 (markle dan)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
FIRST ENDEAVOR Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 (bullock st)AMERICANO MANUEL 125 6.00    
JACOB YEN Aug02 Jul20 Jul03 Jun01 May17 (birdwell ten)HALDAR J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
GETEMDUSTY Aug02 Jul03 May31 May11 Apr02 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 125 10.00 21% 3.70    
OUR BLOKE Aug10 Aug01 Jul12 Jun21 May26 (jewell ian)ALVARADO T 125 4.50    
EVERYROSEHASATHORN Aug08 Jun29 Jun22 May26 May11 (christian)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 117 20.00    
SCR  PHAROAHS LIST Aug10 Aug01 Jul20 Jul12 Jun20 (rosales )AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.